- The Dodgers are -135 favorites vs the Diamondbacks
- Dodgers vs Diamondbacks Over / Under today: 9 Runs
- Dodgers / Diamondbacks TV Channel: SNLA | DBTV | MLBN
The Los Angeles Dodgers (-140) visit Chase Field to take on the Arizona Diamondbacks (+120) on Wednesday, May 1, 2024. First pitch is scheduled for 9:40pm EDT in Phoenix, AZ.
This season, the Dodgers are 19-12 against the spread (ATS), while the Diamondbacks are 14-16 ATS.
Dodgers vs Diamondbacks Starting Pitchers Today:
- Dodgers starting pitcher: Yoshinobu Yamamoto 2-1, 3.50 ERA
- Diamondbacks starting pitcher: Jordan Montgomery 1-1, 2.77 ERA
Dodgers vs. Diamondbacks Odds, Run Line, Over/Under & Moneyline
| Spread | Over / Under | Moneyline | |
| Dodgers | -1.5 +120 | O 9 -120 | -140 |
| Diamondbacks | +1.5 -145 | U 9 +100 | +120 |
Dodgers vs Diamondbacks Prediction for Today’s Game
Based on recent trends the model predicts the Dodgers will win Wednesday‘s MLB game with 56.6% confidence, factoring in game simulations, recent player performances, starting pitchers and injuries.
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We’ve highlighted some favorite MLB player prop bets for Dodgers players for Wednesday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:
Best Dodgers Player Prop Bets Today:
- Shohei Ohtani has hit the Hits Over in 17 of his last 26 games (+12.05 Units / 28% ROI)
- Shohei Ohtani has hit the Hits Runs and RBIs Over in 20 of his last 31 games (+9.15 Units / 26% ROI)
- Miguel Rojas has hit the Home Runs Over in 2 of his last 13 games (+9.00 Units / 69% ROI)
- Shohei Ohtani has hit the Total Bases Over in 17 of his last 26 games (+8.05 Units / 27% ROI)
- Freddie Freeman has hit the RBIs Over in 7 of his last 9 games (+7.95 Units / 88% ROI)
And here are some favorite MLB player prop bets for Diamondbacks players for Wednesday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:
Best Diamondbacks Player Prop Best Bets Today:
- Kevin Newman has hit the Home Runs Over in 2 of his last 5 games (+18.50 Units / 370% ROI)
- Corbin Carroll has hit the Total Bases Under in 14 of his last 15 games (+13.30 Units / 64% ROI)
- Corbin Carroll has hit the Hits Runs and RBIs Under in 11 of his last 12 games (+10.95 Units / 79% ROI)
- Christian Walker has hit the Hits Under in 8 of his last 10 games at home (+10.15 Units / 88% ROI)
- Corbin Carroll has hit the Runs Under in 12 of his last 14 games (+9.65 Units / 51% ROI)
Dodgers Best Bets Today:
- The Los Angeles Dodgers have covered the Run Line in 78 of their last 136 games (+21.65 Units / 13% ROI)
- The Los Angeles Dodgers have hit the Game Total Over in 39 of their last 63 away games (+16.00 Units / 23% ROI)
- The Los Angeles Dodgers have hit the Moneyline in 53 of their last 80 games (+11.70 Units / 9% ROI)
- The Los Angeles Dodgers have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Team Total Under in their last 5 games (+5.34 Units / 88% ROI)
Diamondbacks Best Bets Today:
- The Arizona Diamondbacks have hit the Game Total Under in 56 of their last 99 games (+14.00 Units / 13% ROI)
- The Arizona Diamondbacks have hit the Moneyline in 37 of their last 63 games (+11.20 Units / 15% ROI)
- The Arizona Diamondbacks have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Team Total Under in 54 of their last 93 games (+10.82 Units / 10% ROI)
- The Arizona Diamondbacks have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Moneyline in 29 of their last 61 games (+9.29 Units / 13% ROI)
- The Arizona Diamondbacks have covered the Run Line in 38 of their last 67 games at home (+7.75 Units / 9% ROI)
Dodgers Against the Spread (ATS) Record
Against the spread this season, the Dodgers are 15-16 against the Run Line (-3.3 Units / -9.13% ROI).
- 19-12 when betting on the Moneyline for -4.6 Units / -7.73% ROI
- 18-12 when betting on the total runs Over for +4.8 Units / 14.18% ROI
- 12-18 when betting on the total runs Under for -7.9 Units / -22.97% ROI
Diamondbacks Against the Spread (ATS) Record
Against the spread this season, the Diamondbacks are 14-16 against the Run Line (-3.5 Units / -9.1% ROI).
- 13-17 when betting on the Moneyline for -6.75 Units / -17.49% ROI
- 13-16 when betting on the total runs Over for -4.8 Units / -14.39% ROI
- 16-13 when betting on the total runs Under for +1.85 Units / 5.67% ROI
Diamondbacks vs Dodgers Home Run Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Max Muncy (LAD) | 0.5 +300 | 0.5 -375 |
| Teoscar Hernandez (LAD) | 0.5 +300 | 0.5 -400 |
| Mookie Betts (LAD) | 0.5 +300 | 0.5 -375 |
| Shohei Ohtani (LAD) | 0.5 +320 | 0.5 -400 |
| Joc Pederson (ARI) | 0.5 +375 | 0.5 -500 |
Diamondbacks vs Dodgers Total Hits Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Jake McCarthy (ARI) | 0.5 -275 | 0.5 +195 |
| Andy Pages (LAD) | 0.5 -250 | 0.5 +180 |
| Gabriel Moreno (ARI) | 0.5 -250 | 0.5 +175 |
| Ketel Marte (ARI) | 0.5 -250 | 0.5 +190 |
| Max Muncy (LAD) | 0.5 -225 | 0.5 +160 |
Diamondbacks vs Dodgers RBI Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Teoscar Hernandez (LAD) | 0.5 +100 | 0.5 -135 |
| Will Smith (LAD) | 0.5 +105 | 0.5 -135 |
| Mookie Betts (LAD) | 0.5 +115 | 0.5 -155 |
| Max Muncy (LAD) | 0.5 +120 | 0.5 -160 |
| Shohei Ohtani (LAD) | 0.5 +120 | 0.5 -155 |
Diamondbacks vs Dodgers Strikeout Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
Dodgers Starting Pitcher Stats & Trends
Yoshinobu Yamamoto has thrown his curveball 28% of the time (27/95) when he’s behind in the count this season — 4th highest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 11 total CB; League Avg: 9% — 95th Percentile.
Opponents have a line drive rate of 39% (28/72) against Yoshinobu Yamamoto this season — highest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 11 total IP; League Avg: 24% — 0 Percentile.
6 of Yoshinobu Yamamoto’s breaking pitch strikeouts are backdoor on breaking pitches this season — tied for most in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 11 total IP; League Avg: nan — 100th Percentile.
Yoshinobu Yamamoto has a strikeout rate of 44% (8 SO in 18 PAs) when going through the lineup the first time in a game over the last 14 days — tied for 2nd best among NL Starters over the last two weeks; League Avg: 23% — 98th Percentile.
Diamondbacks Starting Pitcher Stats & Trends
Jordan Montgomery has walked 1 of 50 batters (2%) this season — best in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 11 total IP; League Avg: 8% — 100th Percentile.
Jordan Montgomery has a strikeout rate of just 17% (53 SO in 305 PAs) when going through the lineup the second time in a game since last season — 4th lowest among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: 24% — 11th Percentile.
Jordan Montgomery has walked 29 of 594 batters (5%) when going through the lineup the first time in a game since the 2022 season — 4th best among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: 7% — 89th Percentile.
Opponents have a Hard-Hit Rate of just 36% (48/135) against Jordan Montgomery on fastballs away since last season — 2nd best in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 76 total IP; League Avg: 52% — 99th Percentile.
Dodgers Keys to the Game vs. the Diamondbacks
The Dodgers are 45-16 (.738) after a road loss since the 2022 season — best in MLB; League Avg: .461.
The Dodgers are 206-34 (.858) when allowing 4 or fewer runs since the 2022 season — best in MLB; League Avg: .719.
The Dodgers are 111-66 (.627) on the road since the 2022 season — best in MLB; League Avg: .476.
The Dodgers are 53-21 (.716) after a loss since the 2023 season — best in MLB; League Avg: .493.
Diamondbacks Keys to the Game vs. the Dodgers
The Diamondbacks are just 145-15 (.906) when leading entering the 9th inning since the 2022 season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .950.
The Diamondbacks are just 128-23 (.848) when leading entering the 8th inning since the 2022 season — 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .905.
The Diamondbacks are just 71-11 (.866) when leading entering the 8th inning since the 2023 season — 5th lowest in MLB; League Avg: .897.
The Diamondbacks are just 82-9 (.901) when leading entering the 9th inning since the 2023 season — 4th lowest in MLB; League Avg: .947.
Dodgers Hitting Stats & Trends
Dodgers hitters have an OPS of .801 (5,326 PA’s) against RHP since last season — 2nd best in MLB; League Avg: .726.
Dodgers hitters have an OPS of .793 (9,835 PA’s) against RHP since the 2022 season — 2nd best in MLB; League Avg: .716.
Dodgers hitters are slugging .452 against RHP since the 2022 season — 2nd best in MLB; League Avg: .402.
Dodgers hitters are slugging .459 against RHP this season — best in MLB; League Avg: .386.
Diamondbacks Hitting Stats & Trends
Diamondbacks hitters have an OPS of .860 (429 PA’s) against LHP this season — best in MLB; League Avg: .703.
Diamondbacks hitters are slugging .486 against LHP this season — best in MLB; League Avg: .385.
Diamondbacks hitters have an OBP of .397 (136 PA’s) when facing the starting pitcher for the 3rd time in a game this season — best in MLB; League Avg: .330.
The Diamondbacks are batting .314 against LHP this season — best in MLB; League Avg: .245.
Dodgers Pitching Stats & Trends
The Dodgers pitchers allowed their opponents to score first in just 38% of their games in the 2023 season — 3rd lowest in MLB; League Avg: 50%.
The Dodgers have won 45% of games in which their opponents scored first since the 2022 season — highest in MLB; League Avg: 32%.
Dodgers pitchers have picked-off 5 runners from first base this season — best in MLB.
The Dodgers pitchers have allowed the 30th hardest ball in play hit (121.2 MPH) in the 2023 season (; League Avg: 117.2).
Diamondbacks Pitching Stats & Trends
Diamondbacks pitchers have a strikeout rate of just 16% in close and late situations this season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: 25%.
Diamondbacks pitchers have a strikeout rate of just 21% this season — 4th lowest in MLB; League Avg: 22%.
Diamondbacks pitchers have a strikeout rate of just 20% in close and late situations since the 2022 season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: 25%.
Opponents have a groundball rate of just 41% against Diamondbacks pitchers since the 2022 season — 5th lowest in MLB; League Avg: 43%.
Diamondbacks vs. Dodgers Injuries Tonight That May Affect Prop Bets
- Jordan Lawlar (Arizona Diamondbacks): Thumb, 60-Day IL
- Alek Thomas (Arizona Diamondbacks): Hamstring, Day-To-Day
- Eduardo Rodriguez (Arizona Diamondbacks): Shoulder, 15-Day IL
- Paul Sewald (Arizona Diamondbacks): Oblique, 15-Day IL
- Jose Castillo (Arizona Diamondbacks): Hand, 7-Day IL
- Drey Jameson (Arizona Diamondbacks): Elbow, 60-Day IL
- Brusdar Graterol (Los Angeles Dodgers): Shoulder, 15-Day IL
- Tony Gonsolin (Los Angeles Dodgers): Elbow, 60-Day IL
- Diego Cartaya (Los Angeles Dodgers): Back, Day-To-Day
- Blake Treinen (Los Angeles Dodgers): Chest, 15-Day IL
- David Peralta (Los Angeles Dodgers): Elbow, Out
- Emmet Sheehan (Los Angeles Dodgers): Forearm, 60-Day IL
- Julio Urias (Los Angeles Dodgers): Personal, Out
- Clayton Kershaw (Los Angeles Dodgers): Shoulder, 60-Day IL
- Nick Frasso (Los Angeles Dodgers): Shoulder, Out
- Dustin May (Los Angeles Dodgers): Elbow, 60-Day IL
- Walker Buehler (Los Angeles Dodgers): Elbow, 15-Day IL
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