North Dakota State vs North Dakota Prediction, Odds & Best Bets Today – NCAAB, Feb. 3

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North Dakota head coach Paul Sather directs his team during the first half of an NCAA college basketball game against Iowa State, Wednesday, Nov. 30, 2022, in Ames, Iowa. (AP Photo/Charlie Neibergall)
(AP Photo/Charlie Neibergall)
BetMGM Betting @BETMGM Feb 03, 2024, 10:07 AM
  • North Dakota (10-10) is a -4.5 point favorite vs North Dakota State (7-11)
  • Total (Over/Under): 148.5 points
  • North Dakota State / North Dakota TV channel: ESPN+

The North Dakota State Bison (7-11) visit Betty Engelstad Sioux Center to take on the North Dakota Fighting Hawks (10-10) on Feb. 3. Tip off is scheduled for 4:30pm EST in Grand Forks, ND.

North Dakota is the betting favorite in this game, with the spread sitting at -4.5 (-115).

The North Dakota State vs. North Dakota Over/Under is 148.5 total points.

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North Dakota State vs. North Dakota Odds, Spread, Over/Under

SpreadTotal (O/U)Moneyline
North Dakota State+4.5 -105O 148.5 -115+150
North Dakota -4.5 -115U 148.5 -105-175

North Dakota State vs North Dakota Prediction for Today:

The winning team model predicts North Dakota will win this college basketball game with 63.1% confidence, based on game simulations, player injuries, key player performances and recent matchups.

North Dakota State vs North Dakota Spread Prediction:

Based on recent against-the-spread trends, the spread model predicts North Dakota State will cover the spread with 57.3% confidence for today’s game.


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  • North Dakota State has hit the 1H Moneyline in 9 of their last 18 away games (+6.95 Units / 37% ROI)
  • North Dakota State has hit the Game Total Over in 12 of their last 18 away games (+5.40 Units / 27% ROI)
  • North Dakota State has hit the Team Total Over in 12 of their last 18 away games (+5.25 Units / 26% ROI)
  • North Dakota State have covered the 1H Spread in 17 of their last 29 games (+3.15 Units / 9% ROI)
  • North Dakota State has hit the Moneyline in 14 of their last 28 games (+3.10 Units / 7% ROI)
  • North Dakota has hit the Moneyline in 16 of their last 28 games (+8.45 Units / 24% ROI)
  • North Dakota has hit the Game Total Over in 18 of their last 29 games (+7.00 Units / 22% ROI)
  • North Dakota has hit the 1H Moneyline in 15 of their last 29 games (+6.80 Units / 19% ROI)
  • North Dakota has hit the Team Total Over in 18 of their last 29 games (+5.30 Units / 16% ROI)
  • North Dakota have covered the Spread in 17 of their last 29 games (+3.80 Units / 12% ROI)

North Dakota State Basketball Against the Spread Record (ATS)

North Dakota State has a 7-12 record against the spread this college basketball season (-6.2 Units / -29.59% ROI).

  • 7-11 when betting on the Moneyline for -1.65 Units / -7.21% ROI
  • 12-7 when betting the Over for +4.3 Units / 20.57% ROI
  • 7-12 when betting the Under for -6.2 Units / -29.67% ROI

North Dakota Basketball Against the Spread Record (ATS)

North Dakota has a 10-10 record against the spread this college basketball season (-1 Units / -4.55% ROI).

  • 10-9 when betting on the Moneyline for +4.25 Units / 18.68% ROI
  • 10-9 when betting the Over for +0.1 Units / 0.45% ROI
  • 9-10 when betting the Under for -2 Units / -9.09% ROI

North Dakota State Offensive Stats & Trends:

North Dakota State has an eFG% of 54% this season — tied for 34th best among Division 1 Teams; League Avg: 51%

North Dakota State is shooting 47% (623/1,311) this season — 2nd best among Summit Teams; League Avg: 45%

North Dakota State is shooting 38% from three (179/467) this season — 10th best among Division 1 Teams; League Avg: 34%

North Dakota State has an eFG% of 54% this season — 3rd best among Summit Teams; League Avg: 52%

North Dakota Offensive Stats & Trends:

North Dakota has averaged 11.3 offensive rebounds per game (249 rebounds/22 games) this season — 2nd best among Summit Teams; League Avg: 9.2

North Dakota has made 8.3 three-pointers per game this season — tied for 4th lowest among Summit Teams; League Avg: 8.2

North Dakota has a 32% free throw rate (435 free throw attempts/1,346 field goal attempts) this season — 3rd highest among Summit Teams; League Avg: 32%

North Dakota has 19.8 free throw attempts per game this season — 3rd best among Summit Teams; League Avg: 19.2

North Dakota State Defensive Stats & Trends:

North Dakota State has averaged 4.7 steals per game (104 steals/22 games) this season — 11th lowest among Division 1 Teams; League Avg: 6.8

North Dakota State has averaged 4.3 steals per game (234 steals/55 games) since the start of the 2022-23 season — 2nd lowest among Division 1 Teams; League Avg: 6.6

North Dakota State has averaged 24.9 defensive rebounds per game (548 rebounds/22 games) this season — 4th best among Summit Teams; League Avg: 24.6

North Dakota State has averaged 25.8 defensive rebounds per game (1,419 rebounds/55 games) since the start of the 2022-23 season — 2nd best among Summit Teams; League Avg: 24.3

North Dakota Defensive Stats & Trends:

North Dakota has averaged 5.0 steals per game (275 steals/55 games) since the start of the 2022-23 season — tied for 13th lowest among Division 1 Teams; League Avg: 6.6

North Dakota has averaged 5.9 steals per game (129 steals/22 games) this season — tied for 3rd best among Summit Teams; League Avg: 5.6

North Dakota has 129 steals this season — 4th most among Summit Teams

North Dakota has forced 10.5 turnovers per game (231 turnovers/22 games) this season — tied for 32nd lowest among Division 1 Teams; League Avg: 12.2


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Our BetMGM betting authors are experts who focus on individual game matchups & player prop bets with an emphasis on betting odds, lines & predictions.

Our BetMGM betting authors are experts who focus on individual game matchups & player prop bets with an emphasis on betting odds, lines & predictions.