Portland State vs Sacramento State Prediction, Odds & Best Bets Today – NCAAB, Mar. 2

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UCLA guard Amari Bailey, right, dribbles against Sacramento State during the second half of an NCAA college basketball game Monday, Nov. 7, 2022, in Los Angeles. (AP Photo/Marcio Jose Sanchez)
(AP Photo/Marcio Jose Sanchez)
BetMGM Betting @BETMGM Mar 02, 2024, 12:32 PM
  • Portland State (13-13) is a -1.5 point favorite vs Sacramento State (10-17)
  • Total (Over/Under): 131.5 points
  • Portland State / Sacramento State TV channel: ESPN+

The Portland State Vikings (13-13) visit The Nest to take on the Sacramento State Hornets (10-17) on Mar. 2. Tip off is scheduled for 5:00pm EST in Sacramento, CA.

Portland State is the betting favorite in this game, with the spread sitting at -1.5 (-105).

The Portland State vs. Sacramento State Over/Under is 131.5 total points.

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Portland State vs. Sacramento State Odds, Spread, Over/Under

SpreadTotal (O/U)Moneyline
Portland State-1.5 -105O 131.5 -110-120
Sacramento State +1.5 -115U 131.5 -110+100

Portland State vs Sacramento State Prediction for Today:

The winning team model predicts Portland State will win this college basketball game with 54.6% confidence, based on game simulations, player injuries, key player performances and recent matchups.

Portland State vs Sacramento State Spread Prediction:

Based on recent against-the-spread trends, the spread model predicts Sacramento State will cover the spread with 55.8% confidence for today’s game.


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  • Portland State has hit the 1H Game Total Over in 8 of their last 10 away games (+5.70 Units / 49% ROI)
  • Portland State has hit the Team Total Under in 10 of their last 14 away games (+5.40 Units / 33% ROI)
  • Portland State has hit the 1H Moneyline in 3 of their last 5 away games (+2.20 Units / 44% ROI)
  • Portland State has hit the Game Total Over in 5 of their last 8 away games (+1.70 Units / 19% ROI)
  • Portland State has hit the Moneyline in 13 of their last 27 games (+1.20 Units / 3% ROI)
  • Sacramento State has hit the Game Total Under in 17 of their last 28 games (+4.90 Units / 16% ROI)
  • Sacramento State has hit the 1H Game Total Over in 8 of their last 11 games at home (+4.55 Units / 35% ROI)
  • Sacramento State has hit the Team Total Under in 7 of their last 10 games at home (+3.75 Units / 33% ROI)

Portland State Basketball Against the Spread Record (ATS)

Portland State has a 13-13 record against the spread this college basketball season (-1.2 Units / -4.23% ROI).

  • 13-13 when betting on the Moneyline for +2.2 Units / 5.42% ROI
  • 11-14 when betting the Over for -4.4 Units / -15.36% ROI
  • 14-11 when betting the Under for +1.95 Units / 6.83% ROI

Sacramento State Basketball Against the Spread Record (ATS)

Sacramento State has a 10-17 record against the spread this college basketball season (-8.65 Units / -29.17% ROI).

  • 5-22 when betting on the Moneyline for -13.4 Units / -43.58% ROI
  • 10-17 when betting the Over for -8.7 Units / -29.29% ROI
  • 17-10 when betting the Under for +6 Units / 20.2% ROI

Portland State Offensive Stats & Trends:

Portland State is shooting 32% from three (169/531) this season — tied for 28th lowest among Division 1 Teams; League Avg: 34%

Portland State is shooting 43% (1,416/3,265) since the start of the 2022-23 season — tied for 42nd lowest among Division 1 Teams; League Avg: 44%

Portland State has 18.8 free throw attempts per game this season — 4th best among Big Sky Teams; League Avg: 18.0

Portland State has a TS% of 44% this season — tied for 17th lowest among Division 1 Teams; League Avg: 47%

Sacramento State Offensive Stats & Trends:

Sacramento State has averaged 10.2 offensive rebounds per game (561 rebounds/55 games) since the start of the 2022-23 season — best among Big Sky Teams; League Avg: 7.6

Sacramento State has averaged 11.1 offensive rebounds per game (256 rebounds/23 games) this season — best among Big Sky Teams; League Avg: 8.0

Sacramento State has 256 offensive rebounds this season — most among Big Sky Teams

Sacramento State has 561 offensive rebounds since the start of the 2022-23 season — most among Big Sky Teams

Portland State Defensive Stats & Trends:

Portland State has averaged 24.1 defensive rebounds per game (554 rebounds/23 games) this season — 5th lowest among Big Sky Teams; League Avg: 23.8

Portland State has 152 steals this season — 3rd most among Big Sky Teams

Portland State has averaged 6.9 steals per game (372 steals/54 games) since the start of the 2022-23 season — 2nd best among Big Sky Teams; League Avg: 5.8

Portland State has averaged 6.6 steals per game (152 steals/23 games) this season — 3rd best among Big Sky Teams; League Avg: 6.1

Sacramento State Defensive Stats & Trends:

Sacramento State has averaged 4.5 steals per game (103 steals/23 games) this season — tied for 8th lowest among Division 1 Teams; League Avg: 6.8

Sacramento State has averaged 23.8 defensive rebounds per game (1,309 rebounds/55 games) since the start of the 2022-23 season — 4th best among Big Sky Teams; League Avg: 23.3

Sacramento State has forced 9.1 turnovers per game (210 turnovers/23 games) this season — tied for 8th lowest among Division 1 Teams; League Avg: 12.0

Sacramento State has allowed an average of 1.23 points per shot (3,792 points/3,079 shots) since the start of the 2022-23 season — tied for 2nd best among Big Sky Teams ; League Avg: 1.27


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Our BetMGM betting authors are experts who focus on individual game matchups & player prop bets with an emphasis on betting odds, lines & predictions.

Our BetMGM betting authors are experts who focus on individual game matchups & player prop bets with an emphasis on betting odds, lines & predictions.