Virginia vs Florida Prediction, Odds & Best Bets Today – NCAAB, Dec. 4

(AP Photo)
  • Florida is a -16.5 point favorite vs Virginia
  • Total (Over/Under): 132.5 points
  • Virginia / Florida TV channel: ESPN2

The Virginia Cavaliers visit Stephen C. O’Connell Center to take on the Florida Gators on Dec. 4. Tip off is scheduled for 7:15pm EST in Gainesville, FL.

Florida is the betting favorite in this game, with the spread sitting at -16.5 (-105).

The Virginia vs. Florida Over/Under is 132.5 total points.

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Virginia vs. Florida Odds, Spread, Over/Under

SpreadTotal (O/U)Moneyline
Virginia+16.5 -115O 132.5 -105+950
Florida -16.5 -105U 132.5 -115-2000

Virginia vs Florida Prediction for Today:

The winning team model predicts Florida will win this college basketball game with 80.0% confidence, based on game simulations, player injuries, key player performances and recent matchups.

Virginia vs Florida Spread Prediction:

Based on recent against-the-spread trends, the spread model predicts Florida will cover the spread with 63.7% confidence for today’s game.


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  • Virginia has hit the Moneyline in 20 of their last 31 games (+7.90 Units / 5% ROI)
  • Virginia has hit the Team Total Under in 20 of their last 33 games (+4.75 Units / 13% ROI)
  • Virginia has hit the 1H Game Total Under in 19 of their last 33 games (+4.15 Units / 11% ROI)
  • Virginia has hit the Game Total Under in 18 of their last 33 games (+1.60 Units / 4% ROI)
  • Virginia have covered the 1H Spread in 7 of their last 13 away games (+0.35 Units / 2% ROI)
  • Florida has hit the Moneyline in 18 of their last 20 games at home (+15.50 Units / 2% ROI)
  • Florida have covered the 1H Spread in 23 of their last 37 games (+9.25 Units / 22% ROI)
  • Florida has hit the Team Total Over in 22 of their last 37 games (+4.99 Units / 12% ROI)
  • Florida has hit the Game Total Over in 21 of their last 37 games (+3.40 Units / 8% ROI)
  • Florida has hit the 1H Moneyline in 27 of their last 37 games (+3.00 Units / 0% ROI)

Virginia Basketball Against the Spread Record (ATS)

Virginia has a 3-4 record against the spread this college basketball season (-1.4 Units / -18.18% ROI).

  • 6-1 when betting on the Moneyline for +9.45 Units / 12.68% ROI
  • 3-4 when betting the Over for -1.4 Units / -18.18% ROI
  • 4-3 when betting the Under for +0.7 Units / 9.09% ROI

Florida Basketball Against the Spread Record (ATS)

Florida has a 5-3 record against the spread this college basketball season (+1.75 Units / 20% ROI).

  • 8-0 when betting on the Moneyline for +8 Units / 1.31% ROI
  • 3-5 when betting the Over for -2.5 Units / -28.41% ROI
  • 5-3 when betting the Under for +1.7 Units / 19.32% ROI

Virginia Offensive Stats & Trends:

Virginia averaged 62.7 points per game (1,944 points/31 games) last season — lowest among ACC Teams; League Avg: 74.5

Virginia shot 62% from the free throw line (260/416) last season — lowest among Power Conference teams; League Avg: 73%

Virginia averaged 8.2 turnovers per game (255 turnovers/31 games) last season — best among Power Conference teams; League Avg: 11.3

Virginia averaged 62.7 points per game (1,944 points/31 games) last season — lowest among Power Conference teams; League Avg: 75.6

Florida Offensive Stats & Trends:

Florida averaged 14.6 offensive rebounds per game (527 rebounds/36 games) last season — 2nd best among Power Conference teams; League Avg: 10.8

Florida averaged 14.6 offensive rebounds per game (527 rebounds/36 games) last season — 2nd best among Division 1 Teams; League Avg: 9.8

Florida had 25.1 free throw attempts per game last season — 6th best among Division 1 Teams; League Avg: 19.2

Florida had 25.1 free throw attempts per game last season — 2nd best among Power Conference teams; League Avg: 19.6

Virginia Defensive Stats & Trends:

Virginia allowed 25.9 points per game (803 points/31 games) in the first half last season — best among ACC Teams; League Avg: 33.5

Virginia allowed 25.9 points per game (803 points/31 games) in the first half last season — best among ACC Teams; League Avg: 33.5

Virginia allowed 59.2 points per game (1,835 points/31 games) last season — 2nd best among Division 1 Teams; League Avg: 72.0

Virginia allowed 59.2 points per game (1,835 points/31 games) last season — 2nd best among Division 1 Teams; League Avg: 72.0

Florida Defensive Stats & Trends:

Florida averaged 27.7 defensive rebounds per game (997 rebounds/36 games) last season — 21st best among Division 1 Teams; League Avg: 24.5

Florida averaged 6.7 steals per game (241 steals/36 games) last season — 5th lowest among SEC Teams; League Avg: 6.9

Florida allowed 79.2 points per game (2,851 points/36 games) last season — tied for 17th highest among Division 1 Teams; League Avg: 72.0

Florida allowed an average of 1.40 points per shot (1,561 points/1,115 shots) in the second half last season — 2nd highest among SEC Teams; League Avg: 1.33


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Our BetMGM betting authors are experts who focus on individual game matchups & player prop bets with an emphasis on betting odds, lines & predictions.

Our BetMGM betting authors are experts who focus on individual game matchups & player prop bets with an emphasis on betting odds, lines & predictions.