Providence vs Butler Prediction, Odds & Best Bets Today – NCAAB, Feb. 10

Butler head coach Thad Matta argues a call from the sideline during the first half of an NCAA college basketball game against Xavier, Saturday, March 4, 2023, in Cincinnati. (AP Photo/Joshua A. Bickel)
(AP Photo/Joshua A. Bickel)
  • Butler (12-10) is a -4.5 point favorite vs Providence (13-9)
  • Total (Over/Under): 146.5 points
  • Providence / Butler TV channel: FS1

The Providence Friars (13-9) visit Hinkle Fieldhouse to take on the Butler Bulldogs (12-10) on Feb. 10. Tip off is scheduled for 2:00pm EST in Indianapolis, IN.

Butler is the betting favorite in this game, with the spread sitting at -4.5 (-110).

The Providence vs. Butler Over/Under is 146.5 total points.

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Providence vs. Butler Odds, Spread, Over/Under

SpreadTotal (O/U)Moneyline
Providence+4.5 -110O 146.5 -110+165
Butler -4.5 -110U 146.5 -110-200

Providence vs Butler Prediction for Today:

The winning team model predicts Butler will win this college basketball game with 67.7% confidence, based on game simulations, player injuries, key player performances and recent matchups.

Providence vs Butler Spread Prediction:

Based on recent against-the-spread trends, the spread model predicts Providence will cover the spread with 52.8% confidence for today’s game.


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  • Providence have covered the Spread in 18 of their last 32 games (+2.60 Units / 7% ROI)
  • Providence has hit the Game Total Under in 8 of their last 13 away games (+2.50 Units / 17% ROI)
  • Providence has hit the Team Total Under in 8 of their last 13 away games (+2.25 Units / 15% ROI)
  • Providence has hit the 1H Game Total Under in 7 of their last 13 away games (+1.30 Units / 9% ROI)
  • Butler has hit the Moneyline in 15 of their last 28 games (+9.20 Units / 9% ROI)
  • Butler has hit the 1H Moneyline in 11 of their last 16 games at home (+4.60 Units / 6% ROI)
  • Butler has hit the Team Total Under in 17 of their last 29 games (+3.10 Units / 9% ROI)
  • Butler have covered the 1H Spread in 9 of their last 16 games at home (+0.95 Units / 5% ROI)

Providence Basketball Against the Spread Record (ATS)

Providence has a 15-8 record against the spread this college basketball season (+6.2 Units / 24.51% ROI).

  • 14-7 when betting on the Moneyline for +5.95 Units / 5.05% ROI
  • 9-14 when betting the Over for -6.4 Units / -25.25% ROI
  • 14-9 when betting the Under for +4.15 Units / 16.44% ROI

Butler Basketball Against the Spread Record (ATS)

Butler has a 12-10 record against the spread this college basketball season (+1 Units / 4.13% ROI).

  • 13-8 when betting on the Moneyline for +11.35 Units / 11.45% ROI
  • 13-9 when betting the Over for +3 Units / 12.32% ROI
  • 9-13 when betting the Under for -5.2 Units / -21.58% ROI

Providence Offensive Stats & Trends:

Providence has a 31% free throw rate (396 free throw attempts/1,286 field goal attempts) on the road since the start of the 2022-23 season — highest among Big East Teams; League Avg: 27%

Providence is shooting 32% from three (180/563) this season — tied for 34th lowest among Division 1 Teams; League Avg: 34%

Providence has a 35% free throw rate (1,155 free throw attempts/3,298 field goal attempts) since the start of the 2022-23 season — highest among Big East Teams; League Avg: 31%

Providence is shooting 47% (945/2,012) at home since the start of the 2022-23 season — 5th lowest among Big East Teams; League Avg: 46%

Butler Offensive Stats & Trends:

Butler is shooting 79% from the free throw line (320/406) this season — 4th best among Power Conference teams; League Avg: 73%

Butler has 15.7 free throw attempts per game since the start of the 2022-23 season — 22nd lowest among Division 1 Teams; League Avg: 18.6

Butler has averaged 10.6 turnovers per game (233 turnovers/22 games) on the road since the start of the 2022-23 season — best among Big East Teams; League Avg: 12.0

Butler is shooting 46% (644/1,403) this season — 4th best among Big East Teams; League Avg: 45%

Providence Defensive Stats & Trends:

Providence has averaged 27.7 defensive rebounds per game (637 rebounds/23 games) this season — tied for 24th best among Division 1 Teams; League Avg: 24.7

Providence has averaged 26.7 defensive rebounds per game (1,496 rebounds/56 games) since the start of the 2022-23 season — tied for 28th best among Division 1 Teams; League Avg: 24.3

Providence has averaged 6.5 steals per game (142 steals/22 games) on the road since the start of the 2022-23 season — 4th best among Big East Teams; League Avg: 6.1

Providence has averaged 6.7 steals per game (376 steals/56 games) since the start of the 2022-23 season — 4th best among Big East Teams; League Avg: 6.6

Butler Defensive Stats & Trends:

Butler has allowed opponents to shoot 32% from three (374/1,176) since the start of the 2022-23 season — best among Big East Teams; League Avg: 34%

Butler has allowed opponents to shoot 32% from three (174/553) this season — best among Big East Teams; League Avg: 33%

Butler has allowed opponents to shoot 32% from three (156/494) on the road since the start of the 2022-23 season — best among Big East Teams; League Avg: 35%

Butler has allowed an average of 1.17 points per shot (813 points/695 shots) in the second half this season — 2nd best among Big East Teams; League Avg: 1.26


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Our BetMGM betting authors are experts who focus on individual game matchups & player prop bets with an emphasis on betting odds, lines & predictions.

Our BetMGM betting authors are experts who focus on individual game matchups & player prop bets with an emphasis on betting odds, lines & predictions.