Valparaiso vs Southern Illinois Prediction, Odds & Best Bets Today – NCAAB, Jan. 24

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A team manager in a dress shirt and tie clapping his hands in encouragement
(AP Photo)
BetMGM Betting @BETMGM Jan 24, 2024, 10:55 AM
  • Southern Illinois (13-4) is a -13.5 point favorite vs Valparaiso (12-6)
  • Total (Over/Under): 135.5 points
  • Valparaiso / Southern Illinois TV channel: ESPN+

The Valparaiso Beacons (12-6) visit Banterra Center to take on the Southern Illinois Salukis (13-4) on Jan. 24. Tip off is scheduled for 8:00pm EST in Carbondale, IL.

Southern Illinois is the betting favorite in this game, with the spread sitting at -13.5 (-110).

The Valparaiso vs. Southern Illinois Over/Under is 135.5 total points.

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Valparaiso vs. Southern Illinois Odds, Spread, Over/Under

SpreadTotal (O/U)Moneyline
Valparaiso+13.5 -110O 135.5 -110+700
Southern Illinois -13.5 -110U 135.5 -110-1100

Valparaiso vs Southern Illinois Prediction for Today:

The winning team model predicts Southern Illinois will win this college basketball game with 91.4% confidence, based on game simulations, player injuries, key player performances and recent matchups.

Valparaiso vs Southern Illinois Spread Prediction:

Based on recent against-the-spread trends, the spread model predicts Southern Illinois will cover the spread with 51.0% confidence for today’s game.


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  • Valparaiso has hit the 1H Moneyline in 3 of their last 14 away games (+11.10 Units / 77% ROI)
  • Valparaiso has hit the 1H Game Total Over in 18 of their last 29 games (+5.50 Units / 17% ROI)
  • Valparaiso have covered the Spread in 17 of their last 29 games (+3.80 Units / 12% ROI)
  • Valparaiso has hit the Team Total Over in 8 of their last 14 away games (+0.95 Units / 6% ROI)
  • Valparaiso have covered the 1H Spread in 7 of their last 14 away games (+0.20 Units / 1% ROI)
  • Southern Illinois have covered the 1H Spread in 13 of their last 18 games at home (+8.45 Units / 41% ROI)
  • Southern Illinois has hit the 1H Moneyline in 13 of their last 18 games at home (+8.35 Units / 19% ROI)
  • Southern Illinois have covered the Spread in 11 of their last 18 games at home (+5.50 Units / 28% ROI)
  • Southern Illinois has hit the Game Total Over in 11 of their last 18 games at home (+3.30 Units / 17% ROI)
  • Southern Illinois has hit the 1H Game Total Over in 10 of their last 18 games at home (+1.90 Units / 9% ROI)

Valparaiso Basketball Against the Spread Record (ATS)

Valparaiso has a 12-6 record against the spread this college basketball season (+5.4 Units / 27.2% ROI).

  • 5-11 when betting on the Moneyline for -4.15 Units / -22.13% ROI
  • 7-11 when betting the Over for -5.1 Units / -25.63% ROI
  • 11-7 when betting the Under for +3.4 Units / 17.26% ROI

Southern Illinois Basketball Against the Spread Record (ATS)

Southern Illinois has a 13-4 record against the spread this college basketball season (+8.6 Units / 43.43% ROI).

  • 11-7 when betting on the Moneyline for -2.45 Units / -4.03% ROI
  • 9-8 when betting the Over for +0.2 Units / 1.01% ROI
  • 8-9 when betting the Under for -1.9 Units / -9.6% ROI

Valparaiso Offensive Stats & Trends:

Valparaiso has averaged 1.13 points per shot (1,290 points/1,139 shots) this season — tied for 7th lowest among Division 1 Teams; League Avg: 1.25

Valparaiso has an eFG% of 47% this season — tied for 13th lowest among Division 1 Teams; League Avg: 51%

Valparaiso is shooting 41% (464/1,139) this season — 11th lowest among Division 1 Teams; League Avg: 45%

Valparaiso has averaged 1.17 points per shot (3,496 points/2,992 shots) since the start of the 2022-23 season — tied for 13th lowest among Division 1 Teams; League Avg: 1.24

Southern Illinois Offensive Stats & Trends:

Southern Illinois is shooting 37% from three (156/417) this season — tied for 18th best among Division 1 Teams; League Avg: 34%

Southern Illinois has an assist to turnover ratio of 1.4 (280 assists/ 207 TOs) this season — 2nd best among Missouri Valley Teams; League Avg: 1.2

Southern Illinois has averaged 10.9 turnovers per game (207 turnovers/19 games) this season — 4th best among Missouri Valley Teams; League Avg: 11.6

Southern Illinois has averaged 7.4 offensive rebounds per game (385 rebounds/52 games) since the start of the 2022-23 season — tied for 19th lowest among Division 1 Teams; League Avg: 9.6

Valparaiso Defensive Stats & Trends:

Valparaiso has averaged 5.9 steals per game (301 steals/51 games) since the start of the 2022-23 season — 5th lowest among Missouri Valley Teams; League Avg: 6.3

Valparaiso has allowed 71.7 points per game (1,362 points/19 games) this season — 3rd highest among Missouri Valley Teams; League Avg: 70.0

Valparaiso has allowed opponents to shoot 34% from three (374/1,099) since the start of the 2022-23 season — tied for 4th highest among Missouri Valley Teams; League Avg: 33%

Valparaiso has allowed opponents to shoot 34% from three (135/395) this season — 5th highest among Missouri Valley Teams; League Avg: 33%

Southern Illinois Defensive Stats & Trends:

Southern Illinois has averaged 5.5 steals per game (105 steals/19 games) this season — 3rd lowest among Missouri Valley Teams; League Avg: 6.3

Southern Illinois has averaged 6.6 steals per game (343 steals/52 games) since the start of the 2022-23 season — tied for 4th best among Missouri Valley Teams; League Avg: 6.3

Southern Illinois has allowed 64.6 points per game (1,227 points/19 games) this season — best among Missouri Valley Teams; League Avg: 70.0

Southern Illinois has 343 steals since the start of the 2022-23 season — 5th most among Missouri Valley Teams


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Our BetMGM betting authors are experts who focus on individual game matchups & player prop bets with an emphasis on betting odds, lines & predictions.

Our BetMGM betting authors are experts who focus on individual game matchups & player prop bets with an emphasis on betting odds, lines & predictions.