Dodgers vs Diamondbacks Prediction, Odds & Player Prop Bets Today – MLB, May 1

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(AP Photo/Alex Brandon)
BetMGM Betting @BETMGM May 01, 2024, 11:00 AM
  • The Dodgers are -135 favorites vs the Diamondbacks
  • Dodgers vs Diamondbacks Over / Under today: 9 Runs
  • Dodgers / Diamondbacks TV Channel: SNLA | DBTV | MLBN

The Los Angeles Dodgers (-140) visit Chase Field to take on the Arizona Diamondbacks (+120) on Wednesday, May 1, 2024. First pitch is scheduled for 9:40pm EDT in Phoenix, AZ.

This season, the Dodgers are 19-12 against the spread (ATS), while the Diamondbacks are 14-16 ATS.

Dodgers vs Diamondbacks Starting Pitchers Today:

  • Dodgers starting pitcher: Yoshinobu Yamamoto 2-1, 3.50 ERA
  • Diamondbacks starting pitcher: Jordan Montgomery 1-1, 2.77 ERA

Dodgers vs. Diamondbacks Odds, Run Line, Over/Under & Moneyline

SpreadOver / UnderMoneyline
Dodgers-1.5 +120O 9 -120-140
Diamondbacks +1.5 -145U 9 +100+120

Dodgers vs Diamondbacks Prediction for Today’s Game

Based on recent trends the model predicts the Dodgers will win Wednesday‘s MLB game with 56.6% confidence, factoring in game simulations, recent player performances, starting pitchers and injuries.


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We’ve highlighted some favorite MLB player prop bets for Dodgers players for Wednesday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:

Best Dodgers Player Prop Bets Today:

  • Shohei Ohtani has hit the Hits Over in 17 of his last 26 games (+12.05 Units / 28% ROI)
  • Shohei Ohtani has hit the Hits Runs and RBIs Over in 20 of his last 31 games (+9.15 Units / 26% ROI)
  • Miguel Rojas has hit the Home Runs Over in 2 of his last 13 games (+9.00 Units / 69% ROI)
  • Shohei Ohtani has hit the Total Bases Over in 17 of his last 26 games (+8.05 Units / 27% ROI)
  • Freddie Freeman has hit the RBIs Over in 7 of his last 9 games (+7.95 Units / 88% ROI)

And here are some favorite MLB player prop bets for Diamondbacks players for Wednesday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:

Best Diamondbacks Player Prop Best Bets Today:

  • Kevin Newman has hit the Home Runs Over in 2 of his last 5 games (+18.50 Units / 370% ROI)
  • Corbin Carroll has hit the Total Bases Under in 14 of his last 15 games (+13.30 Units / 64% ROI)
  • Corbin Carroll has hit the Hits Runs and RBIs Under in 11 of his last 12 games (+10.95 Units / 79% ROI)
  • Christian Walker has hit the Hits Under in 8 of his last 10 games at home (+10.15 Units / 88% ROI)
  • Corbin Carroll has hit the Runs Under in 12 of his last 14 games (+9.65 Units / 51% ROI)
  • The Los Angeles Dodgers have covered the Run Line in 78 of their last 136 games (+21.65 Units / 13% ROI)
  • The Los Angeles Dodgers have hit the Game Total Over in 39 of their last 63 away games (+16.00 Units / 23% ROI)
  • The Los Angeles Dodgers have hit the Moneyline in 53 of their last 80 games (+11.70 Units / 9% ROI)
  • The Los Angeles Dodgers have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Team Total Under in their last 5 games (+5.34 Units / 88% ROI)
  • The Arizona Diamondbacks have hit the Game Total Under in 56 of their last 99 games (+14.00 Units / 13% ROI)
  • The Arizona Diamondbacks have hit the Moneyline in 37 of their last 63 games (+11.20 Units / 15% ROI)
  • The Arizona Diamondbacks have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Team Total Under in 54 of their last 93 games (+10.82 Units / 10% ROI)
  • The Arizona Diamondbacks have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Moneyline in 29 of their last 61 games (+9.29 Units / 13% ROI)
  • The Arizona Diamondbacks have covered the Run Line in 38 of their last 67 games at home (+7.75 Units / 9% ROI)

Dodgers Against the Spread (ATS) Record

Against the spread this season, the Dodgers are 15-16 against the Run Line (-3.3 Units / -9.13% ROI).

  • 19-12 when betting on the Moneyline for -4.6 Units / -7.73% ROI
  • 18-12 when betting on the total runs Over for +4.8 Units / 14.18% ROI
  • 12-18 when betting on the total runs Under for -7.9 Units / -22.97% ROI

Diamondbacks Against the Spread (ATS) Record

Against the spread this season, the Diamondbacks are 14-16 against the Run Line (-3.5 Units / -9.1% ROI).

  • 13-17 when betting on the Moneyline for -6.75 Units / -17.49% ROI
  • 13-16 when betting on the total runs Over for -4.8 Units / -14.39% ROI
  • 16-13 when betting on the total runs Under for +1.85 Units / 5.67% ROI

Diamondbacks vs Dodgers Home Run Prop Bets Today

Over Under
Max Muncy (LAD) 0.5 +300 0.5 -375
Teoscar Hernandez (LAD) 0.5 +300 0.5 -400
Mookie Betts (LAD) 0.5 +300 0.5 -375
Shohei Ohtani (LAD) 0.5 +320 0.5 -400
Joc Pederson (ARI) 0.5 +375 0.5 -500

Diamondbacks vs Dodgers Total Hits Prop Bets Today

Over Under
Jake McCarthy (ARI) 0.5 -275 0.5 +195
Andy Pages (LAD) 0.5 -250 0.5 +180
Gabriel Moreno (ARI) 0.5 -250 0.5 +175
Ketel Marte (ARI) 0.5 -250 0.5 +190
Max Muncy (LAD) 0.5 -225 0.5 +160

Diamondbacks vs Dodgers RBI Prop Bets Today

Over Under
Teoscar Hernandez (LAD) 0.5 +100 0.5 -135
Will Smith (LAD) 0.5 +105 0.5 -135
Mookie Betts (LAD) 0.5 +115 0.5 -155
Max Muncy (LAD) 0.5 +120 0.5 -160
Shohei Ohtani (LAD) 0.5 +120 0.5 -155

Diamondbacks vs Dodgers Strikeout Prop Bets Today

Over Under

Yoshinobu Yamamoto has thrown his curveball 28% of the time (27/95) when he’s behind in the count this season — 4th highest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 11 total CB; League Avg: 9% — 95th Percentile.

Opponents have a line drive rate of 39% (28/72) against Yoshinobu Yamamoto this season — highest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 11 total IP; League Avg: 24% — 0 Percentile.

6 of Yoshinobu Yamamoto’s breaking pitch strikeouts are backdoor on breaking pitches this season — tied for most in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 11 total IP; League Avg: nan — 100th Percentile.

Yoshinobu Yamamoto has a strikeout rate of 44% (8 SO in 18 PAs) when going through the lineup the first time in a game over the last 14 days — tied for 2nd best among NL Starters over the last two weeks; League Avg: 23% — 98th Percentile.

Diamondbacks Starting Pitcher Stats & Trends

Jordan Montgomery has walked 1 of 50 batters (2%) this season — best in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 11 total IP; League Avg: 8% — 100th Percentile.

Jordan Montgomery has a strikeout rate of just 17% (53 SO in 305 PAs) when going through the lineup the second time in a game since last season — 4th lowest among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: 24% — 11th Percentile.

Jordan Montgomery has walked 29 of 594 batters (5%) when going through the lineup the first time in a game since the 2022 season — 4th best among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: 7% — 89th Percentile.

Opponents have a Hard-Hit Rate of just 36% (48/135) against Jordan Montgomery on fastballs away since last season — 2nd best in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 76 total IP; League Avg: 52% — 99th Percentile.

Dodgers Keys to the Game vs. the Diamondbacks

The Dodgers are 45-16 (.738) after a road loss since the 2022 season — best in MLB; League Avg: .461.

The Dodgers are 206-34 (.858) when allowing 4 or fewer runs since the 2022 season — best in MLB; League Avg: .719.

The Dodgers are 111-66 (.627) on the road since the 2022 season — best in MLB; League Avg: .476.

The Dodgers are 53-21 (.716) after a loss since the 2023 season — best in MLB; League Avg: .493.

Diamondbacks Keys to the Game vs. the Dodgers

The Diamondbacks are just 145-15 (.906) when leading entering the 9th inning since the 2022 season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .950.

The Diamondbacks are just 128-23 (.848) when leading entering the 8th inning since the 2022 season — 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .905.

The Diamondbacks are just 71-11 (.866) when leading entering the 8th inning since the 2023 season — 5th lowest in MLB; League Avg: .897.

The Diamondbacks are just 82-9 (.901) when leading entering the 9th inning since the 2023 season — 4th lowest in MLB; League Avg: .947.

Dodgers hitters have an OPS of .801 (5,326 PA’s) against RHP since last season — 2nd best in MLB; League Avg: .726.

Dodgers hitters have an OPS of .793 (9,835 PA’s) against RHP since the 2022 season — 2nd best in MLB; League Avg: .716.

Dodgers hitters are slugging .452 against RHP since the 2022 season — 2nd best in MLB; League Avg: .402.

Dodgers hitters are slugging .459 against RHP this season — best in MLB; League Avg: .386.

Diamondbacks hitters have an OPS of .860 (429 PA’s) against LHP this season — best in MLB; League Avg: .703.

Diamondbacks hitters are slugging .486 against LHP this season — best in MLB; League Avg: .385.

Diamondbacks hitters have an OBP of .397 (136 PA’s) when facing the starting pitcher for the 3rd time in a game this season — best in MLB; League Avg: .330.

The Diamondbacks are batting .314 against LHP this season — best in MLB; League Avg: .245.

The Dodgers pitchers allowed their opponents to score first in just 38% of their games in the 2023 season — 3rd lowest in MLB; League Avg: 50%.

The Dodgers have won 45% of games in which their opponents scored first since the 2022 season — highest in MLB; League Avg: 32%.

Dodgers pitchers have picked-off 5 runners from first base this season — best in MLB.

The Dodgers pitchers have allowed the 30th hardest ball in play hit (121.2 MPH) in the 2023 season (; League Avg: 117.2).

Diamondbacks pitchers have a strikeout rate of just 16% in close and late situations this season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: 25%.

Diamondbacks pitchers have a strikeout rate of just 21% this season — 4th lowest in MLB; League Avg: 22%.

Diamondbacks pitchers have a strikeout rate of just 20% in close and late situations since the 2022 season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: 25%.

Opponents have a groundball rate of just 41% against Diamondbacks pitchers since the 2022 season — 5th lowest in MLB; League Avg: 43%.

Diamondbacks vs. Dodgers Injuries Tonight That May Affect Prop Bets 

  • Jordan Lawlar (Arizona Diamondbacks): Thumb, 60-Day IL
  • Alek Thomas (Arizona Diamondbacks): Hamstring, Day-To-Day
  • Eduardo Rodriguez (Arizona Diamondbacks): Shoulder, 15-Day IL
  • Paul Sewald (Arizona Diamondbacks): Oblique, 15-Day IL
  • Jose Castillo (Arizona Diamondbacks): Hand, 7-Day IL
  • Drey Jameson (Arizona Diamondbacks): Elbow, 60-Day IL
  • Brusdar Graterol (Los Angeles Dodgers): Shoulder, 15-Day IL
  • Tony Gonsolin (Los Angeles Dodgers): Elbow, 60-Day IL
  • Diego Cartaya (Los Angeles Dodgers): Back, Day-To-Day
  • Blake Treinen (Los Angeles Dodgers): Chest, 15-Day IL
  • David Peralta (Los Angeles Dodgers): Elbow, Out
  • Emmet Sheehan (Los Angeles Dodgers): Forearm, 60-Day IL
  • Julio Urias (Los Angeles Dodgers): Personal, Out
  • Clayton Kershaw (Los Angeles Dodgers): Shoulder, 60-Day IL
  • Nick Frasso (Los Angeles Dodgers): Shoulder, Out
  • Dustin May (Los Angeles Dodgers): Elbow, 60-Day IL
  • Walker Buehler (Los Angeles Dodgers): Elbow, 15-Day IL

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Our BetMGM betting authors are experts who focus on individual game matchups & player prop bets with an emphasis on betting odds, lines & predictions.

Our BetMGM betting authors are experts who focus on individual game matchups & player prop bets with an emphasis on betting odds, lines & predictions.