- Liberty (26-8) is a -3.5 point favorite vs Villanova (17-16)
- Total (Over/Under): 137.5 points
- Watch this NIT Tournament game on ESPN2
The Villanova Wildcats (17-16) visit Liberty Arena to take on the Liberty Flames (26-8) on Mar. 14. Tip off is scheduled for 8:00pm EDT in Lynchburg.
Liberty is the betting favorite in this game, with the spread sitting at -3.5 (-105).
The Villanova vs. Liberty Over/Under is 137.5 total points.
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Villanova vs. Liberty Odds, Spread, Over/Under
| Spread | Total (O/U) | Moneyline | |
| Villanova | +3.5 -115 | O 137.5 -115 | +140 |
| Liberty | -3.5 -105 | U 137.5 -105 | -165 |
Villanova vs Liberty Prediction for Today’s Game:
Based on recent trends, the winning team model predicts Liberty will win this NIT Tournament game with 70.2% confidence.
Villanova vs Liberty Spread Prediction:
Based on recent against-the-spread trends, the model predicts Liberty will cover the spread with 51.0% confidence.
Both predictions factor in up-to-date player injuries for both Villanova and Liberty, plus offensive & defensive matchups, recent games and key player performances this season.
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Villanova Basketball Best Bets Today:
- Villanova has hit the Game Total Over in 14 of their last 23 away games (+5.20 Units / 21% ROI)
- Villanova has hit the Team Total Over in 5 of their last 6 away games (+5.00 Units / 74% ROI)
- Villanova have covered the Spread in 7 of their last 11 games (+2.60 Units / 21% ROI)
Liberty Basketball Best Bets Today:
- Liberty has hit the Moneyline in their last 13 games at home (+13.00 Units / 9% ROI)
- Liberty have covered the Spread in 13 of their last 15 games at home (+10.80 Units / 65% ROI)
- Liberty have covered the 1H Spread in 29 of their last 47 games (+9.20 Units / 18% ROI)
- Liberty has hit the Game Total Over in 29 of their last 50 games (+7.00 Units / 13% ROI)
Villanova Basketball Against the Spread Record (ATS)
Villanova has gone 13-20 against the spread this college basketball season (-9 Units / -24.79% ROI).
- 15-17 when betting on the Moneyline for -11.55 Units / -11.16% ROI
- 16-17 when betting the Over for -2.7 Units / -7.44% ROI
- 17-16 when betting the Under for -0.6 Units / -1.65% ROI
Liberty Basketball Against the Spread Record (ATS)
Liberty has gone 18-13 against the spread this college basketball season (+3.7 Units / 10.83% ROI).
- 21-8 when betting on the Moneyline for -2.65 Units / -1.26% ROI
- 15-15 when betting the Over for -1.5 Units / -4.4% ROI
- 15-15 when betting the Under for -1.5 Units / -4.4% ROI
Villanova Offensive Stats & Trends:
Villanova has averaged 10.3 turnovers per game (617 turnovers/60 games) since the start of the 2021-22 season — best among Big East Teams; League Avg: 12.2
Villanova is shooting 83% from the free throw line (309/372) this season — best among Power Conference teams; League Avg: 72%
Villanova is shooting 82% from the free throw line (526/640) in the second half since the start of the 2021-22 season — best among Big East Teams; League Avg: 74%
Villanova has averaged 9.2 turnovers per game (286 turnovers/31 games) at home since the start of the 2021-22 season — best among Big East Teams; League Avg: 12.1
Liberty Offensive Stats & Trends:
Liberty has an assist to turnover ratio of 1.7 (418 assists/ 247 TOs) this season — best among Atlantic Sun Teams; League Avg: 1.2
Liberty has 418 assists this season — most among Atlantic Sun Teams
Liberty has a TS% of 53% this season — best among Atlantic Sun Teams; League Avg: 49%
Liberty has an eFG% of 58% this season — 3rd best among Division 1 Teams; League Avg: 51%
Villanova Defensive Stats & Trends:
Villanova has allowed 64.9 points per game (3,894 points/60 games) since the start of the 2021-22 season — best among Big East Teams; League Avg: 69.5
Villanova has allowed 30.0 points per game (1,800 points/60 games) in the first half since the start of the 2021-22 season — 2nd best among Big East Teams; League Avg: 32.7
Villanova has allowed 64.9 points per game (3,894 points/60 games) since the start of the 2021-22 season — 29th best among Division 1 Teams; League Avg: 69.8
Villanova has averaged 6.3 steals per game (196 steals/31 games) at home since the start of the 2021-22 season — 4th lowest among Big East Teams; League Avg: 7.2
Liberty Defensive Stats & Trends:
Liberty has allowed 58.4 points per game (1,401 points/24 games) this season — 4th best among Division 1 Teams; League Avg: 69.6
Liberty has allowed 61.3 points per game (3,495 points/57 games) since the start of the 2021-22 season — tied for 9th best among Division 1 Teams; League Avg: 69.8
Liberty has allowed 58.4 points per game (1,401 points/24 games) this season — best among Atlantic Sun Teams ; League Avg: 70.4
Liberty has allowed 61.3 points per game (3,495 points/57 games) since the start of the 2021-22 season — 2nd best among Atlantic Sun Teams ; League Avg: 70.4
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