- Baylor (22-10) is a -11.5 point favorite vs UC Santa Barbara (27-7)
- Total (Over/Under): 143.5 points
- Watch the game on TNT
The #14 seed UC Santa Barbara Gauchos (27-7) visit Ball Arena to take on the #3 seed Baylor Bears (22-10) on Mar. 17. Tip off is scheduled for 1:30pm EDT in Denver.
Baylor is the betting favorite in this game, with the spread sitting at -11.5 (-110).
The UC Santa Barbara vs. Baylor Over/Under is 143.5 total points.
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UC Santa Barbara vs. Baylor Odds, Spread, Over/Under
| Spread | Total (O/U) | Moneyline | |
| UC Santa Barbara | +11.5 -110 | O 143.5 -110 | +450 |
| Baylor | -11.5 -110 | U 143.5 -110 | -650 |
UC Santa Barbara vs Baylor Prediction for March Madness:
Based on recent trends, the winning team model predicts Baylor will win this March Madness game with 71.1% confidence.
UC Santa Barbara vs Baylor Spread Prediction:
Based on recent against-the-spread trends, the model predicts Baylor will cover the spread with 51.4% confidence.
Both predictions factor in up-to-date player injuries for both UC Santa Barbara and Baylor, plus offensive & defensive matchups, recent games and key player performances this season.
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UC Santa Barbara Basketball Best Bets Today:
- UC Santa Barbara has hit the 1H Game Total Over in 15 of their last 17 games (+13.90 Units / 74% ROI)
- UC Santa Barbara have covered the Spread in 25 of their last 39 games (+10.70 Units / 25% ROI)
- UC Santa Barbara has hit the Game Total Over in 13 of their last 16 games (+9.70 Units / 55% ROI)
- UC Santa Barbara has hit the Team Total Over in 8 of their last 9 away games (+6.85 Units / 67% ROI)
- UC Santa Barbara have covered the 1H Spread in 13 of their last 24 away games (+1.95 Units / 7% ROI)
Baylor Basketball Best Bets Today:
- Baylor has hit the 1H Moneyline in 17 of their last 22 games at home (+9.40 Units / 14% ROI)
- Baylor have covered the 1H Spread in 19 of their last 33 games (+6.75 Units / 18% ROI)
- Baylor has hit the Team Total Over in 16 of their last 25 games (+5.65 Units / 20% ROI)
- Baylor has hit the Game Total Under in 10 of their last 16 games at home (+3.40 Units / 19% ROI)
- Baylor have covered the Spread in 10 of their last 17 games (+3.40 Units / 18% ROI)
UC Santa Barbara Basketball Against the Spread Record (ATS)
UC Santa Barbara has gone 21-11 against the spread this college basketball season (+8.9 Units / 25.25% ROI).
- 25-7 when betting on the Moneyline for -1.4 Units / -0.89% ROI
- 19-13 when betting the Over for +4.7 Units / 13.35% ROI
- 13-19 when betting the Under for -7.9 Units / -22.44% ROI
Baylor Basketball Against the Spread Record (ATS)
Baylor has gone 16-15 against the spread this college basketball season (-0.5 Units / 0% ROI).
- 16-10 when betting on the Moneyline for -3.95 Units / -5.33% ROI
- 17-15 when betting the Over for +0.5 Units / 1.42% ROI
- 15-17 when betting the Under for -3.65 Units / -10.38% ROI
UC Santa Barbara Offensive Stats & Trends:
UC Santa Barbara is shooting 49% (1,304/2,633) since the start of the 2021-22 season — best among Big West Teams; League Avg: 44%
UC Santa Barbara is shooting 50% (549/1,106) this season — best among Big West Teams; League Avg: 44%
UC Santa Barbara is shooting 57% from inside the arc (808/1,412) since the start of the 2021-22 season — best among Big West Teams; League Avg: 50%
UC Santa Barbara has averaged 1.34 points per shot (1,483 points/1,106 shots) this season — best among Big West Teams; League Avg: 1.22
Baylor Offensive Stats & Trends:
Baylor has attempted 569 threes this season — most among Big 12 Teams
Baylor has made 9.2 three-pointers per game this season — best among Big 12 Teams; League Avg: 7.1
Baylor is shooting 48% from three (13/27) in possessions with at least six passes this season in conference play — best among Big 12 Teams; League Avg: 31%
Baylor has averaged 13.0 offensive rebounds per game (286 rebounds/22 games) this season — best among Big 12 Teams; League Avg: 11.0
UC Santa Barbara Defensive Stats & Trends:
UC Santa Barbara has averaged 24.3 defensive rebounds per game (1,190 rebounds/49 games) since the start of the 2021-22 season — 4th best among Big West Teams; League Avg: 23.8
UC Santa Barbara has averaged 23.8 defensive rebounds per game (499 rebounds/21 games) this season — 5th best among Big West Teams; League Avg: 23.9
UC Santa Barbara has 324 steals since the start of the 2021-22 season — 4th most among Big West Teams
UC Santa Barbara has averaged 7.1 steals per game (149 steals/21 games) this season — tied for 2nd best among Big West Teams; League Avg: 6.3
Baylor Defensive Stats & Trends:
Baylor allowed opponents to shoot 23% from three in catch and shoot opportunities (16/69) on possessions with a ball reversal last season in conference play — best among Big 12 Teams; League Avg: 35%
Baylor allowed opponents to shoot 54% off the dribble (19/35) on mid-range shots last season in conference play — highest among Big 12 Teams; League Avg: 38%
Baylor allowed opponents to shoot 19% on catch and shoot opportunities (11/58) on left wing attempts last season in conference play — best among Big 12 Teams; League Avg: 32%
Baylor allowed opponents to shoot 22% from three (24/107) on left wing attempts last season in conference play — best among Big 12 Teams; League Avg: 30%
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