- The Astros are -135 favorites vs the Brewers
- Astros starting pitcher: Jonathan France
- Brewers starting pitcher: Colin Rea
- Watch the game on BSWI
The Houston Astros (-135) visit American Family Field to take on the Milwaukee Brewers (+110) on Tuesday, May 23, 2023. First pitch is scheduled for 7:40pm EDT in Milwaukee.
The Astros are the betting favorite in this game, with the run line sitting at -1.5 (+120).
The Astros vs Brewers Over/Under is 9.5 total runs for the game.
This season, the Astros are 28-19 against the spread (ATS), while the Brewers are 22-25 ATS.
Astros vs. Brewers Odds, Run Line, Over/Under & Moneyline
| Spread | Over / Under | Moneyline | |
| Astros | -1.5 +120 | O 9.5 -115 | -135 |
| Brewers | +1.5 -145 | U 9.5 -105 | +110 |
Astros vs Brewers Prediction for Today’s Game
Based on recent trends the model predicts the Astros will win Tuesday‘s MLB matchup with 64.0% confidence.
This prediction factors in starting pitchers, recent team and player hitting performances, the last 5 games for both the Astros and Brewers and up-to-date player injuries.
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We’ve highlighted some favorite MLB player prop bets for Astros players for Tuesday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:
Best Astros Player Prop Bets Today:
- Alex Bregman has hit the Total Bases Under in 35 of his last 47 games (+16.60 Units / 21% ROI)
- Jose Abreu has hit the Total Bases Under in 31 of his last 41 games (+13.95 Units / 20% ROI)
- Yordan Alvarez has hit the RBIs Over in 13 of his last 17 away games (+13.40 Units / 79% ROI)
- Yordan Alvarez has hit the Hits Over in 15 of his last 17 games (+13.00 Units / 36% ROI)
- Mauricio Dubon has hit the Runs Over in 13 of his last 19 away games (+12.00 Units / 63% ROI)
And here are some favorite MLB player prop bets for Brewers players for Tuesday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:
Best Brewers Player Prop Best Bets Today:
- Rowdy Tellez has hit the Hits Over in 22 of his last 27 games (+13.60 Units / 30% ROI)
- Owen Miller has hit the Total Bases Over in 14 of his last 18 games (+12.15 Units / 48% ROI)
- Rowdy Tellez has hit the Total Bases Over in 21 of his last 27 games (+11.40 Units / 27% ROI)
- Owen Miller has hit the Hits Over in 15 of his last 18 games (+11.00 Units / 29% ROI)
- Willy Adames has hit the Total Bases Under in 31 of his last 47 games (+10.20 Units / 14% ROI)
Brewers vs Astros Home Run Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Jose Abreu | 0.5 +600 | 0.5 -1600 |
| Jesse Winker | 0.5 +625 | 0.5 -1600 |
| Kyle Tucker | 0.5 +375 | 0.5 -700 |
| Christian Yelich | 0.5 +600 | 0.5 -1600 |
| Yordan Alvarez | 0.5 +280 | 0.5 -450 |
Brewers vs Astros Total Hits Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Jose Abreu | 1.5 +175 | 1.5 -225 |
| Jesse Winker | 0.5 -150 | 0.5 +115 |
| Kyle Tucker | 0.5 -250 | 0.5 +190 |
| Christian Yelich | 0.5 -210 | 0.5 +160 |
| Yordan Alvarez | 0.5 -225 | 0.5 +170 |
Brewers vs Astros RBI Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Jose Abreu | 0.5 +145 | 0.5 -190 |
| Jesse Winker | 0.5 +220 | 0.5 -300 |
| Kyle Tucker | 0.5 +130 | 0.5 -175 |
| Christian Yelich | 0.5 +240 | 0.5 -350 |
| Yordan Alvarez | 0.5 +130 | 0.5 -165 |
Brewers vs Astros Strikeout Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| J.P. France | 4.5 -120 | 4.5 -110 |
| Colin Rea | 3.5 -115 | 3.5 -110 |
Astros Best Bets Today:
- The Houston Astros have hit the Moneyline in 11 of their last 12 games (+10.20 Units / 47% ROI)
- The Houston Astros have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Moneyline in 9 of their last 12 away games (+7.90 Units / 57% ROI)
- The Houston Astros have hit the Game Total Under in 16 of their last 24 games (+7.25 Units / 28% ROI)
- The Houston Astros have covered the 1st Five Innings (F5) Run Line in 9 of their last 12 away games (+5.70 Units / 40% ROI)
- The Houston Astros have hit the Team Total Over in 13 of their last 21 away games (+3.75 Units / 15% ROI)
Brewers Best Bets Today:
- The Milwaukee Brewers have hit the Team Total Under in 17 of their last 25 games (+8.05 Units / 28% ROI)
- The Milwaukee Brewers have hit the Game Total Under in 11 of their last 19 games at home (+3.30 Units / 16% ROI)
- The Milwaukee Brewers have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Team Total Under in 15 of their last 25 games (+2.85 Units / 9% ROI)
- The Milwaukee Brewers have hit the Moneyline in 7 of their last 11 games at home (+2.65 Units / 16% ROI)
- The Milwaukee Brewers have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Moneyline in 11 of their last 22 games at home (+1.55 Units / 5% ROI)
Astros Against the Spread (ATS) Record
Against the spread this MLB season, the Astros have gone 24-23 against the Run Line (-1.55 Units / -2.52% ROI).
- 28-19 when betting on the Moneyline for +0.7 Units / 0.97% ROI
- 23-23 when betting on the total runs Over for -2.55 Units / -4.89% ROI
- 23-23 when betting on the total runs Under for -2.15 Units / -4.18% ROI
Brewers Against the Spread (ATS) Record
Against the spread this MLB season, the Brewers have gone 22-25 against the Run Line (-3.6 Units / -6.33% ROI).
- 25-22 when betting on the Moneyline for +1.25 Units / 2.08% ROI
- 22-24 when betting on the total runs Over for -5.1 Units / -9.75% ROI
- 24-22 when betting on the total runs Under for -0.3 Units / -0.59% ROI
Astros Starting Pitcher Stats & Trends
Right-handed hitters have a groundball rate of just 26% (8/31) against J.P. France over the last 30 days (3 games) — 11th lowest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 9 total IP; League Avg: 42% — eighth Percentile.
Opponents are hitting just .146 (6-for-41) against J.P. France on the road over the last 30 days (2 games) — 4th best in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 9 total IP; League Avg: .261 — 97th Percentile.
Brewers Starting Pitcher Stats & Trends
Opponents have a line drive rate of just 17% (15/91) against Colin Rea this season — tied for 6th lowest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 18 total IP; League Avg: 23% — 96th Percentile.
Opponents have a line drive rate of just 12% (5/43) against Colin Rea on fastballs this season — lowest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 18 total IP; League Avg: 25% — 100th Percentile.
All 5 of Colin Rea’s non-fastball strikeouts are located out of the zone this season — tied for highest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 18 total IP; League Avg: 62% — 100th Percentile.
Opposing hitters have a chase rate of 35% (18/52) against Colin Rea when he’s behind in the count this season — 10th highest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 18 total IP; League Avg: 24% — 93rd Percentile.
Astros Keys to the Game vs. the Brewers
The Astros are 22-24 (.478) when allowing 2 or more home runs since last season — 2nd best in MLB; League Avg: .300.
The Astros are 22-12 (.647) after a road loss since last season — 2nd best in MLB; League Avg: .448.
The Astros are 62-6 (.912) when they’ve had 10 or more hits since last season — best in MLB; League Avg: .728.
The Astros are 87-7 (.926) when scoring 5 or more runs since last season — best in MLB; League Avg: .802.
Brewers Keys to the Game vs. the Astros
The Brewers are 18-2 (.900) when scoring 5 or more runs this season — 2nd best in MLB; League Avg: .792.
The Brewers are just 2-10 (.167) when allowing 10 or more hits this season — tied for 3rd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .271.
The Brewers are 21-0 (1.000) when leading entering the 9th inning this season — tied for best in MLB; League Avg: .952.
The Brewers are 21-13 (.618) when tied entering the 7th inning since last season — 3rd best in MLB; League Avg: .500.
Astros Hitting Stats & Trends
Astros hitters have just 786 strikeouts in 4,424 PA’s (18%) against LHP since the 2021 season — best in MLB; League Avg: 23%.
Astros hitters have just 406 strikeouts in 2,343 PA’s (17%) against LHP since last season — best in MLB; League Avg: 22%.
Astros hitters have put 40% of their swings in play against LHP since last season — highest in MLB; League Avg: 36%.
Astros hitters struck out just 321 times in 1,850 PA’s (17%) against LHP in 2022 — best in MLB; League Avg: 22%.
Brewers Hitting Stats & Trends
The Brewers are batting just .221 against LHP since last season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .247.
Brewers hitters have 139 strikeouts in 462 PA’s (30%) against LHP this season — highest in MLB; League Avg: 23%.
Brewers hitters are slugging just .352 against LHP this season — 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .423.
The Brewers are batting just .225 against LHP since the 2021 season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .248.
Astros Pitching Stats & Trends
Astros pitchers have a strikeout rate of 53% with two-strikes over the last 14 days (12 games) — best in MLB; League Avg: 43%.
The Astros have allowed 3.28 runs per game (338/103) on the road since last season — best in MLB; League Avg: 4.38.
Astros pitchers have a strikeout rate of 47% with two-strikes this season — best in MLB; League Avg: 43%.
Astros pitchers have a strikeout rate of 47% with two-strikes since last season — best in MLB; League Avg: 42%.
Brewers Pitching Stats & Trends
Brewers pitchers have not walked any of the 51 batters that they have faced when facing the leadoff batter in the inning over the past seven days (6 games) — best in MLB; League Avg: 8%.
Brewers pitchers have walked 29 of 413 batters (7%) when facing the leadoff batter in the inning this season — tied for 4th best in MLB; League Avg: 8%.
Brewers pitchers have a strikeout rate of just 21% this season — 5th lowest in MLB; League Avg: 23%.
Brewers pitchers have a strikeout rate of just 40% with two-strikes this season — 5th lowest in MLB; League Avg: 43%.
Brewers vs. Astros Injuries Tonight That May Affect Prop Bets
- Louis Voit (Brewers): Neck, D10
- Luis UrÃas (Brewers): Hamstring, D60
- Matthew Bush (Brewers): Shoulder, D15
- Eric Lauer (Brewers): Shoulder, D15
- Garrett Mitchell (Brewers): Shoulder, D60
- Wade Miley (Brewers): Lat Strain, D15
- Justin Wilson (Brewers): Elbow, D60
- Aaron Ashby (Brewers): Labrum, D60
- Jason Alexander (Brewers): Shoulder, D60
- Brandon Woodruff (Brewers): Shoulder, D60
- Jacob Bukauskas (Brewers): Spine, D15
- Lance McCullers Jr. (Astros): Elbow, D15
- Luis Garcia (Astros): Elbow, D15
- Michael Brantley (Astros): Shoulder, D10
- José Urquidy (Astros): Shoulder, D15
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