- Rockies / Cubs TV Channel: MARQ
The Colorado Rockies (+135) visit Sloan Park to take on the Chicago Cubs (-160) on Saturday, March 9, 2024. First pitch is for this Spring Training game is scheduled for 3:05pm EST in Mesa, AZ.
This season, the Rockies are 7-3 against the spread (ATS), while the Cubs are 6-5 ATS.
Rockies vs. Cubs Odds, Run Line, Over/Under & Moneyline
| Moneyline | |
| Rockies | +135 |
| Cubs | -160 |
Rockies vs Cubs Prediction for Today’s Game
Based on recent trends the model predicts the Cubs will win Saturday‘s matchup with 56.2% confidence, based on game simulations, recent player performances, starting pitchers and injuries.
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We’ve highlighted some favorite MLB player prop bets for Rockies players for Saturday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:
Best Rockies Player Prop Bets Today:
- Brian Serven has hit the Hits Runs and RBIs Under in his last 6 games (+6.00 Units / 84% ROI)
- Elias Diaz has hit the Hits Under in 3 of his last 4 games (+3.00 Units / 40% ROI)
- Charlie Blackmon has hit the Hits Under in his last 2 games (+2.90 Units / 81% ROI)
- Ezequiel Tovar has hit the Hits Under in his last 2 games (+2.90 Units / 78% ROI)
- Hunter Goodman has hit the RBIs Under in his last 2 games (+2.00 Units / 37% ROI)
And here are some favorite MLB player prop bets for Cubs players for Saturday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:
Best Cubs Player Prop Best Bets Today:
- Miles Mastrobuoni has hit the Singles Over in 11 of his last 15 games (+8.75 Units / 58% ROI)
- Pete Crow-Armstrong has hit the Hits Under in his last 3 games (+5.40 Units / 180% ROI)
- Patrick Wisdom has hit the Singles Under in his last 4 games at home (+4.00 Units / 41% ROI)
- Patrick Wisdom has hit the RBIs Over in his last 2 games at home (+3.75 Units / 188% ROI)
- Matt Mervis has hit the Hits Runs and RBIs Under in 7 of his last 10 games (+3.45 Units / 26% ROI)
Rockies Best Bets Today:
- The Colorado Rockies have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Moneyline in 17 of their last 34 away games (+15.78 Units / 46% ROI)
- The Colorado Rockies have hit the Game Total Under in 45 of their last 76 away games (+12.45 Units / 15% ROI)
- The Colorado Rockies have covered the 1st Five Innings (F5) Run Line in 21 of their last 35 away games (+11.46 Units / 31% ROI)
- The Colorado Rockies have covered the Run Line in 40 of their last 72 games (+11.15 Units / 14% ROI)
- The Colorado Rockies have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Team Total Over in 14 of their last 19 away games (+9.14 Units / 43% ROI)
Cubs Best Bets Today:
- The Chicago Cubs have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Team Total Over in 38 of their last 66 games (+9.21 Units / 12% ROI)
- The Chicago Cubs have hit the Game Total Under in 21 of their last 32 games (+8.75 Units / 25% ROI)
- The Chicago Cubs have hit the Moneyline in 23 of their last 34 games at home (+7.75 Units / 15% ROI)
- The Chicago Cubs have covered the Run Line in 36 of their last 68 games at home (+7.75 Units / 10% ROI)
- The Chicago Cubs have hit the Team Total Over in 35 of their last 61 games at home (+6.79 Units / 10% ROI)
Rockies Against the Spread (ATS) Record
Against the spread this Spring Training, the Rockies are 7-4 against the Run Line (+3.5 Units / 25.33% ROI).
- 7-3 when betting on the Moneyline for +5.24 Units / 43.67% ROI
- 8-3 when betting on the total runs Over for +4.7 Units / 38.56% ROI
- 3-8 when betting on the total runs Under for -5.71 Units / -47.54% ROI
Cubs Against the Spread (ATS) Record
Against the spread this Spring Training, the Cubs are 6-5 against the Run Line (+0.61 Units / 4.17% ROI).
- 4-5 when betting on the Moneyline for -1.93 Units / -14.51% ROI
- 4-7 when betting on the total runs Over for -3.6 Units / -30.08% ROI
- 7-4 when betting on the total runs Under for +2.57 Units / 21.01% ROI
Rockies Starting Pitcher Stats & Trends
Dakota Hudson induced opposing hitters to ground into 15 double plays in 64 opportunities (23%) in the 2023 season — best in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 64 total IP; League Avg: 11% — 100th Percentile.
Opponents had a groundball rate of 52% (139/269) against Dakota Hudson in the 2023 season — tied for 13th highest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 64 total IP; League Avg: 43% — 93rd Percentile.
Dakota Hudson had a strike rate of just 57% (202/351) with runners in scoring position in the 2023 season — tied for 2nd lowest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 64 total IP; League Avg: 64% — second Percentile.
Left-handed hitters had a groundball rate of 53% (71/135) against Dakota Hudson in the 2023 season — 10th highest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 64 total IP; League Avg: 42% — 91st Percentile.
Cubs Starting Pitcher Stats & Trends
Jameson Taillon has allowed an average Exit Velocity of just 86.4 MPH on the first pitch of at-bats since last season (146 balls in play) — 6th best in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 129 total IP; League Avg: 89.8
Jameson Taillon walked 9 of 329 right-handed batters (3%) in the 2023 season — 3rd best in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 64 total IP; League Avg: 7% — 98th Percentile.
Jameson Taillon threw breaking pitches 53% of the time (684/1,298) on pitches in the strike zone in the 2023 season — 5th highest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 64 total IP; League Avg: 29% — 97th Percentile.
Jameson Taillon had a first-pitch strike rate of 70% (457/655) in the 2023 season — 2nd highest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 64 total IP; League Avg: 62% — 98th Percentile.
Rockies Keys to the Game vs. the Cubs
The Rockies were just 40-20 (.667) when leading entering the 7th inning in the 2023 season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .859.
The Rockies were just 44-13 (.772) when leading entering the 8th inning in the 2023 season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .900.
The Rockies were just 15-14 (.517) when they had 5 or more XBH in the 2023 season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .790.
The Rockies are just 60-56 (.517) when they’ve had 10 or more hits since last season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .728.
Cubs Keys to the Game vs. the Rockies
The Cubs were 27-4 (.871) when they had 5 or more XBH in the 2023 season — 5th best in MLB; League Avg: .790.
The Cubs were just 10-20 (.333) after a win as underdogs in the 2023 season — tied for 4th lowest in MLB; League Avg: .433.
The Cubs are just 33-38 (.465) after a loss as favorites since last season — 3rd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .584.
The Cubs were just 7-12 (.368) when tied entering the 7th inning in the 2023 season — 4th lowest in MLB; League Avg: .500.
Rockies Hitting Stats & Trends
The Rockies have won just 49% of games in which they have scored in at least three different innings on the road since last season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: 72%.
The Rockies have an average HR distance of 411.4 feet since last season — best in MLB; League Avg: 398.7.
The Rockies won just 53% of games in which they have scored three or more runs in an inning in the 2023 season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: 75%.
The Rockies have won just 58% of games in which they have scored three or more runs in an inning since last season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: 76%.
Cubs Hitting Stats & Trends
Cubs hitters slugged .509 in lefty-lefty matchups in the 2023 season — 2nd best in MLB; League Avg: .376.
The Cubs batted .167 on pitches out of the zone in the 2023 season — 4th best in MLB; League Avg: .151.
Cubs hitters slugged .456 against LHP in the 2023 season — 4th best in MLB; League Avg: .419.
Cubs hitters had an OBP of .337 (3,050 PA’s) at home in the 2023 season — 5th best in MLB; League Avg: .324.
Rockies Pitching Stats & Trends
Opponents had a miss rate of just 21% against Rockies pitchers in the 2023 season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: 26%.
Rockies pitchers had a strikeout rate of just 37% with two-strikes in the 2023 season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: 43%.
Rockies pitchers had an ERA of 6.13 (735.0 IP) at home in the 2023 season — highest in MLB; League Avg: 4.23.
Rockies pitchers had a strikeout rate of just 18% in the 2023 season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: 23%.
Cubs Pitching Stats & Trends
Cubs pitchers have allowed an average Exit Velocity of 88.3 MPH (4,045 batted balls) in the 2023 season — 2nd best in MLB; League Avg: 89.0.
Opponents had a groundball batting average of just .220 against Cubs pitchers in the 2023 season — 2nd best in MLB; League Avg: .248.
Opponents had a groundball batting average of just .233 against Cubs pitchers with runners on base in the 2023 season — 2nd best in MLB; League Avg: .259.
The Cubs have won 36% of road games in which their opponents scored first since last season — 5th highest in MLB; League Avg: 28%.
Cubs vs. Rockies Injuries Tonight That May Affect Prop Bets
- Codi Heuer (Chicago Cubs): Elbow, Out
- Brad Boxberger (Chicago Cubs): Forearm, Out
- German Marquez (Colorado Rockies): Elbow, Out
- Austin Gomber (Colorado Rockies): Back, Out
- Lucas Gilbreath (Colorado Rockies): Elbow, Out
- Antonio Senzatela (Colorado Rockies): Elbow, Out
- Kyle Freeland (Colorado Rockies): Oblique, Out
- Daniel Bard (Colorado Rockies): Knee, Out
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