Virginia Tech vs Louisville Prediction, Odds & Best Bets Today – NCAAB, Feb. 28

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Louisville head coach Kenny Payne argues with a game official during the first half of an NCAA college basketball game against Wake Forest in Louisville, Ky., Saturday, Jan. 7, 2023.
(AP Photo/Timothy D. Easley)
BetMGM Betting @BETMGM Feb 28, 2023, 12:06 PM
  • Virginia Tech (16-13) is a -10.5 point favorite vs Louisville (4-25)
  • Total (Over/Under): 145.5 points
  • Watch the game on ACC Network

The Virginia Tech Hokies (16-13) visit KFC Yum! Center to take on the Louisville Cardinals (4-25) on Feb. 28. Tip off is scheduled for 9:00pm EST in Louisville.

Virginia Tech is the betting favorite in this game, with the spread sitting at -10.5 (-110).

The Virginia Tech vs. Louisville Over/Under is 145.5 total points.

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Virginia Tech vs. Louisville Odds, Spread, Over/Under

SpreadTotal (O/U)Moneyline
Virginia Tech-10.5 -110O 145.5 -110-600
Louisville +10.5 -110U 145.5 -110+425

Virginia Tech vs Louisville Prediction for Today’s Game:

Based on recent trends, the winning team model predicts Virginia Tech will win this game with 71.5% confidence.

Virginia Tech vs Louisville Spread Prediction:

Based on recent against-the-spread trends, the model predicts Louisville will cover the spread with 51.0% confidence.

Both predictions factor in up-to-date player injuries for both Virginia Tech and Louisville, plus offensive & defensive matchups, recent games and key player performances this season.


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  • Virginia Tech has hit the 1H Game Total Over in 29 of their last 44 games (+14.70 Units / 30% ROI)
  • Virginia Tech has hit the Game Total Over in 16 of their last 21 away games (+11.60 Units / 50% ROI)
  • Louisville has hit the Team Total Under in 12 of their last 17 games (+6.30 Units / 33% ROI)
  • Louisville have covered the Spread in 11 of their last 17 games (+4.40 Units / 24% ROI)
  • Louisville have covered the 1H Spread in 4 of their last 5 games (+2.90 Units / 53% ROI)
  • Louisville has hit the 1H Moneyline in 4 of their last 9 games at home (+2.85 Units / 32% ROI)

Virginia Tech Basketball Against the Spread Record (ATS)

Virginia Tech has gone 11-17 against the spread this college basketball season (-7.7 Units / 0% ROI).

  • 12-13 when betting on the Moneyline for -20.3 Units / -23.24% ROI
  • 18-10 when betting the Over for +7 Units / 21.94% ROI
  • 10-18 when betting the Under for -9.8 Units / -30.72% ROI

Louisville Basketball Against the Spread Record (ATS)

Louisville has gone 12-17 against the spread this college basketball season (-6.7 Units / -21% ROI).

  • 4-24 when betting on the Moneyline for -20.4 Units / -40.56% ROI
  • 14-14 when betting the Over for -1.4 Units / -4.39% ROI
  • 14-14 when betting the Under for -1.4 Units / -4.39% ROI

Virginia Tech Offensive Stats & Trends:

Virginia Tech has 14.5 free throw attempts per game this season — tied for 4th lowest among Power Conference teams; League Avg: 18.4

Virginia Tech has an assist to turnover ratio of 1.9 (188 assists/ 98 TOs) in the first half this season — tied for best among ACC Teams; League Avg: 1.2

Virginia Tech has a TS% of 51% since the start of the 2021-22 season — best among Power Conference teams; League Avg: 47%

Virginia Tech has an assist to turnover ratio of 1.4 (849 assists/ 624 TOs) since the start of the 2021-22 season — tied for 10th best among Division 1 Teams; League Avg: 1.1

Louisville Offensive Stats & Trends:

Louisville has an assist to turnover ratio of 0.6 (198 assists/ 357 TOs) this season — lowest among ACC Teams; League Avg: 1.2

Louisville has averaged 16.2 turnovers per game (357 turnovers/22 games) this season — highest among Power Conference teams; League Avg: 12.2

Louisville has averaged 9.0 assists per game (198 assists/22 games) this season — lowest among ACC Teams; League Avg: 13.5

Louisville has averaged 16.2 turnovers per game (357 turnovers/22 games) this season — highest among ACC Teams; League Avg: 11.6

Virginia Tech Defensive Stats & Trends:

Virginia Tech has averaged 5.3 steals per game (310 steals/58 games) since the start of the 2021-22 season — tied for 22nd lowest among Division 1 Teams; League Avg: 6.6

Virginia Tech has averaged 5.3 steals per game (310 steals/58 games) since the start of the 2021-22 season — tied for 2nd lowest among ACC Teams; League Avg: 6.4

Virginia Tech has averaged 5.4 steals per game (118 steals/22 games) this season — 4th lowest among ACC Teams; League Avg: 6.2

Virginia Tech has averaged 5.0 steals per game (169 steals/34 games) at home since the start of the 2021-22 season — lowest among ACC Teams; League Avg: 6.6

Louisville Defensive Stats & Trends:

Louisville has averaged 5.0 steals per game (111 steals/22 games) this season — 2nd lowest among ACC Teams; League Avg: 6.2

Louisville has averaged 5.4 steals per game (118 steals/22 games) on the road since the start of the 2021-22 season — 4th lowest among ACC Teams; League Avg: 6.1

Louisville has allowed opponents to shoot 46% (299/652) in the first half this season — highest among ACC Teams; League Avg: 43%

Louisville has allowed an average of 1.19 points per shot (2,246 points/1,894 shots) at home since the start of the 2021-22 season — 5th highest among ACC Teams; League Avg: 1.16


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Our BetMGM betting authors are experts who focus on individual game matchups & player prop bets with an emphasis on betting odds, lines & predictions.

Our BetMGM betting authors are experts who focus on individual game matchups & player prop bets with an emphasis on betting odds, lines & predictions.