Valparaiso vs Western Michigan Prediction, Odds & Best Bets Today – NCAAB, Dec. 20

Western Michigan player number 22 dribbling a basketball and looking focused.
(AP Photo)
  • Western Michigan is a -2.5 point favorite vs Valparaiso
  • Total (Over/Under): 152.5 points
  • Valparaiso / Western Michigan TV channel: ESPN+

The Valparaiso Beacons visit University Arena to take on the Western Michigan Broncos on Dec. 20. Tip off is scheduled for 1:00pm EST in Kalamazoo, MI.

Western Michigan is the betting favorite in this game, with the spread sitting at -2.5 (-110).

The Valparaiso vs. Western Michigan Over/Under is 152.5 total points.

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Valparaiso vs. Western Michigan Odds, Spread, Over/Under

SpreadTotal (O/U)Moneyline
Valparaiso+2.5 -110O 152.5 -110+110
Western Michigan -2.5 -110U 152.5 -110-135

Valparaiso vs Western Michigan Prediction for Today:

The winning team model predicts Western Michigan will win this college basketball game with 76.8% confidence, based on game simulations, player injuries, key player performances and recent matchups.

Valparaiso vs Western Michigan Spread Prediction:

Based on recent against-the-spread trends, the spread model predicts Valparaiso will cover the spread with 56.3% confidence for today’s game.


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  • Valparaiso has hit the Game Total Over in 19 of their last 29 games (+8.00 Units / 25% ROI)
  • Valparaiso has hit the 1H Game Total Over in 18 of their last 29 games (+5.45 Units / 16% ROI)
  • Valparaiso have covered the Spread in 9 of their last 14 away games (+3.50 Units / 23% ROI)
  • Valparaiso has hit the Team Total Over in 9 of their last 14 away games (+3.15 Units / 19% ROI)
  • Valparaiso has hit the 1H Moneyline in 4 of their last 14 away games (+1.80 Units / 13% ROI)
  • Western Michigan has hit the 1H Moneyline in 12 of their last 30 games (+4.65 Units / 13% ROI)
  • Western Michigan has hit the Moneyline in 7 of their last 12 games at home (+4.00 Units / 22% ROI)
  • Western Michigan has hit the 1H Game Total Under in 17 of their last 30 games (+3.20 Units / 9% ROI)
  • Western Michigan have covered the Spread in 16 of their last 30 games (+1.75 Units / 5% ROI)
  • Western Michigan has hit the Game Total Over in 16 of their last 30 games (+0.60 Units / 2% ROI)

Valparaiso Basketball Against the Spread Record (ATS)

Valparaiso has a 4-5 record against the spread this college basketball season (-1.5 Units / -15.15% ROI).

  • 4-5 when betting on the Moneyline for -1.65 Units / -8.42% ROI
  • 5-4 when betting the Over for +0.6 Units / 6.06% ROI
  • 4-5 when betting the Under for -1.5 Units / -15.15% ROI

Western Michigan Basketball Against the Spread Record (ATS)

Western Michigan has a 4-4 record against the spread this college basketball season (-0.4 Units / -4.04% ROI).

  • 2-7 when betting on the Moneyline for -2.4 Units / -22.54% ROI
  • 6-3 when betting the Over for +2.7 Units / 27.27% ROI
  • 3-6 when betting the Under for -3.6 Units / -36.36% ROI

Valparaiso Offensive Stats & Trends:

Valparaiso averaged 1.10 points per shot (2,093 points/1,899 shots) last season — 4th lowest among Division 1 Teams; League Avg: 1.25

Valparaiso had 14.6 free throw attempts per game last season — tied for 9th lowest among Division 1 Teams; League Avg: 19.2

Valparaiso has averaged 1.15 points per shot (2,875 points/2,509 shots) since the start of the 2023-24 season — tied for 6th lowest among Division 1 Teams; League Avg: 1.25

Valparaiso shot 41% (774/1,899) last season — 12th lowest among Division 1 Teams; League Avg: 45%

Western Michigan Offensive Stats & Trends:

Western Michigan shot 62% from the free throw line (372/595) last season — 2nd lowest among Division 1 Teams; League Avg: 72%

Western Michigan has made 5.5 three-pointers per game this season — lowest among Mid-American Teams; League Avg: 8.2

Western Michigan has a TS% of 44% this season — lowest among Mid-American Teams; League Avg: 48%

Western Michigan shot 62% from the free throw line (372/595) last season — lowest among Mid-American Teams; League Avg: 71%

Valparaiso Defensive Stats & Trends:

Valparaiso has averaged 4.9 steals per game (49 steals/10 games) this season — lowest among Missouri Valley Teams; League Avg: 7.1

Valparaiso has averaged 5.9 steals per game (242 steals/41 games) since the start of the 2023-24 season — 2nd lowest among Missouri Valley Teams; League Avg: 6.4

Valparaiso has allowed 74.8 points per game (3,065 points/41 games) since the start of the 2023-24 season — 2nd highest among Missouri Valley Teams; League Avg: 71.1

Valparaiso forced 12.5 turnovers per game (387 turnovers/31 games) last season — tied for 2nd best among Missouri Valley Teams; League Avg: 11.6

Western Michigan Defensive Stats & Trends:

Western Michigan averaged 5.3 steals per game (169 steals/32 games) last season — tied for 34th lowest among Division 1 Teams; League Avg: 6.7

Western Michigan has forced 9.9 turnovers per game (99 turnovers/10 games) this season — lowest among Mid-American Teams ; League Avg: 13.1

Western Michigan has averaged 5.5 steals per game (231 steals/42 games) since the start of the 2023-24 season — tied for lowest among Mid-American Teams; League Avg: 6.4

Western Michigan has averaged 6.2 steals per game (62 steals/10 games) this season — 2nd lowest among Mid-American Teams; League Avg: 7.2


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