Western Michigan vs Bowling Green Prediction, Odds & Best Bets Today – NCAAB, Jan. 20

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BetMGM Betting @BETMGM Jan 20, 2024, 11:19 AM
  • Bowling Green (8-7) is a -8.5 point favorite vs Western Michigan (10-6)
  • Total (Over/Under): 152.5 points
  • Western Michigan / Bowling Green TV channel: ESPN+

The Western Michigan Broncos (10-6) visit Stroh Center to take on the Bowling Green Falcons (8-7) on Jan. 20. Tip off is scheduled for 2:00pm EST in Bowling Green, OH.

Bowling Green is the betting favorite in this game, with the spread sitting at -8.5 (-115).

The Western Michigan vs. Bowling Green Over/Under is 152.5 total points.

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Western Michigan vs. Bowling Green Odds, Spread, Over/Under

SpreadTotal (O/U)Moneyline
Western Michigan+8.5 -105O 152.5 -110+310
Bowling Green -8.5 -115U 152.5 -110-400

Western Michigan vs Bowling Green Prediction for Today:

The winning team model predicts Bowling Green will win this college basketball game with 83.1% confidence, based on game simulations, player injuries, key player performances and recent matchups.

Western Michigan vs Bowling Green Spread Prediction:

Based on recent against-the-spread trends, the spread model predicts Bowling Green will cover the spread with 51.0% confidence for today’s game.


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  • Western Michigan has hit the 1H Game Total Under in 19 of their last 29 games (+7.55 Units / 23% ROI)
  • Western Michigan has hit the Team Total Over in 9 of their last 14 away games (+3.15 Units / 20% ROI)
  • Western Michigan has hit the Game Total Over in 8 of their last 14 away games (+1.40 Units / 9% ROI)
  • Bowling Green have covered the Spread in 10 of their last 17 games at home (+2.30 Units / 12% ROI)
  • Bowling Green has hit the 1H Game Total Under in 10 of their last 17 games at home (+2.20 Units / 11% ROI)
  • Bowling Green have covered the 1H Spread in 9 of their last 17 games at home (+0.80 Units / 4% ROI)
  • Bowling Green has hit the Game Total Under in 9 of their last 17 games at home (+0.20 Units / 1% ROI)

Western Michigan Basketball Against the Spread Record (ATS)

Western Michigan has a 10-6 record against the spread this college basketball season (+3.4 Units / 19.32% ROI).

  • 6-7 when betting on the Moneyline for +0.35 Units / 2.5% ROI
  • 9-7 when betting the Over for +1.3 Units / 7.39% ROI
  • 7-9 when betting the Under for -2.9 Units / -16.48% ROI

Bowling Green Basketball Against the Spread Record (ATS)

Bowling Green has a 8-7 record against the spread this college basketball season (+0.3 Units / 1.81% ROI).

  • 11-4 when betting on the Moneyline for +7.05 Units / 22.78% ROI
  • 8-7 when betting the Over for +0.3 Units / 1.82% ROI
  • 7-8 when betting the Under for -1.8 Units / -10.91% ROI

Western Michigan Offensive Stats & Trends:

Western Michigan is shooting 62% from the free throw line (208/335) this season — 2nd lowest among Division 1 Teams; League Avg: 71%

Western Michigan has averaged 11.5 offensive rebounds per game (196 rebounds/17 games) this season — best among Mid-American Teams; League Avg: 9.3

Western Michigan is shooting 62% from the free throw line (208/335) this season — lowest among Mid-American Teams; League Avg: 70%

Western Michigan has averaged 11.3 offensive rebounds per game (543 rebounds/48 games) since the start of the 2022-23 season — best among Mid-American Teams; League Avg: 9.5

Bowling Green Offensive Stats & Trends:

Bowling Green is shooting 31% from three (124/395) this season — tied for 27th lowest among Division 1 Teams; League Avg: 34%

Bowling Green has made 7.2 three-pointers per game since the start of the 2022-23 season — 4th lowest among Mid-American Teams; League Avg: 7.6

Bowling Green has averaged 11.0 turnovers per game (187 turnovers/17 games) this season — 3rd best among Mid-American Teams; League Avg: 12.0

Bowling Green has a TS% of 46% this season — 4th lowest among Mid-American Teams; League Avg: 48%

Western Michigan Defensive Stats & Trends:

Western Michigan has forced 9.9 turnovers per game (476 turnovers/48 games) since the start of the 2022-23 season — lowest among Mid-American Teams ; League Avg: 12.3

Western Michigan has averaged 4.9 steals per game (233 steals/48 games) since the start of the 2022-23 season — lowest among Mid-American Teams; League Avg: 6.4

Western Michigan has averaged 5.3 steals per game (90 steals/17 games) this season — lowest among Mid-American Teams; League Avg: 6.2

Western Michigan has averaged 23.6 defensive rebounds per game (401 rebounds/17 games) this season — 5th best among Mid-American Teams; League Avg: 23.6

Bowling Green Defensive Stats & Trends:

Bowling Green has averaged 26.5 defensive rebounds per game (450 rebounds/17 games) this season — best among Mid-American Teams; League Avg: 23.6

Bowling Green has averaged 24.8 defensive rebounds per game (1,192 rebounds/48 games) since the start of the 2022-23 season — best among Mid-American Teams; League Avg: 23.5

Bowling Green has allowed opponents to shoot 43% (442/1,034) this season — best among Mid-American Teams ; League Avg: 45%

Bowling Green has allowed an average of 1.14 points per shot (1,177 points/1,034 shots) this season — best among Mid-American Teams ; League Avg: 1.24


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Our BetMGM betting authors are experts who focus on individual game matchups & player prop bets with an emphasis on betting odds, lines & predictions.

Our BetMGM betting authors are experts who focus on individual game matchups & player prop bets with an emphasis on betting odds, lines & predictions.