- Reds / Dodgers TV Channel: SNLA | MLBN
The Cincinnati Reds (+155) visit Camelback Ranch-Glendale to take on the Los Angeles Dodgers (-185) on Friday, March 8, 2024. First pitch is for this Spring Training game is scheduled for 8:05pm EST in Glendale, AZ.
This season, the Reds are 3-3 against the spread (ATS), while the Dodgers are 8-4 ATS.
Reds vs. Dodgers Odds, Run Line, Over/Under & Moneyline
| Moneyline | |
| Reds | +155 |
| Dodgers | -185 |
Reds vs Dodgers Prediction for Today’s Game
Based on recent trends the model predicts the Dodgers will win Friday‘s matchup with 59.4% confidence, based on game simulations, recent player performances, starting pitchers and injuries.
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We’ve highlighted some favorite MLB player prop bets for Reds players for Friday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:
Best Reds Player Prop Bets Today:
- Elly De La Cruz has hit the Stolen Bases Under in his last 3 games (+3.00 Units / 36% ROI)
- Spencer Steer has hit the Hits Over in his last 2 games (+2.85 Units / 76% ROI)
- Curt Casali has hit the Runs Under in his last 2 games (+2.00 Units / 40% ROI)
- Christian Encarnacio has hit the Hits Under in his last 2 games (+2.00 Units / 40% ROI)
- Jonathan India has hit the Hits Over in his last 2 games (+2.00 Units / 38% ROI)
And here are some favorite MLB player prop bets for Dodgers players for Friday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:
Best Dodgers Player Prop Best Bets Today:
- Austin Barnes has hit the Hits Runs and RBIs Over in 15 of his last 22 games at home (+4.65 Units / 14% ROI)
- Enrique Hernandez has hit the RBIs Over in 3 of his last 4 games (+4.20 Units / 105% ROI)
- Jonny Deluca has hit the Hits Runs and RBIs Under in his last 3 games at home (+3.55 Units / 104% ROI)
- Mookie Betts has hit the Hits Under in his last 2 games (+2.95 Units / 80% ROI)
- Enrique Hernandez has hit the Singles Under in his last 2 games at home (+2.00 Units / 67% ROI)
Reds Best Bets Today:
- The Cincinnati Reds have hit the Moneyline in 41 of their last 67 away games (+23.65 Units / 34% ROI)
- The Cincinnati Reds have covered the Run Line in 96 of their last 161 games (+20.80 Units / 10% ROI)
- The Cincinnati Reds have hit the Game Total Under in 45 of their last 72 games (+16.80 Units / 21% ROI)
- The Cincinnati Reds have hit the Team Total Over in 41 of their last 65 away games (+14.05 Units / 18% ROI)
- The Cincinnati Reds have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Team Total Under in 12 of their last 18 away games (+4.93 Units / 22% ROI)
Dodgers Best Bets Today:
- The Los Angeles Dodgers have covered the Run Line in 80 of their last 139 games (+23.35 Units / 14% ROI)
- The Los Angeles Dodgers have hit the Game Total Over in 81 of their last 145 games (+17.00 Units / 11% ROI)
- The Los Angeles Dodgers have hit the Moneyline in 53 of their last 80 games (+11.70 Units / 9% ROI)
- The Los Angeles Dodgers have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Team Total Under in 11 of their last 15 games at home (+6.74 Units / 40% ROI)
- The Los Angeles Dodgers have hit the Team Total Under in 10 of their last 15 games at home (+4.75 Units / 29% ROI)
Reds Against the Spread (ATS) Record
Against the spread this Spring Training, the Reds are 4-4 against the Run Line (-0.9 Units / -8.26% ROI).
- 3-3 when betting on the Moneyline for -0.05 Units / -0.52% ROI
- 4-4 when betting on the total runs Over for -0.6 Units / -6.76% ROI
- 4-4 when betting on the total runs Under for -0.53 Units / -6.07% ROI
Dodgers Against the Spread (ATS) Record
Against the spread this Spring Training, the Dodgers are 8-4 against the Run Line (+4 Units / 27.68% ROI).
- 8-3 when betting on the Moneyline for +2.98 Units / 12.95% ROI
- 5-5 when betting on the total runs Over for -0.45 Units / -3.38% ROI
- 5-5 when betting on the total runs Under for -0.3 Units / -2.28% ROI
Reds Starting Pitcher Stats & Trends
Opponents had a groundball rate of 74% (32/43) against Nick Martinez’s curve and slider in the 2023 season — highest among qualified RPs in MLB*; League Avg: 42% — 100th Percentile.
Opponents had a groundball rate of 54% (169/311) against Nick Martinez in the 2023 season — 8th highest among in NL; League Avg: 45% — 91st Percentile.
Nick Martinez located his fastball inside 50% of the time (311/621) in the 2023 season — 3rd highest among qualified RPs in MLB*; League Avg: 35% — 99th Percentile.
Nick Martinez walked 24 of 138 batters (17%) with runners in scoring position in the 2023 season — 7th highest among in NL; League Avg: 11% — seventh Percentile.
Dodgers Starting Pitcher Stats & Trends
No Matchup notes for this Game
Reds Keys to the Game vs. the Dodgers
The Reds are just 48-38 (.558) when they’ve hit 2 or more home runs since last season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .697.
The Reds are just 40-46 (.465) when they’ve scored in the first inning since last season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .637.
The Reds were just 24-12 (.667) when they had 5 or more XBH in the 2023 season — 3rd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .790.
The Reds were 13-63 (.171) when trailing entering the 8th inning in the 2023 season — 2nd best in MLB; League Avg: .100.
Dodgers Keys to the Game vs. the Reds
The Dodgers are 41-16 (.719) after a road loss since last season — best in MLB; League Avg: .455.
The Dodgers are 185-29 (.864) when allowing 4 or fewer runs since last season — best in MLB; League Avg: .718.
The Dodgers were 44-17 (.721) after a loss in the 2023 season — best in MLB; League Avg: .486.
The Dodgers were 85-9 (.904) when they allowed 4 or fewer runs in the 2023 season — best in MLB; League Avg: .734.
Reds Hitting Stats & Trends
The Reds have a winning percentage of just 44% at home since last season — 4th lowest in MLB; League Avg: 53%.
The Reds have won just 57% of games in which they have scored first at home since last season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: 72%.
Reds hitters had a swing rate of just 45% in the 2023 season — 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: 48%.
The Reds have hit 1,462 balls in play with an exit velocity of 95 MPH or greater in the 2023 season — 4th fewest in MLB.
Dodgers Hitting Stats & Trends
The Dodgers have a winning percentage of 68% at home since last season — best in MLB; League Avg: 53%.
Dodgers hitters had 165 extra-base hits out of 385 total hits (43%) against LHP in the 2023 season — best in MLB; League Avg: 36%.
Dodgers hitters had an OPS of .776 (1,953 PA’s) in innings 7-9 in the 2023 season — 2nd best in MLB; League Avg: .710.
Dodgers hitters had an OPS of .795 (6,333 PA’s) in the 2023 season — 2nd best in MLB; League Avg: .734.
Reds Pitching Stats & Trends
Opponents had a groundball rate of just 40% against Reds pitchers in the 2023 season — 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: 43%.
Reds pitchers walked 613 of 6,310 batters (10%) in the 2023 season — tied for 4th highest in MLB; League Avg: 9%.
Reds pitchers walked 140 of 1,443 batters (10%) when facing the leadoff batter in the inning in the 2023 season — 4th highest in MLB; League Avg: 8%.
Reds pitchers won 46% of games in which they allowed their opponent to score in three different innings on the road in the 2023 season — 2nd highest in MLB; League Avg: 27%.
Dodgers Pitching Stats & Trends
The Dodgers pitchers have allowed the 30th hardest ball in play hit (121.2 MPH) in the 2023 season (; League Avg: 117.2).
The Dodgers pitchers allowed their opponents to score first in just 38% of their games in the 2023 season — 3rd lowest in MLB; League Avg: 50%.
The Dodgers pitchers allowed division opponents to score first in just 31% of their games in the 2023 season — 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: 50%.
The Dodgers have won 51% of home games in which their opponents scored first since the 2021 season — highest in MLB; League Avg: 37%.
Dodgers vs. Reds Injuries Tonight That May Affect Prop Bets
- Tony Gonsolin (Los Angeles Dodgers): Elbow, 60-Day IL
- Shohei Ohtani (Los Angeles Dodgers): Elbow, Day-To-Day
- Blake Treinen (Los Angeles Dodgers): Shoulder, Out
- David Peralta (Los Angeles Dodgers): Elbow, Day-To-Day
- Julio Urias (Los Angeles Dodgers): Personal, Out
- Clayton Kershaw (Los Angeles Dodgers): Shoulder, Out
- Nick Frasso (Los Angeles Dodgers): Shoulder, Out
- Dustin May (Los Angeles Dodgers): Elbow, 60-Day IL
- Walker Buehler (Los Angeles Dodgers): Elbow, Out
- Daniel Hudson (Los Angeles Dodgers): Knee, Out
- Enrique Hernandez (Los Angeles Dodgers): Groin, Out
- Sam Moll (Cincinnati Reds): Shoulder, Day-To-Day
- Noelvi Marte (Cincinnati Reds): Hamstring, Out
- Jonathan India (Cincinnati Reds): Foot, Day-To-Day
- Matt McLain (Cincinnati Reds): Oblique, Out
- Nick Lodolo (Cincinnati Reds): Lower Leg, Day-To-Day
- Reiver Sanmartin (Cincinnati Reds): Elbow, Out
- Alex Young (Cincinnati Reds): Back, Day-To-Day
- Emilio Pagan (Cincinnati Reds): Abdomen, Out
- Connor Overton (Cincinnati Reds): Elbow, Out
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