UFC 316: Kelvin Gastelum vs. Joe Pyfer Predictions and Odds

Ronaldo Souza, right, from Brazil, fights Kelvin Gastelum, from the United States, during their UFC middleweight mixed martial arts.
(AP Photo/Leo Correa)
  • The middleweight match between Kelvin Gastelum and Joe Pyfer will be part of the UFC 316 PPV card on June 7.
  • The fight will take place at the Prudential Center in Newark.
  • Gastulem is the +305 betting underdog, and Pyfer is the -400 betting favorite.

Former UFC middleweight title challenger Kelvin Gastelum is scheduled to face surging contender Joe Pyfer on June 7 as part of the main card of the UFC 316 PPV event, which will take place inside the Prudential Center in Newark.

With his youth and better MMA record, Pyfer heads into the match as the considerable betting favorite with -400 UFC odds, while Gastelum, who has only fought three times in the past three years, comes in as the +305 betting underdog.

Check out the preview and predictions of this middleweight match below.

Kelvin Gastelum vs. Joe Pyfer Odds

  • Kelvin Gastelum: +305
  • Joe Pyfer: -400

Kelvin Gastelum vs. Joe Pyfer: Prediction

I predict that Pyfer will get the TKO/KO finish against Gastelum because heโ€™s younger, much more athletic, and currently in the peak form of his professional career. Furthermore, heโ€™s a more dynamic striker than Gastelum at this point in their careers.

Pyfer has shown he can put anyone to sleep with his punches, especially when landed cleanly. Add his advantages in height, reach, leg reach, and itโ€™s a nightmare for Gastelum.

No disrespect to Gastelum, but heโ€™s over the hill and past his prime years. He has also been inactive for the past three years as he nursed multiple injuries that forced him to watch on the sidelines.

The physicality and activity of Pyfer will be the biggest factors in this clash, and I believe he would find the mark against Gastelum in the first two rounds to get the TKO/KO finish and potentially earn a spot in the divisionโ€™s rankings.

Kelvin Gastelumโ€™s Recent Fight Results

Gastelumโ€™s route to the UFC was through The Ultimate Fighter 17, where he won against Uriah Hall in the tournamentโ€™s finale with a close split decision to earn a UFC contract. Since then, he competed in 22 bouts and won 12 of them.

His most notable fight in his career was when he fought Israel Adesanya for the UFC interim middleweight title in April 2019, as he pushed โ€œThe Last Stylebenderโ€ to his limits in the five-round battle.

Since that loss, Gastelum has only won three of his eight bouts in the UFC. In his last fight in June, he defeated Daniel Rodriguez to return to the winnerโ€™s circle.

Joe Pyferโ€™s Recent Fight Results

Pyfer was a former ROC champion when he joined the Dana White Contender Series in August 2020. However, Dustin Stoltzfus defeated him via first-round stoppage to delay his arrival in the UFC.

In July 2022, Pyfer again tried his luck in the Contender Series and fought Ozzy Diaz. This time, he made sure to leave a lasting impression after he scored a second-round finish to finally earn a roster spot.

Pyfer has won four of five UFC fights so far, all via stoppage. His lone loss was from Jack Hermansson, while his latest triumph was against Marc-Andre Barriault, whom he knocked out in the opening round of their UFC 303 showdown.ย 

Kelvin Gastelum vs. Joe Pyfer: Tale of the Tape

Kelvin GastelumJoe Pyfer
Age3328
Height5โ€™9โ€6โ€™2โ€
Reach71.5 inches75 inches
Leg Reach39.5 inches41 inches
Record20-913-3
Fighting StyleBoxingBoxing
Finishing Rate60%92%
Split First Bet Offer FBO March Matchups 1080x610
About the Author

Anatoly Pimentel

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Anatoly Pimentel is an NBA and MMA writer previously featured in ASEAN Sports, Asian Persuasion MMA, and Overtime Heroics MMA. He graduated from Adamson University with a B.A in Communication and is a Web Content Writer for BetMGM.

Anatoly Pimentel is an NBA and MMA writer previously featured in ASEAN Sports, Asian Persuasion MMA, and Overtime Heroics MMA. He graduated from Adamson University with a B.A in Communication and is a Web Content Writer for BetMGM.