- Evansville (10-6) is a -6.5 point favorite vs Valparaiso (10-6)
- Total (Over/Under): 141.5 points
- Valparaiso / Evansville TV channel: ESPN+
The Valparaiso Beacons (10-6) visit Ford Center to take on the Evansville Purple Aces (10-6) on Jan. 17. Tip off is scheduled for 8:00pm EST in Evansville, IN.
Evansville is the betting favorite in this game, with the spread sitting at -6.5 (-115).
The Valparaiso vs. Evansville Over/Under is 141.5 total points.
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Valparaiso vs. Evansville Odds, Spread, Over/Under
| Spread | Total (O/U) | Moneyline | |
| Valparaiso | +6.5 -105 | O 141.5 -110 | +240 |
| Evansville | -6.5 -115 | U 141.5 -110 | -300 |
Valparaiso vs Evansville Prediction for Today:
The winning team model predicts Evansville will win this college basketball game with 68.4% confidence, based on game simulations, player injuries, key player performances and recent matchups.
Valparaiso vs Evansville Spread Prediction:
Based on recent against-the-spread trends, the spread model predicts Valparaiso will cover the spread with 52.6% confidence for today’s game.
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Valparaiso Basketball Best Bets Today:
- Valparaiso has hit the 1H Moneyline in 4 of their last 14 away games (+13.85 Units / 96% ROI)
- Valparaiso have covered the Spread in 17 of their last 29 games (+3.80 Units / 12% ROI)
- Valparaiso has hit the 1H Game Total Over in 17 of their last 29 games (+3.35 Units / 10% ROI)
- Valparaiso has hit the Game Total Under in 8 of their last 14 away games (+1.40 Units / 9% ROI)
- Valparaiso has hit the Team Total Over in 8 of their last 14 away games (+0.95 Units / 6% ROI)
Evansville Basketball Best Bets Today:
- Evansville has hit the Game Total Under in 17 of their last 29 games (+3.85 Units / 12% ROI)
- Evansville has hit the Moneyline in 7 of their last 14 games at home (+3.55 Units / 17% ROI)
- Evansville has hit the 1H Game Total Over in 9 of their last 14 games at home (+3.15 Units / 19% ROI)
- Evansville has hit the Team Total Over in 9 of their last 14 games at home (+3.00 Units / 19% ROI)
- Evansville have covered the Spread in 8 of their last 14 games at home (+1.40 Units / 9% ROI)
Valparaiso Basketball Against the Spread Record (ATS)
Valparaiso has a 10-6 record against the spread this college basketball season (+3.4 Units / -100% ROI).
- 4-10 when betting on the Moneyline for -4.5 Units / -100% ROI
- 5-11 when betting the Over for -7.1 Units / 86.96% ROI
- 11-5 when betting the Under for +5.5 Units / -100% ROI
Evansville Basketball Against the Spread Record (ATS)
Evansville has a 10-6 record against the spread this college basketball season (+3.4 Units / -100% ROI).
- 9-6 when betting on the Moneyline for +6 Units / -100% ROI
- 6-10 when betting the Over for -5 Units / 86.96% ROI
- 10-6 when betting the Under for +3.45 Units / -100% ROI
Valparaiso Offensive Stats & Trends:
Valparaiso has averaged 1.11 points per shot (1,131 points/1,016 shots) this season — 5th lowest among Division 1 Teams; League Avg: 1.25
Valparaiso is shooting 40% (409/1,016) this season — tied for 9th lowest among Division 1 Teams; League Avg: 45%
Valparaiso has averaged 66.5 points per game (1,131 points/17 games) this season — lowest among Missouri Valley Teams; League Avg: 74.2
Valparaiso has an eFG% of 46% this season — 12th lowest among Division 1 Teams; League Avg: 51%
Evansville Offensive Stats & Trends:
Evansville has averaged 1.14 points per shot (3,291 points/2,890 shots) since the start of the 2022-23 season — tied for 4th lowest among Division 1 Teams; League Avg: 1.24
Evansville has an eFG% of 47% since the start of the 2022-23 season — 9th lowest among Division 1 Teams; League Avg: 51%
Evansville has a TS% of 44% since the start of the 2022-23 season — tied for 8th lowest among Division 1 Teams; League Avg: 47%
Evansville is shooting 42% (1,211/2,890) since the start of the 2022-23 season — tied for 16th lowest among Division 1 Teams; League Avg: 44%
Valparaiso Defensive Stats & Trends:
Valparaiso has averaged 6.3 steals per game (107 steals/17 games) this season — 5th lowest among Missouri Valley Teams; League Avg: 6.4
Valparaiso has allowed 72.7 points per game (3,562 points/49 games) since the start of the 2022-23 season — 3rd highest among Missouri Valley Teams; League Avg: 69.1
Valparaiso has allowed 71.0 points per game (1,207 points/17 games) this season — 5th highest among Missouri Valley Teams; League Avg: 69.9
Valparaiso has forced 13.1 turnovers per game (222 turnovers/17 games) this season — tied for 3rd best among Missouri Valley Teams; League Avg: 12.3
Evansville Defensive Stats & Trends:
Evansville has averaged 6.9 steals per game (336 steals/49 games) since the start of the 2022-23 season — 3rd best among Missouri Valley Teams; League Avg: 6.3
Evansville has averaged 6.6 steals per game (112 steals/17 games) this season — 5th best among Missouri Valley Teams; League Avg: 6.4
Evansville has 112 steals this season — 5th most among Missouri Valley Teams
Evansville has allowed opponents to shoot 46% (1,316/2,855) since the start of the 2022-23 season — tied for 19th highest among Division 1 Teams; League Avg: 44%
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