- North Carolina is a -9.5 point favorite vs Virginia
- Total (Over/Under): 141.5 points
- Virginia / North Carolina TV channel: ESPN2
The Virginia Cavaliers visit Dean Smith Center to take on the North Carolina Tar Heels on Feb. 22. Tip off is scheduled for 4:00pm EST in Chapel Hill, NC, USA.
North Carolina is the betting favorite in this game, with the spread sitting at -9.5 (-105).
The Virginia vs. North Carolina Over/Under is 141.5 total points.
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Virginia vs. North Carolina Odds, Spread, Over/Under
| Spread | Total (O/U) | Moneyline | |
| Virginia | +9.5 -115 | O 141.5 -110 | +360 |
| North Carolina | -9.5 -105 | U 141.5 -110 | -475 |
Virginia vs North Carolina Prediction for Today:
The winning team model predicts North Carolina will win this college basketball game with 80.0% confidence, based on game simulations, player injuries, key player performances and recent matchups.
Virginia vs North Carolina Spread Prediction:
Based on recent against-the-spread trends, the spread model predicts North Carolina will cover the spread with 53.8% confidence for today’s game.
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Virginia Basketball Best Bets Today:
- Virginia has hit the Moneyline in 17 of their last 33 games (+10.05 Units / 7% ROI)
- Virginia has hit the Game Total Over in 20 of their last 33 games (+5.75 Units / 16% ROI)
- Virginia have covered the 1H Spread in 8 of their last 12 away games (+3.50 Units / 26% ROI)
- Virginia has hit the Team Total Over in 8 of their last 12 away games (+3.18 Units / 23% ROI)
- Virginia has hit the 1H Game Total Over in 18 of their last 33 games (+2.15 Units / 6% ROI)
North Carolina Basketball Best Bets Today:
- North Carolina has hit the 1H Moneyline in 26 of their last 38 games (+7.50 Units / 2% ROI)
- North Carolina has hit the 1H Game Total Over in 14 of their last 25 games at home (+1.55 Units / 5% ROI)
- North Carolina has hit the Team Total Under in 21 of their last 38 games (+1.54 Units / 4% ROI)
- North Carolina has hit the Game Total Over in 20 of their last 38 games (+0.25 Units / 1% ROI)
Virginia Basketball Against the Spread Record (ATS)
Virginia has a 13-13 record against the spread this college basketball season (-1.3 Units / -4.55% ROI).
- 14-12 when betting on the Moneyline for +11.45 Units / 9.15% ROI
- 16-10 when betting the Over for +5.05 Units / 17.72% ROI
- 10-16 when betting the Under for -7.75 Units / -26.96% ROI
North Carolina Basketball Against the Spread Record (ATS)
North Carolina has a 8-18 record against the spread this college basketball season (-11.85 Units / -39.77% ROI).
- 16-11 when betting on the Moneyline for -2.45 Units / -0.32% ROI
- 14-13 when betting the Over for -0.25 Units / -0.84% ROI
- 13-14 when betting the Under for -2.4 Units / -8.07% ROI
Virginia Offensive Stats & Trends:
Virginia had an assist to turnover ratio of 1.9 (474 assists/ 255 TOs) last season — tied for 2nd best among Division 1 Teams; League Avg: 1.2
Virginia has 13.7 free throw attempts per game this season — lowest among Power Conference teams; League Avg: 19.7
Virginia averaged 62.7 points per game (1,944 points/31 games) last season — lowest among ACC Teams; League Avg: 74.5
Virginia shot 62% from the free throw line (260/416) last season — lowest among Power Conference teams; League Avg: 73%
North Carolina Offensive Stats & Trends:
North Carolina had 22.8 free throw attempts per game last season — tied for 26th best among Division 1 Teams; League Avg: 19.2
North Carolina has averaged 80.9 points per game (2,184 points/27 games) this season — 21st best among Division 1 Teams; League Avg: 74.0
North Carolina has averaged 85.9 points per game (3,178 points/37 games) at home since the start of the 2023-24 season — best among ACC Teams; League Avg: 76.6
North Carolina has averaged 82.0 points per game (5,087 points/62 games) since the start of the 2023-24 season — tied for 11th best among Division 1 Teams; League Avg: 73.6
Virginia Defensive Stats & Trends:
Virginia allowed 59.2 points per game (1,835 points/31 games) last season — 2nd best among Division 1 Teams; League Avg: 72.0
Virginia allowed 59.2 points per game (1,835 points/31 games) last season — best among ACC Teams; League Avg: 71.5
Virginia allowed 59.2 points per game (1,835 points/31 games) last season — best among ACC Teams; League Avg: 71.5
Virginia has allowed 57.7 points per game (2,136 points/37 games) at home since the start of the 2023-24 season — best among ACC Teams; League Avg: 69.4
North Carolina Defensive Stats & Trends:
North Carolina averaged 28.9 defensive rebounds per game (1,012 rebounds/35 games) last season — 7th best among Division 1 Teams; League Avg: 24.5
North Carolina allowed opponents to shoot 40% (425/1,062) in the second half last season — best among ACC Teams; League Avg: 45%
North Carolina allowed opponents to shoot 41% (891/2,158) last season — tied for 24th best among Division 1 Teams; League Avg: 44%
North Carolina has allowed 76.7 points per game (2,070 points/27 games) this season — 30th highest among Division 1 Teams; League Avg: 72.1
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