UNC Greensboro vs Samford Prediction, Odds & Best Bets Today – NCAAB, Jan. 11

BetMGM Betting Jan 11, 2025, 10:06 AM

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(Shutterstock/Melinda Nagy)

Samford is a -5.5 point favorite vs UNC Greensboro
Total (Over/Under): 150.5 points
UNC Greensboro / Samford TV channel: ESPN+

The UNC Greensboro Spartans visit Pete Hanna Center to take on the Samford Bulldogs on Jan. 11. Tip off is scheduled for 6:00pm EST in Homewood, AL.

Samford is the betting favorite in this game, with the spread sitting at -5.5 (-120).

The UNC Greensboro vs. Samford Over/Under is 150.5 total points.

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UNC Greensboro vs. Samford Odds, Spread, Over/Under

	Spread	Total (O/U)	Moneyline
UNC Greensboro	+5.5 +100	O 150.5 -110	+200
Samford	-5.5 -120	U 150.5 -110	-250

UNC Greensboro vs Samford Prediction for Today:

The winning team model predicts Samford will win this college basketball game with 70.5% confidence, based on game simulations, player injuries, key player performances and recent matchups.

UNC Greensboro vs Samford Spread Prediction:

Based on recent against-the-spread trends, the spread model predicts Samford will cover the spread with 64.6% confidence for today’s game.

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UNC Greensboro Basketball Best Bets Today:

UNC Greensboro has hit the 1H Game Total Over in 18 of their last 30 games (+6.55 Units / 19% ROI)
UNC Greensboro have covered the Spread in 18 of their last 30 games (+4.75 Units / 14% ROI)
UNC Greensboro has hit the Game Total Over in 17 of their last 30 games (+2.70 Units / 8% ROI)
UNC Greensboro have covered the 1H Spread in 17 of their last 30 games (+2.10 Units / 6% ROI)
UNC Greensboro has hit the Team Total Over in 17 of their last 30 games (+2.00 Units / 6% ROI)

Samford Basketball Best Bets Today:

Samford has hit the Moneyline in their last 17 games at home (+17.00 Units / 11% ROI)
Samford has hit the 1H Moneyline in 26 of their last 34 games (+16.25 Units / 11% ROI)
Samford has hit the 1H Game Total Over in 20 of their last 34 games (+4.15 Units / 11% ROI)
Samford has hit the Team Total Over in 20 of their last 34 games (+3.85 Units / 10% ROI)
Samford have covered the Spread in 11 of their last 18 games at home (+3.35 Units / 17% ROI)

UNC Greensboro Basketball Against the Spread Record (ATS)

UNC Greensboro has a 10-3 record against the spread this college basketball season (+6.6 Units / 45.83% ROI).

8-5 when betting on the Moneyline for +2.75 Units / 13.89% ROI
7-6 when betting the Over for +0.4 Units / 2.79% ROI
6-7 when betting the Under for -1.65 Units / -11.58% ROI

Samford Basketball Against the Spread Record (ATS)

Samford has a 7-7 record against the spread this college basketball season (-0.7 Units / -4.55% ROI).

11-3 when betting on the Moneyline for +7.55 Units / 5.62% ROI
7-7 when betting the Over for -0.75 Units / -4.85% ROI
7-7 when betting the Under for -0.7 Units / -4.56% ROI

UNC Greensboro Offensive Stats & Trends:

UNC Greensboro shot 40% from three (293/737) last season — 4th best among Division 1 Teams; League Avg: 34%

UNC Greensboro is shooting 39% from three (452/1,150) since the start of the 2023-24 season — 3rd best among Division 1 Teams; League Avg: 34%

UNC Greensboro has averaged 9.8 turnovers per game (157 turnovers/16 games) this season — tied for 19th best among Division 1 Teams; League Avg: 12.0

UNC Greensboro has an eFG% of 53% this season — 5th lowest among Southern Teams; League Avg: 53%

Samford Offensive Stats & Trends:

Samford has averaged 87.0 points per game (4,349 points/50 games) since the start of the 2023-24 season — best among Southern Teams; League Avg: 75.6

Samford averaged 86.4 points per game (2,937 points/34 games) last season — best among Southern Teams; League Avg: 75.0

Samford has made 11.9 three-pointers per game this season — best among Southern Teams; League Avg: 9.8

Samford has averaged 88.2 points per game (1,412 points/16 games) this season — best among Southern Teams; League Avg: 77.0

UNC Greensboro Defensive Stats & Trends:

UNC Greensboro has allowed opponents to shoot 31% from three (334/1,091) since the start of the 2023-24 season — best among Southern Teams ; League Avg: 33%

UNC Greensboro has averaged 25.0 defensive rebounds per game (400 rebounds/16 games) this season — 5th lowest among Southern Teams; League Avg: 24.6

UNC Greensboro has allowed opponents to shoot 40% (1,028/2,573) since the start of the 2023-24 season — best among Southern Teams ; League Avg: 43%

UNC Greensboro stole the ball 210 times last season — 5th fewest among Southern Teams

Samford Defensive Stats & Trends:

Samford averaged 10.0 steals per game (341 steals/34 games) last season — 7th best among Division 1 Teams; League Avg: 6.7

Samford has 515 steals since the start of the 2023-24 season — most among Southern Teams

Samford has averaged 10.3 steals per game (515 steals/50 games) since the start of the 2023-24 season — best among Division 1 Teams; League Avg: 6.8

Samford has averaged 10.3 steals per game (515 steals/50 games) since the start of the 2023-24 season — best among Southern Teams; League Avg: 6.9