UCF vs Texas Prediction, Odds & Best Bets Today – NCAAB, Jan. 17

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BetMGM Betting @BETMGM Jan 17, 2024, 11:54 AM
  • Texas (5-11) is a -8.5 point favorite vs UCF (8-7)
  • Total (Over/Under): 136.5 points
  • UCF / Texas TV channel: LHN

The UCF Knights (8-7) visit Moody Center to take on the Texas Longhorns (5-11) on Jan. 17. Tip off is scheduled for 8:00pm EST in Austin, TX.

Texas is the betting favorite in this game, with the spread sitting at -8.5 (-110).

The UCF vs. Texas Over/Under is 136.5 total points.

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UCF vs. Texas Odds, Spread, Over/Under

SpreadTotal (O/U)Moneyline
UCF+8.5 -110O 136.5 -110+340
Texas -8.5 -110U 136.5 -110-450

UCF vs Texas Prediction for Today:

The winning team model predicts Texas will win this college basketball game with 81.9% confidence, based on game simulations, player injuries, key player performances and recent matchups.

UCF vs Texas Spread Prediction:

Based on recent against-the-spread trends, the spread model predicts Texas will cover the spread with 52.1% confidence for today’s game.


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  • UCF has hit the 1H Game Total Under in 7 of their last 12 away games (+2.45 Units / 18% ROI)
  • UCF has hit the Game Total Over in 16 of their last 30 games (+1.70 Units / 5% ROI)
  • UCF has hit the Team Total Under in 7 of their last 12 away games (+1.30 Units / 10% ROI)
  • Texas has hit the 1H Moneyline in 21 of their last 24 games at home (+17.70 Units / 6% ROI)
  • Texas has hit the Moneyline in 16 of their last 19 games at home (+10.30 Units / 9% ROI)
  • Texas has hit the Team Total Under in 22 of their last 37 games (+4.90 Units / 12% ROI)
  • Texas have covered the 1H Spread in 15 of their last 24 games at home (+4.45 Units / 16% ROI)
  • Texas has hit the Game Total Under in 14 of their last 24 games at home (+3.00 Units / 11% ROI)

UCF Basketball Against the Spread Record (ATS)

UCF has a 8-6 record against the spread this college basketball season (+1.45 Units / -100% ROI).

  • 7-5 when betting on the Moneyline for -3.2 Units / -100% ROI
  • 6-8 when betting the Over for -2.8 Units / 86.96% ROI
  • 8-6 when betting the Under for +1.4 Units / -100% ROI

Texas Basketball Against the Spread Record (ATS)

Texas has a 5-11 record against the spread this college basketball season (-7.1 Units / -100% ROI).

  • 7-4 when betting on the Moneyline for +0.4 Units / -100% ROI
  • 8-8 when betting the Over for -0.8 Units / 86.96% ROI
  • 8-8 when betting the Under for -0.8 Units / -100% ROI

UCF Offensive Stats & Trends:

UCF is shooting 77% from the free throw line (441/572) since the start of the 2022-23 season — best among AAC Teams; League Avg: 72%

UCF has a TS% of 44% since the start of the 2022-23 season — 3rd lowest among Power Conference teams; League Avg: 48%

UCF has an eFG% of 49% since the start of the 2022-23 season — tied for 36th lowest among Division 1 Teams; League Avg: 51%

UCF has an eFG% of 48% since the start of the 2022-23 season — tied for 4th lowest among Power Conference teams; League Avg: 51%

Texas Offensive Stats & Trends:

Texas averaged 1.49 points per shot (73 points/49 shots) in possessions with at least six passes last season in conference play — best among Big 12 Teams; League Avg: 1.25

Texas averaged 4.8 turnovers per game (152 turnovers/32 games) in the second half last season — best among Big 12 Teams; League Avg: 6.2

Texas shot 42% from inside the arc (47/113) on possessions with a ball reversal last season in conference play — lowest among Big 12 Teams; League Avg: 50%

Texas had an eFG% of 63% in possessions with at least six passes last season in conference play — best among Big 12 Teams; League Avg: 53%

UCF Defensive Stats & Trends:

UCF has averaged 9.3 steals per game (140 steals/15 games) this season — tied for 5th best among Power Conference teams; League Avg: 6.9

UCF has 140 steals this season — 4th most among Big 12 Teams

UCF has allowed opponents to shoot 42% (779/1,855) since the start of the 2022-23 season — 4th best among AAC Teams; League Avg: 42%

UCF has allowed opponents to shoot 31% from three (221/720) since the start of the 2022-23 season — 3rd best among AAC Teams; League Avg: 32%

Texas Defensive Stats & Trends:

Texas allowed opponents to shoot 17% from three off the dribble (6/36) in the first half last season in conference play — best among Big 12 Teams; League Avg: 27%

Texas allowed opponents to shoot 57% on catch and shoot opportunities (12/21) on mid-range shots last season in conference play — highest among Big 12 Teams; League Avg: 38%

Texas allowed an average of 1.88 points per shot (60 points/32 shots) in possessions with at least six passes last season in conference play — highest among Big 12 Teams; League Avg: 1.25

Texas allowed opponents to shoot 46% from three off the dribble (13/28) in possessions with two to five passes last season in conference play — highest among Big 12 Teams; League Avg: 28%


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Our BetMGM betting authors are experts who focus on individual game matchups & player prop bets with an emphasis on betting odds, lines & predictions.

Our BetMGM betting authors are experts who focus on individual game matchups & player prop bets with an emphasis on betting odds, lines & predictions.