UNLV vs Boise State Prediction, Odds & Best Bets Today – NCAAB, Mar. 9

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BetMGM Betting @BETMGM Mar 09, 2023, 11:46 AM
  • Boise State (23-8) is a -5.5 point favorite vs UNLV (19-12)
  • Total (Over/Under): 138.5 points
  • Watch the game on CBS Sports Network

The UNLV Runnin’ Rebels (19-12) visit Thomas & Mack Center to take on the Boise State Broncos (23-8) on Mar. 9. Tip off is scheduled for 9:00pm EST in Paradise.

Boise State is the betting favorite in this game, with the spread sitting at -5.5 (-105).

The UNLV vs. Boise State Over/Under is 138.5 total points.

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UNLV vs. Boise State Odds, Spread, Over/Under

SpreadTotal (O/U)Moneyline
UNLV+5.5 -115O 138.5 -110+180
Boise State -5.5 -105U 138.5 -110-225

UNLV vs Boise State Prediction for Today’s Game:

Based on recent trends, the winning team model predicts Boise State will win this game with 59.5% confidence.

UNLV vs Boise State Spread Prediction:

Based on recent against-the-spread trends, the model predicts Boise State will cover the spread with 51.0% confidence.

Both predictions factor in up-to-date player injuries for both UNLV and Boise State, plus offensive & defensive matchups, recent games and key player performances this season.


Bet now on Boise State vs UNLV and all games with BetMGM


  • UNLV has hit the 1H Game Total Over in 31 of their last 50 games (+13.35 Units / 24% ROI)
  • UNLV has hit the Game Total Over in 18 of their last 25 games (+10.30 Units / 37% ROI)
  • UNLV has hit the Moneyline in 29 of their last 50 games (+7.25 Units / 6% ROI)
  • UNLV have covered the Spread in 10 of their last 15 away games (+4.50 Units / 27% ROI)
  • Boise State has hit the Moneyline in 38 of their last 50 games (+25.05 Units / 15% ROI)
  • Boise State have covered the 1H Spread in 30 of their last 47 games (+12.50 Units / 24% ROI)
  • Boise State has hit the 1H Moneyline in 25 of their last 37 games (+7.80 Units / 10% ROI)
  • Boise State has hit the Game Total Over in 12 of their last 18 games (+6.50 Units / 33% ROI)
  • Boise State has hit the Team Total Under in 10 of their last 16 games at home (+3.15 Units / 17% ROI)

UNLV Basketball Against the Spread Record (ATS)

UNLV has gone 16-14 against the spread this college basketball season (+0.65 Units / 1.97% ROI).

  • 16-12 when betting on the Moneyline for -2.2 Units / -3.75% ROI
  • 20-10 when betting the Over for +9 Units / 27.27% ROI
  • 10-20 when betting the Under for -12 Units / -36.36% ROI

Boise State Basketball Against the Spread Record (ATS)

Boise State has gone 15-14 against the spread this college basketball season (-0.4 Units / 0% ROI).

  • 21-8 when betting on the Moneyline for +11.05 Units / 10.43% ROI
  • 14-15 when betting the Over for -2.5 Units / -7.58% ROI
  • 15-14 when betting the Under for -0.4 Units / -1.21% ROI

UNLV Offensive Stats & Trends:

UNLV is shooting 30% from inside the arc (27/89) on possessions with a ball reversal this season in conference play — lowest among Mountain West Teams; League Avg: 45%

UNLV has a TS% of 46% in possessions with a paint touch this season in conference play — lowest among Mountain West Teams; League Avg: 52%

UNLV is shooting 31% (66/211) on possessions with a ball reversal this season in conference play — lowest among Mountain West Teams; League Avg: 41%

UNLV has a TS% of 40% on possessions with a ball reversal this season in conference play — lowest among Mountain West Teams; League Avg: 49%

Boise State Offensive Stats & Trends:

Boise State has a TS% of 46% in possessions with two to five passes this season in conference play — 2nd lowest among Mountain West Teams; League Avg: 50%

Boise State has an assist to turnover ratio of 1.0 (268 assists/ 257 TOs) this season — tied for lowest among Mountain West Teams; League Avg: 1.2

Boise State has a TS% of 49% this season — tied for 36th best among Division 1 Teams; League Avg: 47%

Boise State has averaged 3.2 turnovers per game (57 turnovers/18 games) in possessions with a paint touch this season in conference play — tied for 2nd best among Mountain West Teams; League Avg: 3.5

UNLV Defensive Stats & Trends:

UNLV has forced 18.7 turnovers per game (412 turnovers/22 games) this season — best among Mountain West Teams; League Avg: 12.6

UNLV has averaged 9.6 steals per game (212 steals/22 games) this season — best among Mountain West Teams; League Avg: 6.1

UNLV has 212 steals this season — most among Mountain West Teams

UNLV has allowed 9.1 made three-pointers per game this season — tied for highest among Mountain West Teams; League Avg: 7.3

Boise State Defensive Stats & Trends:

Boise State has allowed an average of 1.07 points per shot (1,396 points/1,302 shots) this season — best among Mountain West Teams; League Avg: 1.20

Boise State has allowed 60.7 points per game (1,396 points/23 games) this season — best among Mountain West Teams; League Avg: 67.7

Boise State has allowed 60.7 points per game (1,396 points/23 games) this season — 6th best among Division 1 Teams; League Avg: 69.6

Boise State has allowed opponents to shoot 28% from three (126/458) this season — best among Mountain West Teams; League Avg: 33%


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Our BetMGM betting authors are experts who focus on individual game matchups & player prop bets with an emphasis on betting odds, lines & predictions.

Our BetMGM betting authors are experts who focus on individual game matchups & player prop bets with an emphasis on betting odds, lines & predictions.