UMBC vs Albany Prediction, Odds & Best Bets Today – NCAAB, Jan. 23

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  • Albany is a -3.5 point favorite vs UMBC
  • Total (Over/Under): 159.5 points
  • UMBC / Albany TV channel: ESPN+

The UMBC Retrievers visit SEFCU Arena to take on the Albany Great Danes on Jan. 23. Tip off is scheduled for 6:30pm EST in Guilderland, NY, USA.

Albany is the betting favorite in this game, with the spread sitting at -3.5 (-110).

The UMBC vs. Albany Over/Under is 159.5 total points.

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UMBC vs. Albany Odds, Spread, Over/Under

SpreadTotal (O/U)Moneyline
UMBC+3.5 -110O 159.5 -105+145
Albany -3.5 -110U 159.5 -115-175

UMBC vs Albany Prediction for Today:

The winning team model predicts Albany will win this college basketball game with 74.1% confidence, based on game simulations, player injuries, key player performances and recent matchups.

UMBC vs Albany Spread Prediction:

Based on recent against-the-spread trends, the spread model predicts Albany will cover the spread with 63.7% confidence for today’s game.


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  • UMBC has hit the Team Total Over in 12 of their last 15 away games (+8.46 Units / 49% ROI)
  • UMBC have covered the Spread in 11 of their last 15 away games (+6.60 Units / 40% ROI)
  • UMBC have covered the 1H Spread in 18 of their last 28 games (+6.55 Units / 21% ROI)
  • UMBC has hit the Moneyline in 7 of their last 15 away games (+4.80 Units / 26% ROI)
  • UMBC has hit the Game Total Over in 10 of their last 15 away games (+4.50 Units / 27% ROI)
  • Albany (NY) has hit the Game Total Under in 7 of their last 12 games at home (+1.50 Units / 11% ROI)
  • Albany (NY) has hit the Team Total Under in 7 of their last 12 games at home (+1.25 Units / 9% ROI)
  • Albany (NY) has hit the 1H Game Total Under in 7 of their last 12 games at home (+1.10 Units / 8% ROI)
  • Albany (NY) has hit the 1H Moneyline in 7 of their last 12 games at home (+0.65 Units / 4% ROI)

UMBC Basketball Against the Spread Record (ATS)

UMBC has a 8-8 record against the spread this college basketball season (-0.8 Units / -4.53% ROI).

  • 6-10 when betting on the Moneyline for -13.15 Units / -31.76% ROI
  • 11-4 when betting the Over for +6.6 Units / 37.5% ROI
  • 4-11 when betting the Under for -8.1 Units / -46.02% ROI

Albany Basketball Against the Spread Record (ATS)

Albany has a record against the spread this college basketball season ( Units / ROI).

  • home moneyline record when betting on the Moneyline for ML units Units / ML ROI ROI
  • home total over record when betting the Over for over units Units / over ROI ROI
  • home total under record when betting the Under for under units Units / under ROI ROI

UMBC Offensive Stats & Trends:

UMBC shot 35% from three (246/692) last season — best among America East Teams; League Avg: 33%

UMBC is shooting 37% from three (418/1,135) since the start of the 2023-24 season — best among America East Teams; League Avg: 33%

UMBC has made 9.1 three-pointers per game this season — best among America East Teams; League Avg: 7.4

UMBC has averaged 81.8 points per game (1,555 points/19 games) this season — 25th best among Division 1 Teams; League Avg: 74.6

Albany Offensive Stats & Trends:

Albany has averaged 10.6 turnovers per game (212 turnovers/20 games) this season — best among America East Teams; League Avg: 12.1

Albany averaged 78.7 points per game (2,517 points/32 games) last season — tied for 49th best among Division 1 Teams; League Avg: 73.6

Albany has averaged 10.5 offensive rebounds per game (210 rebounds/20 games) this season — 2nd best among America East Teams; League Avg: 8.9

Albany has an assist to turnover ratio of 1.1 (239 assists/ 212 TOs) this season — tied for 4th lowest among America East Teams; League Avg: 1.1

UMBC Defensive Stats & Trends:

UMBC has averaged 24.7 defensive rebounds per game (469 rebounds/19 games) this season — tied for 3rd best among America East Teams; League Avg: 24.1

UMBC has 146 steals this season — 3rd most among America East Teams

UMBC has averaged 25.5 defensive rebounds per game (1,273 rebounds/50 games) since the start of the 2023-24 season — tied for 4th lowest among America East Teams; League Avg: 25.1

UMBC averaged 25.9 defensive rebounds per game (804 rebounds/31 games) last season — 5th lowest among America East Teams; League Avg: 25.7

Albany Defensive Stats & Trends:

Albany has averaged 21.2 defensive rebounds per game (424 rebounds/20 games) this season — tied for 13th lowest among Division 1 Teams; League Avg: 24.5

Albany averaged 8.3 steals per game (266 steals/32 games) last season — tied for 34th best among Division 1 Teams; League Avg: 6.7

Albany allowed 5.2 made three-pointers per game last season — best among America East Teams ; League Avg: 6.8

Albany has averaged 8.6 steals per game (171 steals/20 games) this season — 2nd best among America East Teams; League Avg: 6.7


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Our BetMGM betting authors are experts who focus on individual game matchups & player prop bets with an emphasis on betting odds, lines & predictions.