Western Kentucky vs North Texas Prediction, Odds & Best Bets Today – NCAAB, Mar. 4

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BetMGM Betting @BETMGM Mar 04, 2023, 11:11 AM
  • North Texas (24-6) is a -9.5 point favorite vs Western Kentucky (16-14)
  • Total (Over/Under): 125.5 points
  • Watch the game on STADIUM

The Western Kentucky Hilltoppers (16-14) visit UNT Coliseum to take on the North Texas Mean Green (24-6) on Mar. 4. Tip off is scheduled for 3:00pm EST in Denton.

North Texas is the betting favorite in this game, with the spread sitting at -9.5 (-105).

The Western Kentucky vs. North Texas Over/Under is 125.5 total points.

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Western Kentucky vs. North Texas Odds, Spread, Over/Under

SpreadTotal (O/U)Moneyline
Western Kentucky+9.5 -115O 125.5 -115+375
North Texas -9.5 -105U 125.5 -105-500

Western Kentucky vs North Texas Prediction for Today’s Game:

Based on recent trends, the winning team model predicts North Texas will win this game with 68.5% confidence.

Western Kentucky vs North Texas Spread Prediction:

Based on recent against-the-spread trends, the model predicts North Texas will cover the spread with 53.7% confidence.

Both predictions factor in up-to-date player injuries for both Western Kentucky and North Texas, plus offensive & defensive matchups, recent games and key player performances this season.


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  • Western Kentucky has hit the 1H Moneyline in 6 of their last 9 away games (+6.00 Units / 58% ROI)
  • Western Kentucky has hit the Game Total Over in 9 of their last 12 games (+5.70 Units / 43% ROI)
  • Western Kentucky have covered the 1H Spread in 15 of their last 24 away games (+5.10 Units / 19% ROI)
  • Western Kentucky has hit the Team Total Over in 13 of their last 20 games (+4.95 Units / 21% ROI)
  • Western Kentucky has hit the Moneyline in 22 of their last 38 games (+4.15 Units / 5% ROI)
  • North Texas has hit the Moneyline in 40 of their last 50 games (+20.35 Units / 9% ROI)
  • North Texas has hit the 1H Moneyline in 15 of their last 17 games (+11.55 Units / 25% ROI)
  • North Texas has hit the 1H Game Total Under in 26 of their last 41 games (+9.40 Units / 21% ROI)
  • North Texas have covered the Spread in 7 of their last 8 games (+5.90 Units / 67% ROI)
  • North Texas has hit the Game Total Under in 25 of their last 47 games (+3.00 Units / 6% ROI)

Western Kentucky Basketball Against the Spread Record (ATS)

Western Kentucky has gone 11-15 against the spread this college basketball season (-5.5 Units / 0% ROI).

  • 13-14 when betting on the Moneyline for -2.75 Units / -4.75% ROI
  • 16-12 when betting the Over for +2.8 Units / 9.09% ROI
  • 12-16 when betting the Under for -5.6 Units / -18.18% ROI

North Texas Basketball Against the Spread Record (ATS)

North Texas has gone 14-13 against the spread this college basketball season (-0.3 Units / 0% ROI).

  • 22-6 when betting on the Moneyline for +7.15 Units / 5.5% ROI
  • 13-14 when betting the Over for -2.4 Units / -7.79% ROI
  • 14-13 when betting the Under for -0.3 Units / -0.97% ROI

Western Kentucky Offensive Stats & Trends:

Western Kentucky has an assist to turnover ratio of 1.3 (314 assists/ 248 TOs) this season — tied for best among Conference USA Teams; League Avg: 1.0

Western Kentucky has averaged 10.8 turnovers per game (248 turnovers/23 games) this season — tied for 20th best among Division 1 Teams; League Avg: 12.5

Western Kentucky has a TS% of 48% this season — 5th lowest among Conference USA Teams; League Avg: 48%

Western Kentucky has averaged 8.1 offensive rebounds per game (187 rebounds/23 games) this season — 3rd lowest among Conference USA Teams; League Avg: 9.6

North Texas Offensive Stats & Trends:

North Texas has averaged 61.8 points per game (1,421 points/23 games) this season — 7th lowest among Division 1 Teams; League Avg: 71.8

North Texas has averaged 61.8 points per game (1,421 points/23 games) this season — lowest among Conference USA Teams; League Avg: 72.1

North Texas has averaged 10.5 assists per game (241 assists/23 games) this season — lowest among Conference USA Teams; League Avg: 13.1

North Texas has an eFG% of 49% this season — 2nd lowest among Conference USA Teams; League Avg: 52%

Western Kentucky Defensive Stats & Trends:

Western Kentucky has averaged 25.0 defensive rebounds per game (574 rebounds/23 games) this season — 4th best among Conference USA Teams; League Avg: 24.1

Western Kentucky has averaged 6.2 steals per game (143 steals/23 games) this season — 4th lowest among Conference USA Teams; League Avg: 7.1

Western Kentucky has averaged 7.5 steals per game (414 steals/55 games) since the start of the 2021-22 season — 4th best among Conference USA Teams; League Avg: 7.0

Western Kentucky has averaged 25.5 defensive rebounds per game (1,403 rebounds/55 games) since the start of the 2021-22 season — tied for 3rd best among Conference USA Teams; League Avg: 24.4

North Texas Defensive Stats & Trends:

North Texas has averaged 22.1 defensive rebounds per game (1,216 rebounds/55 games) since the start of the 2021-22 season — lowest among Conference USA Teams; League Avg: 24.4

North Texas has averaged 20.7 defensive rebounds per game (477 rebounds/23 games) this season — lowest among Conference USA Teams; League Avg: 24.1

North Texas has averaged 20.7 defensive rebounds per game (477 rebounds/23 games) this season — 10th lowest among Division 1 Teams; League Avg: 24.2

North Texas has averaged 22.1 defensive rebounds per game (1,216 rebounds/55 games) since the start of the 2021-22 season — tied for 12th lowest among Division 1 Teams; League Avg: 24.4


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Our BetMGM betting authors are experts who focus on individual game matchups & player prop bets with an emphasis on betting odds, lines & predictions.

Our BetMGM betting authors are experts who focus on individual game matchups & player prop bets with an emphasis on betting odds, lines & predictions.