- North Carolina (17-11) is a -3.5 point favorite vs Virginia (21-5)
- Total (Over/Under): 131.5 points
- Watch the game on ESPN
The Virginia Cavaliers (21-5) visit Dean Smith Center to take on the North Carolina Tar Heels (17-11) on Feb. 25. Tip off is scheduled for 6:00pm EST in Chapel Hill.
North Carolina is the betting favorite in this game, with the spread sitting at -3.5 (-105).
The Virginia vs. North Carolina Over/Under is 131.5 total points.
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Virginia vs. North Carolina Odds, Spread, Over/Under
Spread | Total (O/U) | Moneyline | |
Virginia | +3.5 -115 | O 131.5 -110 | +135 |
North Carolina | -3.5 -105 | U 131.5 -110 | -160 |
Virginia vs North Carolina Prediction for Today’s Game:
Based on recent trends, the winning team model predicts North Carolina will win this game with 55.4% confidence.
Virginia vs North Carolina Spread Prediction:
Based on recent against-the-spread trends, the model predicts North Carolina will cover the spread with 51.0% confidence.
Both predictions factor in up-to-date player injuries for both Virginia and North Carolina, plus offensive & defensive matchups, recent games and key player performances this season.
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Virginia Basketball Best Bets Today:
- Virginia has hit the Moneyline in 31 of their last 45 games (+13.65 Units / 9% ROI)
- Virginia has hit the 1H Game Total Under in 21 of their last 35 games (+6.60 Units / 17% ROI)
- Virginia has hit the Game Total Over in 15 of their last 23 away games (+6.20 Units / 25% ROI)
- Virginia has hit the 1H Moneyline in 11 of their last 15 games (+3.35 Units / 8% ROI)
North Carolina Basketball Best Bets Today:
- North Carolina has hit the 1H Game Total Under in 20 of their last 31 games (+8.95 Units / 26% ROI)
- North Carolina has hit the Moneyline in 23 of their last 36 games (+8.10 Units / 7% ROI)
- North Carolina has hit the Game Total Under in 10 of their last 12 games (+7.80 Units / 59% ROI)
- North Carolina have covered the Spread in 7 of their last 12 games at home (+1.50 Units / 11% ROI)
Virginia Basketball Against the Spread Record (ATS)
Virginia has gone 10-15 against the spread this college basketball season (-6.5 Units / 0% ROI).
- 17-5 when betting on the Moneyline for +7.55 Units / 7.09% ROI
- 13-13 when betting the Over for -1.3 Units / -4.55% ROI
- 13-13 when betting the Under for -1.3 Units / -4.55% ROI
North Carolina Basketball Against the Spread Record (ATS)
North Carolina has gone 8-20 against the spread this college basketball season (-14.05 Units / -45.54% ROI).
- 13-11 when betting on the Moneyline for -5.9 Units / -6.14% ROI
- 12-16 when betting the Over for -5.6 Units / -18.18% ROI
- 16-12 when betting the Under for +2.8 Units / 9.09% ROI
Virginia Offensive Stats & Trends:
Virginia has an assist to turnover ratio of 1.8 (331 assists/ 188 TOs) this season — best among Power Conference teams; League Avg: 1.1
Virginia has an assist to turnover ratio of 1.8 (331 assists/ 188 TOs) this season — best among Division 1 Teams; League Avg: 1.1
Virginia has an assist to turnover ratio of 1.8 (331 assists/ 188 TOs) this season — best among Division 1 Teams; League Avg: 1.1
Virginia has an assist to turnover ratio of 1.6 (159 assists/ 97 TOs) in the second half this season — best among ACC Teams; League Avg: 1.1
North Carolina Offensive Stats & Trends:
North Carolina has 24.7 free throw attempts per game this season — tied for 2nd best among Power Conference teams; League Avg: 18.4
North Carolina has 1,815 defensive rebounds since the start of the 2021-22 season — most among ACC Teams
North Carolina has a 41% free throw rate (543 free throw attempts/1,318 field goal attempts) this season — 3rd highest among Division 1 Teams; League Avg: 31%
North Carolina has attempted 543 free throws this season — most among ACC Teams
Virginia Defensive Stats & Trends:
Virginia has averaged 23.4 defensive rebounds per game (1,287 rebounds/55 games) since the start of the 2021-22 season — tied for 4th lowest among Power Conference teams; League Avg: 25.7
Virginia has averaged 23.4 defensive rebounds per game (1,287 rebounds/55 games) since the start of the 2021-22 season — tied for 4th lowest among Power Conference teams; League Avg: 25.7
Virginia has averaged 6.7 steals per game (134 steals/20 games) this season — 5th best among ACC Teams; League Avg: 6.2
Virginia has averaged 6.7 steals per game (134 steals/20 games) this season — 5th best among ACC Teams; League Avg: 6.2
North Carolina Defensive Stats & Trends:
North Carolina has averaged 29.8 defensive rebounds per game (1,815 rebounds/61 games) since the start of the 2021-22 season — 3rd best among Division 1 Teams; League Avg: 24.4
North Carolina has averaged 29.8 defensive rebounds per game (1,815 rebounds/61 games) since the start of the 2021-22 season — 2nd best among Power Conference teams; League Avg: 25.7
North Carolina has averaged 29.0 defensive rebounds per game (637 rebounds/22 games) this season — 4th best among Power Conference teams; League Avg: 25.7
North Carolina has allowed an average of 1.15 points per shot (1,578 points/1,367 shots) this season — tied for 38th best among Division 1 Teams; League Avg: 1.21
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