Villanova vs Butler Prediction, Odds & Best Bets Today – NCAAB, Jan. 1

Butler head coach Thad Matta argues a call from the sideline during the first half of an NCAA college basketball game against Xavier, Saturday, March 4, 2023, in Cincinnati. (AP Photo/Joshua A. Bickel)
(AP Photo/Joshua A. Bickel)
  • Villanova is a -2.5 point favorite vs Butler
  • Total (Over/Under): 147.5 points
  • Villanova / Butler TV channel: FS1

The Villanova Wildcats visit Hinkle Fieldhouse to take on the Butler Bulldogs on Jan. 1. Tip off is scheduled for 6:30pm EST in Indianapolis, IN.

Villanova is the betting favorite in this game, with the spread sitting at -2.5 (-105).

The Villanova vs. Butler Over/Under is 147.5 total points.

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Villanova vs. Butler Odds, Spread, Over/Under

SpreadTotal (O/U)Moneyline
Villanova-2.5 -105O 147.5 -115-145
Butler +2.5 -115U 147.5 -105+120

Villanova vs Butler Prediction for Today:

The winning team model predicts Villanova will win this college basketball game with 79.5% confidence, based on game simulations, player injuries, key player performances and recent matchups.

Villanova vs Butler Spread Prediction:

Based on recent against-the-spread trends, the spread model predicts Villanova will cover the spread with 64.6% confidence for today’s game.


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  • Villanova have covered the 1H Spread in 8 of their last 13 away games (+2.30 Units / 15% ROI)
  • Villanova has hit the 1H Moneyline in 7 of their last 13 away games (+2.06 Units / 12% ROI)
  • Villanova has hit the Team Total Under in 19 of their last 34 games (+1.95 Units / 5% ROI)
  • Villanova has hit the Game Total Under in 7 of their last 13 away games (+0.50 Units / 4% ROI)
  • Villanova has hit the 1H Game Total Under in 7 of their last 13 away games (+0.10 Units / 1% ROI)
  • Butler has hit the Team Total Under in 20 of their last 33 games (+5.16 Units / 14% ROI)
  • Butler has hit the Game Total Under in 13 of their last 21 games at home (+4.20 Units / 18% ROI)
  • Butler has hit the 1H Game Total Under in 11 of their last 21 games at home (+0.65 Units / 3% ROI)

Villanova Basketball Against the Spread Record (ATS)

Villanova has a 7-6 record against the spread this college basketball season (+0.4 Units / 2.8% ROI).

  • 8-5 when betting on the Moneyline for -11.95 Units / -2.99% ROI
  • 10-2 when betting the Over for +7.7 Units / 53.1% ROI
  • 2-10 when betting the Under for -8.9 Units / -63.12% ROI

Butler Basketball Against the Spread Record (ATS)

Butler has a 7-6 record against the spread this college basketball season (+0.4 Units / 2.8% ROI).

  • 7-6 when betting on the Moneyline for -20.45 Units / -19.2% ROI
  • 6-7 when betting the Over for -1.7 Units / -11.89% ROI
  • 7-6 when betting the Under for +0.4 Units / 2.8% ROI

Villanova Offensive Stats & Trends:

Villanova is shooting 82% from the free throw line (194/236) on the road since the start of the 2023-24 season — best among Big East Teams; League Avg: 74%

Villanova is shooting 45% from three (74/165) in the first half this season — best among Big East Teams; League Avg: 37%

Villanova shot 81% from the free throw line (408/501) last season — best among Power Conference teams; League Avg: 73%

Villanova is shooting 82% from the free throw line (194/236) on the road since the start of the 2023-24 season — best among Big East Teams; League Avg: 74%

Butler Offensive Stats & Trends:

Butler has a 49% free throw rate (322 free throw attempts/662 field goal attempts) this season — 2nd highest among Power Conference teams; League Avg: 35%

Butler shot 38% from three (132/348) in the first half last season — best among Big East Teams; League Avg: 35%

Butler has 24.8 free throw attempts per game this season — tied for 19th best among Division 1 Teams; League Avg: 19.5

Butler is shooting 80% from the free throw line (443/555) at home since the start of the 2023-24 season — best among Big East Teams; League Avg: 74%

Villanova Defensive Stats & Trends:

Villanova has allowed opponents to shoot 43% from three (48/112) this season — 3rd highest among Power Conference defenses; League Avg: 35%

Villanova allowed an average of 1.13 points per shot (1,622 points/1,441 shots) last season — tied for 2nd best among Power Conference defenses; League Avg: 1.28

Villanova allowed 62.4 points per game (1,622 points/26 games) last season — best among Power Conference defenses; League Avg: 75.6

Villanova allowed opponents to shoot 41% (741/1,820) last season — tied for 13th best among Division 1 Teams; League Avg: 44%

Butler Defensive Stats & Trends:

Butler has allowed 35.2 points per game (458 points/13 games) in the first half this season — highest among Big East Teams; League Avg: 31.3

Butler has averaged 3.3 steals per game (43 steals/13 games) this season — lowest among Power Conference teams; League Avg: 7.4

Butler has averaged 3.3 steals per game (43 steals/13 games) this season — tied for lowest among Division 1 Teams; League Avg: 7.2

Butler has forced 7.7 turnovers per game (100 turnovers/13 games) this season — 4th lowest among Division 1 Teams; League Avg: 12.6


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Our BetMGM betting authors are experts who focus on individual game matchups & player prop bets with an emphasis on betting odds, lines & predictions.