Ohio vs Buffalo Prediction, Odds & Best Bets Today – NCAAB, Mar. 5

No 3 from Buffalo Bulls dribbling the NBA game ball while an opponent defends
(AP Photo)
  • Ohio (14-14) is a -10.5 point favorite vs Buffalo (12-16)
  • Total (Over/Under): 150.5 points
  • Ohio / Buffalo TV channel: CBSSN

The Ohio Bobcats (14-14) visit Alumni Arena to take on the Buffalo Bulls (12-16) on Mar. 5. Tip off is scheduled for 7:00pm EST in Buffalo, NY.

Ohio is the betting favorite in this game, with the spread sitting at -10.5 (-110).

The Ohio vs. Buffalo Over/Under is 150.5 total points.

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Ohio vs. Buffalo Odds, Spread, Over/Under

SpreadTotal (O/U)Moneyline
Ohio-10.5 -110O 150.5 -110-550
Buffalo +10.5 -110U 150.5 -110+400

Ohio vs Buffalo Prediction for Today:

The winning team model predicts Ohio will win this college basketball game with 83.8% confidence, based on game simulations, player injuries, key player performances and recent matchups.

Ohio vs Buffalo Spread Prediction:

Based on recent against-the-spread trends, the spread model predicts Ohio will cover the spread with 51.5% confidence for today’s game.


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  • Ohio has hit the Team Total Over in 10 of their last 14 away games (+5.35 Units / 34% ROI)
  • Ohio has hit the Game Total Over in 9 of their last 14 away games (+3.50 Units / 23% ROI)
  • Ohio has hit the 1H Game Total Under in 17 of their last 30 games (+2.05 Units / 6% ROI)
  • Ohio has hit the 1H Moneyline in 8 of their last 14 away games (+1.40 Units / 7% ROI)
  • Ohio have covered the 1H Spread in 7 of their last 14 away games (+0.15 Units / 1% ROI)
  • Buffalo has hit the 1H Game Total Under in 18 of their last 29 games (+6.75 Units / 20% ROI)
  • Buffalo has hit the Team Total Under in 17 of their last 29 games (+3.30 Units / 10% ROI)
  • Buffalo has hit the 1H Moneyline in 2 of their last 3 games at home (+3.25 Units / 89% ROI)
  • Buffalo have covered the Spread in their last 3 games at home (+3.00 Units / 91% ROI)
  • Buffalo have covered the 1H Spread in 2 of their last 3 games at home (+2.00 Units / 56% ROI)

Ohio Basketball Against the Spread Record (ATS)

Ohio has a 14-14 record against the spread this college basketball season (-1.4 Units / -4.55% ROI).

  • 16-12 when betting on the Moneyline for -4.55 Units / -5.08% ROI
  • 13-15 when betting the Over for -3.5 Units / -11.36% ROI
  • 15-13 when betting the Under for +0.7 Units / 2.27% ROI

Buffalo Basketball Against the Spread Record (ATS)

Buffalo has a 13-15 record against the spread this college basketball season (-3.5 Units / -11.38% ROI).

  • 5-21 when betting on the Moneyline for -11.2 Units / -37.65% ROI
  • 12-15 when betting the Over for -4.5 Units / -14.61% ROI
  • 15-12 when betting the Under for +1.8 Units / 5.84% ROI

Ohio Offensive Stats & Trends:

Ohio has an assist to turnover ratio of 1.5 (339 assists/ 227 TOs) this season — best among Mid-American Teams; League Avg: 1.1

Ohio has averaged 9.5 turnovers per game (227 turnovers/24 games) this season — tied for 15th best among Division 1 Teams; League Avg: 11.8

Ohio has averaged 9.5 turnovers per game (227 turnovers/24 games) this season — best among Mid-American Teams; League Avg: 11.7

Ohio has averaged 10.4 turnovers per game (591 turnovers/57 games) since the start of the 2022-23 season — tied for 24th best among Division 1 Teams; League Avg: 12.1

Buffalo Offensive Stats & Trends:

Buffalo is shooting 41% (541/1,312) this season — lowest among Mid-American Teams; League Avg: 45%

Buffalo is shooting 27% from three (147/550) this season — 2nd lowest among Division 1 Teams; League Avg: 34%

Buffalo is shooting 27% from three (147/550) this season — lowest among Mid-American Teams; League Avg: 34%

Buffalo is shooting 30% from three (370/1,245) since the start of the 2022-23 season — lowest among Division 1 Teams; League Avg: 34%

Ohio Defensive Stats & Trends:

Ohio has averaged 24.0 defensive rebounds per game (1,368 rebounds/57 games) since the start of the 2022-23 season — 5th best among Mid-American Teams; League Avg: 23.6

Ohio has averaged 6.6 steals per game (378 steals/57 games) since the start of the 2022-23 season — 4th best among Mid-American Teams; League Avg: 6.3

Ohio has 157 steals this season — 4th most among Mid-American Teams

Ohio has averaged 6.5 steals per game (157 steals/24 games) this season — 4th best among Mid-American Teams; League Avg: 6.2

Buffalo Defensive Stats & Trends:

Buffalo has averaged 22.6 defensive rebounds per game (498 rebounds/22 games) this season — 3rd lowest among Mid-American Teams; League Avg: 23.6

Buffalo has allowed 80.6 points per game (1,774 points/22 games) this season — highest among Mid-American Teams ; League Avg: 73.6

Buffalo has averaged 6.3 steals per game (138 steals/22 games) this season — 5th best among Mid-American Teams; League Avg: 6.2

Buffalo has 392 steals since the start of the 2022-23 season — 3rd most among Mid-American Teams


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About the Author

Chase Kiddy

Read More @chaseakiddy

Chase Kiddy is a writer for BetMGM and co-host of The Lion's Edge, an NFL and college football podcast available on Spotify, Apple Podcasts, and everywhere else. He has also written for a number of print and online outlets, including the Richmond Times-Dispatch, Washington Post, Daily News-Record, and HERO Sports. His first novel, Cave Paintings, is in development.

Chase Kiddy is a writer for BetMGM and co-host of The Lion's Edge, an NFL and college football podcast available on Spotify, Apple Podcasts, and everywhere else. He has also written for a number of print and online outlets, including the Richmond Times-Dispatch, Washington Post, Daily News-Record, and HERO Sports. His first novel, Cave Paintings, is in development.