Xavier vs Texas Prediction, Odds & Best Bets Today – NCAAB, Mar. 24

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BetMGM Betting @BETMGM Mar 23, 2023, 10:41 AM
  • Texas (28-8) is a -4.5 point favorite vs Xavier (27-9)
  • Total (Over/Under): 148.5 points
  • Watch the game on CBS

The Xavier Musketeers (27-9) visit T-Mobile Center to take on the Texas Longhorns (28-8) on Mar. 24. Tip off is scheduled for 9:45pm EDT in Kansas City.

Texas is the betting favorite in this game, with the spread sitting at -4.5 (-105).

The Xavier vs. Texas Over/Under is 148.5 total points.

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Xavier vs. Texas Odds, Spread, Over/Under

SpreadTotal (O/U)Moneyline
Xavier+4.5 -115O 148.5 -110+155
Texas -4.5 -105U 148.5 -110-190

Xavier vs Texas Prediction for March Madness:

Based on recent trends, the winning team model predicts Texas will win this March Madness game with 59.8% confidence.

Xavier vs Texas Spread Prediction:

Based on recent against-the-spread trends, the model predicts Texas will cover the spread with 51.0% confidence.

Both predictions factor in up-to-date player injuries for both Xavier and Texas, plus offensive & defensive matchups, recent games and key player performances this season.


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  • Xavier has hit the Game Total Over in 32 of their last 50 games (+13.30 Units / 24% ROI)
  • Xavier have covered the 1H Spread in 10 of their last 14 games (+5.60 Units / 36% ROI)
  • Xavier have covered the Spread in 9 of their last 14 away games (+3.50 Units / 23% ROI)
  • Xavier has hit the 1H Moneyline in 3 of their last 4 away games (+3.10 Units / 74% ROI)
  • Xavier has hit the Team Total Under in 11 of their last 18 games (+2.85 Units / 14% ROI)
  • Texas has hit the Moneyline in their last 12 games at home (+12.00 Units / 29% ROI)
  • Texas has hit the Team Total Under in 14 of their last 18 games at home (+9.45 Units / 46% ROI)
  • Texas have covered the 1H Spread in 17 of their last 25 games at home (+9.25 Units / 33% ROI)
  • Texas has hit the 1H Moneyline in 9 of their last 10 games at home (+9.00 Units / 39% ROI)
  • Texas has hit the Game Total Under in their last 7 games (+7.00 Units / 91% ROI)

Xavier Basketball Against the Spread Record (ATS)

Xavier has gone 19-16 against the spread this college basketball season (+1.4 Units / 0% ROI).

  • 23-9 when betting on the Moneyline for +10.45 Units / 8.83% ROI
  • 22-13 when betting the Over for +7.7 Units / 19.44% ROI
  • 13-22 when betting the Under for -11.2 Units / -28.28% ROI

Texas Basketball Against the Spread Record (ATS)

Texas has gone 18-17 against the spread this college basketball season (-0.7 Units / 0% ROI).

  • 21-8 when betting on the Moneyline for +8.85 Units / 10.06% ROI
  • 16-18 when betting the Over for -3.8 Units / -9.6% ROI
  • 18-16 when betting the Under for +0.4 Units / 1.01% ROI

Xavier Offensive Stats & Trends:

Xavier has averaged 20.8 assists per game (478 assists/23 games) this season — best among Division 1 Teams; League Avg: 13.3

Xavier has averaged 20.8 assists per game (478 assists/23 games) this season — best among Power Conference teams; League Avg: 14.1

Xavier has an assist to turnover ratio of 1.6 (478 assists/ 295 TOs) this season — tied for 4th best among Power Conference teams; League Avg: 1.1

Xavier is shooting 40% from three (167/422) this season — best among Power Conference teams; League Avg: 34%

Texas Offensive Stats & Trends:

Texas has a TS% of 51% in the second half this season — best among Big 12 Teams; League Avg: 47%

Texas averaged 1.49 points per shot (73 points/49 shots) in possessions with at least six passes last season in conference play — best among Big 12 Teams; League Avg: 1.25

Texas had an eFG% of 63% in possessions with at least six passes last season in conference play — best among Big 12 Teams; League Avg: 53%

Texas is shooting 42% (52/123) on left wing attempts this season in conference play — best among Big 12 Teams; League Avg: 33%

Xavier Defensive Stats & Trends:

Xavier has averaged 27.5 defensive rebounds per game (632 rebounds/23 games) this season — tied for 11th best among Division 1 Teams; League Avg: 24.2

Xavier has averaged 27.2 defensive rebounds per game (1,605 rebounds/59 games) since the start of the 2021-22 season — tied for 17th best among Division 1 Teams; League Avg: 24.4

Xavier has 162 steals this season — 4th most among Big East Teams

Xavier has 431 steals since the start of the 2021-22 season — 3rd most among Big East Teams

Texas Defensive Stats & Trends:

Texas allowed opponents to shoot 17% from three off the dribble (6/36) in the first half last season in conference play — best among Big 12 Teams; League Avg: 27%

Texas allowed opponents to shoot 57% on catch and shoot opportunities (12/21) on mid-range shots last season in conference play — highest among Big 12 Teams; League Avg: 38%

Texas allowed an average of 1.88 points per shot (60 points/32 shots) in possessions with at least six passes last season in conference play — highest among Big 12 Teams; League Avg: 1.25

Texas allowed opponents to shoot 50% from three in catch and shoot opportunities (10/20) in transition last season in conference play — highest among Big 12 Teams; League Avg: 33%


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Our BetMGM betting authors are experts who focus on individual game matchups & player prop bets with an emphasis on betting odds, lines & predictions.

Our BetMGM betting authors are experts who focus on individual game matchups & player prop bets with an emphasis on betting odds, lines & predictions.