Wichita State vs South Florida Prediction, Odds & Best Bets Today – NCAAB, Jan. 21

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South Florida guard Selton Miguel, left, drives around Auburn guard Zep Jasper during the first half of an NCAA college basketball game Friday, Nov. 11, 2022, in Auburn, Ala. (AP Photo/Butch Dill)
(AP Photo/Butch Dill)
BetMGM Betting @BETMGM Jan 21, 2024, 12:11 PM
  • South Florida (9-5) is a -4.5 point favorite vs Wichita State (5-11)
  • Total (Over/Under): 151.5 points
  • Wichita State / South Florida TV channel: ESPN+

The Wichita State Shockers (5-11) visit Yuengling Center to take on the South Florida Bulls (9-5) on Jan. 21. Tip off is scheduled for 2:00pm EST in Tampa, FL.

South Florida is the betting favorite in this game, with the spread sitting at -4.5 (-110).

The Wichita State vs. South Florida Over/Under is 151.5 total points.

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Wichita State vs. South Florida Odds, Spread, Over/Under

SpreadTotal (O/U)Moneyline
Wichita State+4.5 -110O 151.5 -110+165
South Florida -4.5 -110U 151.5 -110-200

Wichita State vs South Florida Prediction for Today:

The winning team model predicts South Florida will win this college basketball game with 66.1% confidence, based on game simulations, player injuries, key player performances and recent matchups.

Wichita State vs South Florida Spread Prediction:

Based on recent against-the-spread trends, the spread model predicts Wichita State will cover the spread with 52.0% confidence for today’s game.


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  • Wichita State has hit the Game Total Over in 23 of their last 30 games (+15.25 Units / 46% ROI)
  • Wichita State has hit the 1H Game Total Over in 19 of their last 30 games (+8.75 Units / 26% ROI)
  • Wichita State has hit the Team Total Over in 11 of their last 15 away games (+6.40 Units / 38% ROI)
  • Wichita State has hit the 1H Moneyline in 7 of their last 15 away games (+3.00 Units / 16% ROI)
  • South Florida has hit the Game Total Under in 12 of their last 17 games at home (+6.50 Units / 35% ROI)
  • South Florida have covered the Spread in 15 of their last 28 games (+4.00 Units / 13% ROI)
  • South Florida has hit the 1H Game Total Over in 16 of their last 28 games (+3.35 Units / 10% ROI)

Wichita State Basketball Against the Spread Record (ATS)

Wichita State has a 4-12 record against the spread this college basketball season (-9.2 Units / -52.27% ROI).

  • 6-10 when betting on the Moneyline for -6 Units / -15.92% ROI
  • 10-6 when betting the Over for +3.35 Units / 18.98% ROI
  • 6-10 when betting the Under for -5 Units / -28.49% ROI

South Florida Basketball Against the Spread Record (ATS)

South Florida has a 9-5 record against the spread this college basketball season (+3.5 Units / 21.15% ROI).

  • 9-5 when betting on the Moneyline for -8.45 Units / -13.35% ROI
  • 4-11 when betting the Over for -8.05 Units / -48.94% ROI
  • 11-4 when betting the Under for +6.6 Units / 39.88% ROI

Wichita State Offensive Stats & Trends:

Wichita State has an assist to turnover ratio of 0.9 (199 assists/ 215 TOs) this season — tied for lowest among AAC Teams; League Avg: 1.1

Wichita State has an assist to turnover ratio of 0.9 (199 assists/ 215 TOs) this season — tied for 17th lowest among Division 1 Teams; League Avg: 1.1

Wichita State has averaged 1.18 points per shot (1,265 points/1,069 shots) this season — 2nd lowest among AAC Teams; League Avg: 1.26

Wichita State has averaged 12.6 turnovers per game (215 turnovers/17 games) this season — 3rd highest among AAC Teams; League Avg: 11.7

South Florida Offensive Stats & Trends:

South Florida has averaged 1.23 points per shot (3,447 points/2,795 shots) since the start of the 2022-23 season — tied for 4th best among AAC Teams; League Avg: 1.25

South Florida is shooting 68% from the free throw line (634/933) since the start of the 2022-23 season — 2nd lowest among AAC Teams; League Avg: 72%

South Florida has 160 turnovers this season — fewest among AAC Teams

South Florida has a 33% free throw rate (933 free throw attempts/2,795 field goal attempts) since the start of the 2022-23 season — 4th highest among AAC Teams; League Avg: 33%

Wichita State Defensive Stats & Trends:

Wichita State has averaged 6.1 steals per game (104 steals/17 games) this season — 3rd lowest among AAC Teams; League Avg: 7.4

Wichita State has allowed an average of 1.15 points per shot (1,273 points/1,104 shots) this season — 2nd best among AAC Teams; League Avg: 1.19

Wichita State has forced 10.1 turnovers per game (172 turnovers/17 games) this season — tied for lowest among AAC Teams; League Avg: 12.6

Wichita State has allowed opponents to shoot 42% (463/1,104) this season — 4th best among AAC Teams; League Avg: 42%

South Florida Defensive Stats & Trends:

South Florida has 319 steals since the start of the 2022-23 season — 5th most among AAC Teams

South Florida has allowed an average of 1.25 points per shot (3,360 points/2,683 shots) since the start of the 2022-23 season — highest among AAC Teams; League Avg: 1.20

South Florida has allowed opponents to shoot 43% (1,153/2,683) since the start of the 2022-23 season — 4th highest among AAC Teams; League Avg: 42%

South Florida has allowed opponents to shoot 34% from three (352/1,034) since the start of the 2022-23 season — 2nd highest among AAC Teams; League Avg: 32%


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Our BetMGM betting authors are experts who focus on individual game matchups & player prop bets with an emphasis on betting odds, lines & predictions.

Our BetMGM betting authors are experts who focus on individual game matchups & player prop bets with an emphasis on betting odds, lines & predictions.