White Sox vs Guardians Prediction, Odds & Player Prop Bets Today – MLB, Mar 8

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Cleveland Guardians catcher Bo Naylor sits near the bullpen during spring training baseball workouts in Goodyear, Ariz., Friday, Feb. 16, 2024.
(AP Photo/Carolyn Kaster)
BetMGM Betting @BETMGM Mar 08, 2024, 11:38 AM

The Chicago White Sox (+155) visit Goodyear Ballpark to take on the Cleveland Guardians (-190) on Friday, March 8, 2024. First pitch is for this Spring Training game is scheduled for 3:05pm EST in Goodyear, AZ.

This season, the White Sox are 2-10 against the spread (ATS), while the Guardians are 3-5 ATS.

White Sox vs. Guardians Odds, Run Line, Over/Under & Moneyline

Moneyline
White Sox+155
Guardians -190

White Sox vs Guardians Prediction for Today’s Game

Based on recent trends the model predicts the Guardians will win Friday‘s matchup with 56.5% confidence, based on game simulations, recent player performances, starting pitchers and injuries.


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We’ve highlighted some favorite MLB player prop bets for White Sox players for Friday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:

Best White Sox Player Prop Bets Today:

  • Clint Frazier has hit the Hits Runs and RBIs Under in 9 of his last 13 games (+4.65 Units / 28% ROI)
  • Eloy Jimenez has hit the Hits Under in his last 2 games (+3.65 Units / 183% ROI)
  • Eloy Jimenez has hit the RBIs Under in his last 3 games (+3.00 Units / 39% ROI)
  • Carlos Perez has hit the Runs Under in his last 3 games (+3.00 Units / 39% ROI)
  • Adam Haseley has hit the Hits Runs and RBIs Under in his last 2 away games (+2.00 Units / 70% ROI)

And here are some favorite MLB player prop bets for Guardians players for Friday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:

Best Guardians Player Prop Best Bets Today:

  • Myles Straw has hit the Runs Under in his last 5 games (+5.00 Units / 38% ROI)
  • Josh Naylor has hit the Hits Over in 4 of his last 5 games (+3.95 Units / 42% ROI)
  • Jose Tena has hit the Runs Under in his last 3 games (+3.00 Units / 38% ROI)
  • Will Brennan has hit the RBIs Under in his last 3 games (+3.00 Units / 36% ROI)
  • Steven Kwan has hit the Hits Under in his last 2 games at home (+2.90 Units / 83% ROI)
  • The Chicago White Sox have hit the Game Total Under in 70 of their last 124 games (+16.15 Units / 12% ROI)
  • The Chicago White Sox have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Team Total Under in 12 of their last 16 away games (+8.13 Units / 45% ROI)
  • The Chicago White Sox have hit the Team Total Under in 13 of their last 19 away games (+6.45 Units / 30% ROI)
  • The Chicago White Sox have covered the Run Line in 15 of their last 22 away games (+6.40 Units / 21% ROI)
  • The Chicago White Sox have covered the 1st Five Innings (F5) Run Line in 4 of their last 6 away games (+1.84 Units / 27% ROI)
  • The Cleveland Guardians have hit the Game Total Under in 50 of their last 76 games at home (+22.70 Units / 27% ROI)
  • The Cleveland Guardians have covered the Run Line in 64 of their last 120 games (+6.20 Units / 4% ROI)
  • The Cleveland Guardians have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Team Total Over in 20 of their last 34 games (+4.72 Units / 12% ROI)
  • The Cleveland Guardians have hit the Moneyline in 35 of their last 62 games at home (+4.25 Units / 5% ROI)

White Sox Against the Spread (ATS) Record

Against the spread this Spring Training, the White Sox are 1-11 against the Run Line (-12.11 Units / -84.98% ROI).

  • 2-10 when betting on the Moneyline for -9.65 Units / -67.01% ROI
  • 5-6 when betting on the total runs Over for -1.49 Units / -11.25% ROI
  • 6-5 when betting on the total runs Under for +0.6 Units / 4.56% ROI

Guardians Against the Spread (ATS) Record

Against the spread this Spring Training, the Guardians are 3-5 against the Run Line (-3.28 Units / -28.85% ROI).

  • 2-6 when betting on the Moneyline for -4.64 Units / -50.77% ROI
  • 5-2 when betting on the total runs Over for +2.7 Units / 31.03% ROI
  • 2-5 when betting on the total runs Under for -3.68 Units / -41.35% ROI

Erick Fedde has averaged 79.1 MPH on sliders since the 2021 season — 3rd lowest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 194 total IP; League Avg: 85.1 — third Percentile.

Erick Fedde’s lowest spin rate on sliders since the 2021 season is 1967.0 RPM — 5th highest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 194 total IP; League Avg: 1199.9

Guardians Starting Pitcher Stats & Trends

Tanner Bibee allowed a slugging percentage of just .270 (66 Total Bases / 244 ABs) vs left-handed batters in the 2023 season — 2nd best in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 64 total IP; League Avg: .426 — 99th Percentile.

Tanner Bibee allowed a slugging percentage of just .268 (67 Total Bases / 250 ABs) at home in the 2023 season — best in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 64 total IP; League Avg: .411 — 100th Percentile.

Opponents had a = 95 mph’>Hard-Hit Rate of just 24% (25/103) against Tanner Bibee on sliders in the 2023 season — 3rd best in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 64 total IP; League Avg: 37% — 97th Percentile.

Tanner Bibee has an average spin rate of 2790.6 RPM on sliders since last season — 2nd highest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 129 total IP; League Avg: 2397.6 — 99th Percentile.

White Sox Keys to the Game vs. the Guardians

The White Sox were just 51-8 (.864) when leading entering the 9th inning in the 2023 season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .948.

The White Sox were just 19-40 (.322) after a win in the 2023 season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .514.

The White Sox were just 19-21 (.475) when they scored in the first inning in the 2023 season — 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .611.

The White Sox were just 45-14 (.763) when leading entering the 7th inning in the 2023 season — 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .859.

Guardians Keys to the Game vs. the White Sox

The Guardians are 34-114 (.230) when trailing entering the 7th inning since last season — best in MLB; League Avg: .129.

The Guardians were just 5-15 (.250) when tied entering the 7th inning in the 2023 season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .500.

The Guardians were 18-57 (.240) when trailing entering the 7th inning in the 2023 season — 2nd best in MLB; League Avg: .141.

The Guardians were just 5-15 (.250) when tied entering the 8th inning in the 2023 season — 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .500.

White Sox hitters had an OBP of just .213 (3,148 PA’s) with two-strikes in the 2023 season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .249.

White Sox hitters had an OPS of just .458 (3,148 PA’s) with two-strikes in the 2023 season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .523.

White Sox had 2,422 quality ABs out of 5,980 total (41% QAB rate) in the 2023 season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: 44%.

White Sox hitters had an OBP of just .293 (2,952 PA’s) at home in the 2023 season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .324.

Guardians hitters put just 34% of balls in play to the left side of the field in the 2023 season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: 39%.

Guardians hitters had a = 95 mph’>Hard-Hit Rate of just 34% against RHP in the 2023 season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: 40%.

Guardians hitters struck out just 1,142 times in 6,096 PA’s (19%) in the 2023 season — best in MLB; League Avg: 23%.

Guardians hitters slugged just .367 against LHP in the 2023 season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .419.

White Sox pitchers walked 654 of 6,301 batters (10%) in the 2023 season — 2nd highest in MLB; League Avg: 9%.

White Sox pitchers won only 15% of games in which they allowed their opponent to score in three different innings at home in the 2023 season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: 29%.

Opponents had a groundball rate of just 40% against White Sox pitchers in the 2023 season — 3rd lowest in MLB; League Avg: 43%.

Opponents had a miss rate of 27% against White Sox pitchers in the 2023 season — tied for 4th best in MLB; League Avg: 26%.

Opponents had a groundball rate of just 41% against Guardians pitchers in the 2023 season — 5th lowest in MLB; League Avg: 43%.

Guardians pitchers won only 19% of games in which they allowed their opponent to score in three different innings on the road in the 2023 season — 5th lowest in MLB; League Avg: 27%.

The Guardians pitchers have allowed the 28th hardest ball in play hit (119.2 MPH) in the 2023 season (; League Avg: 117.2).

Guardians pitchers have allowed an exit velocity over 110 MPH 100 times since last season — tied for 2nd fewest in MLB.

Guardians vs. White Sox Injuries Tonight That May Affect Prop Bets 

  • Daniel Espino (Cleveland Guardians): Shoulder, Out
  • Gabriel Arias (Cleveland Guardians): Wrist, Out
  • Logan Allen (Cleveland Guardians): Shoulder, Out
  • James Karinchak (Cleveland Guardians): Shoulder, Out
  • Matt Foster (Chicago White Sox): Elbow, 60-Day IL
  • Shane Drohan (Chicago White Sox): Shoulder, Out
  • John Brebbia (Chicago White Sox): Calf, Out
  • Michael Soroka (Chicago White Sox): Forearm, Day-To-Day
  • Liam Hendriks (Chicago White Sox): Elbow, Out
  • Luis Robert (Chicago White Sox): Knee, Out
  • Edgar Navarro (Chicago White Sox): Elbow, Out
  • Davis Martin (Chicago White Sox): Elbow, Out
  • Max Stassi (Chicago White Sox): Personal, Out

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Our BetMGM betting authors are experts who focus on individual game matchups & player prop bets with an emphasis on betting odds, lines & predictions.

Our BetMGM betting authors are experts who focus on individual game matchups & player prop bets with an emphasis on betting odds, lines & predictions.