Western Michigan vs Ball State Prediction, Odds & Best Bets Today – NCAAB, Mar. 2

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Ball State head coach Michael Lewis gestures in the first half of an NCAA college basketball game against Illinois State in Indianapolis, Saturday, Dec. 17, 2022.
(AP Photo/Michael Conroy)
BetMGM Betting @BETMGM Mar 02, 2024, 12:31 PM
  • Ball State (15-11) is a -6.5 point favorite vs Western Michigan (15-12)
  • Total (Over/Under): 145.5 points
  • Western Michigan / Ball State TV channel: ESPN+

The Western Michigan Broncos (15-12) visit Worthen Arena to take on the Ball State Cardinals (15-11) on Mar. 2. Tip off is scheduled for 2:00pm EST in Muncie, IN.

Ball State is the betting favorite in this game, with the spread sitting at -6.5 (-110).

The Western Michigan vs. Ball State Over/Under is 145.5 total points.

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Western Michigan vs. Ball State Odds, Spread, Over/Under

SpreadTotal (O/U)Moneyline
Western Michigan+6.5 -110O 145.5 -105+230
Ball State -6.5 -110U 145.5 -115-300

Western Michigan vs Ball State Prediction for Today:

The winning team model predicts Ball State will win this college basketball game with 73.4% confidence, based on game simulations, player injuries, key player performances and recent matchups.

Western Michigan vs Ball State Spread Prediction:

Based on recent against-the-spread trends, the spread model predicts Western Michigan will cover the spread with 51.0% confidence for today’s game.


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  • Western Michigan has hit the Team Total Under in their last 5 away games (+5.00 Units / 86% ROI)
  • Western Michigan has hit the 1H Game Total Under in 17 of their last 28 games (+4.50 Units / 14% ROI)
  • Western Michigan has hit the Game Total Under in 4 of their last 5 away games (+2.90 Units / 53% ROI)
  • Western Michigan have covered the Spread in 16 of their last 28 games (+2.85 Units / 9% ROI)
  • Ball State has hit the Team Total Over in 18 of their last 28 games (+6.60 Units / 20% ROI)
  • Ball State has hit the Game Total Over in 10 of their last 15 games at home (+4.50 Units / 27% ROI)
  • Ball State have covered the Spread in 15 of their last 28 games (+0.75 Units / 2% ROI)

Western Michigan Basketball Against the Spread Record (ATS)

Western Michigan has a 15-12 record against the spread this college basketball season (+1.85 Units / 6.24% ROI).

  • 9-15 when betting on the Moneyline for -5.25 Units / -18.2% ROI
  • 12-15 when betting the Over for -4.5 Units / -15.15% ROI
  • 15-12 when betting the Under for +1.8 Units / 6.06% ROI

Ball State Basketball Against the Spread Record (ATS)

Ball State has a 15-11 record against the spread this college basketball season (+2.9 Units / 10.14% ROI).

  • 12-13 when betting on the Moneyline for -7.6 Units / -19.22% ROI
  • 12-13 when betting the Over for -2.35 Units / -8.19% ROI
  • 13-12 when betting the Under for -0.15 Units / -0.53% ROI

Western Michigan Offensive Stats & Trends:

Western Michigan has averaged 11.3 offensive rebounds per game (272 rebounds/24 games) this season — best among Mid-American Teams; League Avg: 9.2

Western Michigan is shooting 62% from the free throw line (276/446) this season — lowest among Mid-American Teams; League Avg: 71%

Western Michigan is shooting 62% from the free throw line (276/446) this season — 2nd lowest among Division 1 Teams; League Avg: 71%

Western Michigan has 272 offensive rebounds this season — most among Mid-American Teams

Ball State Offensive Stats & Trends:

Ball State has 22.9 free throw attempts per game since the start of the 2022-23 season — best among Mid-American Teams; League Avg: 19.3

Ball State has a 41% free throw rate (1,259 free throw attempts/3,064 field goal attempts) since the start of the 2022-23 season — highest among Mid-American Teams; League Avg: 33%

Ball State has averaged 1.35 points per shot (1,734 points/1,280 shots) this season — best among Mid-American Teams; League Avg: 1.26

Ball State has made 7.7 three-pointers per game this season — 5th best among Mid-American Teams; League Avg: 7.3

Western Michigan Defensive Stats & Trends:

Western Michigan has forced 9.9 turnovers per game (547 turnovers/55 games) since the start of the 2022-23 season — lowest among Mid-American Teams ; League Avg: 12.1

Western Michigan has averaged 5.0 steals per game (276 steals/55 games) since the start of the 2022-23 season — lowest among Mid-American Teams; League Avg: 6.3

Western Michigan has averaged 23.3 defensive rebounds per game (560 rebounds/24 games) this season — 5th lowest among Mid-American Teams; League Avg: 23.6

Western Michigan has averaged 5.5 steals per game (133 steals/24 games) this season — tied for 40th lowest among Division 1 Teams; League Avg: 6.8

Ball State Defensive Stats & Trends:

Ball State has averaged 5.6 steals per game (128 steals/23 games) this season — tied for 2nd lowest among Mid-American Teams; League Avg: 6.2

Ball State has allowed an average of 1.23 points per shot (3,925 points/3,196 shots) since the start of the 2022-23 season — tied for 2nd best among Mid-American Teams ; League Avg: 1.26

Ball State has averaged 24.0 defensive rebounds per game (551 rebounds/23 games) this season — tied for 4th best among Mid-American Teams; League Avg: 23.6

Ball State has averaged 5.5 steals per game (304 steals/55 games) since the start of the 2022-23 season — 2nd lowest among Mid-American Teams; League Avg: 6.3


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Our BetMGM betting authors are experts who focus on individual game matchups & player prop bets with an emphasis on betting odds, lines & predictions.