Virginia vs Boston College Prediction, Odds & Best Bets Today – NCAAB, Feb. 28

Boston College head coach Earl Grant holds up his hand during an NCAA college basketball game against Notre Dame Saturday, Jan. 21, 2023 in South Bend, Ind.
(AP Photo/Michael Caterina)
  • Boston College (11-16) is a -1.5 point favorite vs Virginia (14-13)
  • Total (Over/Under): 127.5 points
  • Virginia / Boston College TV channel: ESPNU

The Virginia Cavaliers (14-13) visit Silvio O. Conte Forum to take on the Boston College Eagles (11-16) on Feb. 28. Tip off is scheduled for 9:00pm EST in Chestnut Hill, MA.

Boston College is the betting favorite in this game, with the spread sitting at -1.5 (-110).

The Virginia vs. Boston College Over/Under is 127.5 total points.

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Virginia vs. Boston College Odds, Spread, Over/Under

SpreadTotal (O/U)Moneyline
Virginia+1.5 -110O 127.5 -110+105
Boston College -1.5 -110U 127.5 -110-125

Virginia vs Boston College Prediction for Today:

The winning team model predicts Virginia will win this college basketball game with 51.0% confidence, based on game simulations, player injuries, key player performances and recent matchups.

Virginia vs Boston College Spread Prediction:

Based on recent against-the-spread trends, the spread model predicts Virginia will cover the spread with 62.1% confidence for today’s game.


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  • Virginia has hit the Team Total Under in 21 of their last 34 games (+6.25 Units / 16% ROI)
  • Virginia has hit the Moneyline in 21 of their last 30 games (+5.40 Units / 4% ROI)
  • Virginia has hit the 1H Game Total Under in 20 of their last 34 games (+4.95 Units / 13% ROI)
  • Virginia has hit the Game Total Under in 20 of their last 34 games (+4.70 Units / 13% ROI)
  • Virginia has hit the 1H Moneyline in 4 of their last 5 away games (+3.35 Units / 47% ROI)
  • Boston College has hit the Game Total Over in 20 of their last 31 games (+7.90 Units / 23% ROI)
  • Boston College has hit the Team Total Over in 20 of their last 31 games (+7.20 Units / 20% ROI)
  • Boston College has hit the Moneyline in 17 of their last 30 games (+6.20 Units / 7% ROI)
  • Boston College has hit the 1H Game Total Over in 11 of their last 17 games at home (+4.25 Units / 22% ROI)
  • Boston College have covered the Spread in 9 of their last 17 games at home (+0.20 Units / 1% ROI)

Virginia Basketball Against the Spread Record (ATS)

Virginia has a 15-12 record against the spread this college basketball season (+1.8 Units / 5.84% ROI).

  • 17-7 when betting on the Moneyline for +4.85 Units / 5% ROI
  • 11-17 when betting the Over for -7.9 Units / -25.44% ROI
  • 17-11 when betting the Under for +5 Units / 16.34% ROI

Boston College Basketball Against the Spread Record (ATS)

Boston College has a 12-14 record against the spread this college basketball season (-3.45 Units / -11.62% ROI).

  • 15-11 when betting on the Moneyline for +4.95 Units / 6.37% ROI
  • 17-10 when betting the Over for +6 Units / 20.17% ROI
  • 10-17 when betting the Under for -8.65 Units / -29.17% ROI

Virginia Offensive Stats & Trends:

Virginia has an assist to turnover ratio of 1.9 (883 assists/ 474 TOs) since the start of the 2022-23 season — best among Power Conference teams; League Avg: 1.2

Virginia has averaged 8.5 turnovers per game (474 turnovers/56 games) since the start of the 2022-23 season — best among Power Conference teams; League Avg: 11.7

Virginia has an assist to turnover ratio of 1.6 (299 assists/ 189 TOs) on the road since the start of the 2022-23 season — best among ACC Teams; League Avg: 1.1

Virginia has an assist to turnover ratio of 1.9 (364 assists/ 193 TOs) this season — tied for best among Division 1 Teams; League Avg: 1.1

Boston College Offensive Stats & Trends:

Boston College has 15.9 free throw attempts per game since the start of the 2022-23 season — 4th lowest among Power Conference teams; League Avg: 18.8

Boston College has averaged 1.18 points per shot (2,230 points/1,896 shots) at home since the start of the 2022-23 season — tied for lowest among ACC Teams; League Avg: 1.29

Boston College has a 27% free throw rate (889 free throw attempts/3,257 field goal attempts) since the start of the 2022-23 season — 24th lowest among Division 1 Teams; League Avg: 32%

Boston College has a 27% free throw rate (377 free throw attempts/1,383 field goal attempts) this season — tied for 29th lowest among Division 1 Teams; League Avg: 33%

Virginia Defensive Stats & Trends:

Virginia has allowed 24.1 points per game (555 points/23 games) in the first half this season — best among ACC Teams; League Avg: 32.6

Virginia has allowed 24.1 points per game (555 points/23 games) in the first half this season — best among ACC Teams; League Avg: 32.6

Virginia has allowed 55.2 points per game (1,931 points/35 games) at home since the start of the 2022-23 season — best among ACC Teams; League Avg: 68.1

Virginia has allowed 59.6 points per game (953 points/16 games) this season — best among Power Conference defenses; League Avg: 76.1

Boston College Defensive Stats & Trends:

Boston College has allowed opponents to shoot 37% from three (313/850) since the start of the 2022-23 season — 4th highest among Power Conference defenses; League Avg: 34%

Boston College has allowed opponents to shoot 35% from three (99/282) in the first half this season — tied for highest among ACC Teams; League Avg: 32%

Boston College has allowed opponents to shoot 35% from three (241/693) at home since the start of the 2022-23 season — 2nd highest among ACC Teams; League Avg: 33%

Boston College has allowed opponents to shoot 36% from three (453/1,257) since the start of the 2022-23 season — highest among ACC Teams; League Avg: 33%


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Our BetMGM betting authors are experts who focus on individual game matchups & player prop bets with an emphasis on betting odds, lines & predictions.

Our BetMGM betting authors are experts who focus on individual game matchups & player prop bets with an emphasis on betting odds, lines & predictions.