- Drake (11-9) is a -20.5 point favorite vs Valparaiso (13-7)
- Total (Over/Under): 145.5 points
- Valparaiso / Drake TV channel: ESPN+
The Valparaiso Beacons (13-7) visit Knapp Center to take on the Drake Bulldogs (11-9) on Jan. 31. Tip off is scheduled for 8:00pm EST in Des Moines, IA.
Drake is the betting favorite in this game, with the spread sitting at -20.5 (-110).
The Valparaiso vs. Drake Over/Under is 145.5 total points.
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Valparaiso vs. Drake Odds, Spread, Over/Under
| Spread | Total (O/U) | Moneyline | |
| Valparaiso | +20.5 -110 | O 145.5 -110 | +1100 |
| Drake | -20.5 -110 | U 145.5 -110 | -2500 |
Valparaiso vs Drake Prediction for Today:
The winning team model predicts Drake will win this college basketball game with 95.0% confidence, based on game simulations, player injuries, key player performances and recent matchups.
Valparaiso vs Drake Spread Prediction:
Based on recent against-the-spread trends, the spread model predicts Valparaiso will cover the spread with 51.0% confidence for today’s game.
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Valparaiso Basketball Best Bets Today:
- Valparaiso has hit the 1H Moneyline in 4 of their last 14 away games (+15.50 Units / 107% ROI)
- Valparaiso have covered the Spread in 10 of their last 14 away games (+5.60 Units / 36% ROI)
- Valparaiso has hit the 1H Game Total Over in 18 of their last 29 games (+5.50 Units / 17% ROI)
- Valparaiso have covered the 1H Spread in 8 of their last 14 away games (+2.30 Units / 14% ROI)
- Valparaiso has hit the Team Total Over in 8 of their last 14 away games (+0.95 Units / 6% ROI)
Drake Basketball Best Bets Today:
- Drake has hit the Moneyline in 15 of their last 17 games at home (+12.80 Units / 11% ROI)
- Drake has hit the 1H Game Total Over in 20 of their last 32 games (+6.30 Units / 17% ROI)
- Drake has hit the Game Total Under in 11 of their last 19 games at home (+3.30 Units / 16% ROI)
- Drake have covered the Spread in 11 of their last 19 games at home (+2.20 Units / 11% ROI)
- Drake has hit the Team Total Over in 18 of their last 32 games (+2.00 Units / 5% ROI)
Valparaiso Basketball Against the Spread Record (ATS)
Valparaiso has a 13-7 record against the spread this college basketball season (+5.3 Units / 24.04% ROI).
- 5-13 when betting on the Moneyline for -6.15 Units / -29.64% ROI
- 9-11 when betting the Over for -3.1 Units / -14.03% ROI
- 11-9 when betting the Under for +1.2 Units / 5.48% ROI
Drake Basketball Against the Spread Record (ATS)
Drake has a 9-11 record against the spread this college basketball season (-3.1 Units / -14.09% ROI).
- 12-6 when betting on the Moneyline for +0.75 Units / 0.72% ROI
- 9-10 when betting the Over for -1.9 Units / -8.68% ROI
- 10-9 when betting the Under for +0.1 Units / 0.45% ROI
Valparaiso Offensive Stats & Trends:
Valparaiso has averaged 68.0 points per game (1,359 points/20 games) this season — tied for 30th lowest among Division 1 Teams; League Avg: 74.2
Valparaiso has averaged 1.13 points per shot (1,359 points/1,198 shots) this season — tied for 8th lowest among Division 1 Teams; League Avg: 1.25
Valparaiso has a 28% free throw rate (335 free throw attempts/1,198 field goal attempts) this season — tied for 41st lowest among Division 1 Teams; League Avg: 33%
Valparaiso has averaged 11.8 turnovers per game (235 turnovers/20 games) this season — 5th best among Missouri Valley Teams; League Avg: 11.6
Drake Offensive Stats & Trends:
Drake has an assist to turnover ratio of 1.7 (327 assists/ 193 TOs) this season — best among Missouri Valley Teams; League Avg: 1.2
Drake has an assist to turnover ratio of 1.7 (327 assists/ 193 TOs) this season — tied for 11th best among Division 1 Teams; League Avg: 1.1
Drake has averaged 9.6 turnovers per game (193 turnovers/20 games) this season — 2nd best among Missouri Valley Teams; League Avg: 11.6
Drake has a TS% of 52% this season — 11th best among Division 1 Teams; League Avg: 47%
Valparaiso Defensive Stats & Trends:
Valparaiso has averaged 5.9 steals per game (308 steals/52 games) since the start of the 2022-23 season — 5th lowest among Missouri Valley Teams; League Avg: 6.3
Valparaiso has allowed opponents to shoot 45% (1,368/3,055) since the start of the 2022-23 season — 5th highest among Missouri Valley Teams; League Avg: 44%
Valparaiso has forced 12.6 turnovers per game (251 turnovers/20 games) this season — 4th best among Missouri Valley Teams; League Avg: 12.0
Valparaiso has allowed opponents to shoot 34% from three (381/1,121) since the start of the 2022-23 season — 5th highest among Missouri Valley Teams; League Avg: 33%
Drake Defensive Stats & Trends:
Drake has averaged 27.4 defensive rebounds per game (1,507 rebounds/55 games) since the start of the 2022-23 season — tied for 14th best among Division 1 Teams; League Avg: 24.3
Drake has averaged 5.8 steals per game (321 steals/55 games) since the start of the 2022-23 season — 4th lowest among Missouri Valley Teams; League Avg: 6.3
Drake has 134 steals this season — 4th most among Missouri Valley Teams
Drake has averaged 6.7 steals per game (134 steals/20 games) this season — tied for 3rd best among Missouri Valley Teams; League Avg: 6.2
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