- The – are favorites vs the –
- Blue Jays starting pitcher: Alek Manoah
- Rays starting pitcher: Zachary Eflin
- Watch the game on MLB Network
The Toronto Blue Jays () visit Tropicana Field to take on the Tampa Bay Rays () on Thursday, May 25, 2023. First pitch is scheduled for 1:10pm EDT in St. Petersburg.
The – are the betting favorite in this game, with the run line sitting at ().
The Blue Jays vs Rays Over/Under is total runs for the game.
This season, the Blue Jays are 26-24 against the spread (ATS), while the Rays are 30-21 ATS.
Blue Jays vs. Rays Odds, Run Line, Over/Under & Moneyline
| Spread | Over / Under | Moneyline | |
| Blue Jays | O | ||
| Rays | U |
Blue Jays vs Rays Prediction for Today’s Game
Based on recent trends the model predicts the Rays will win Thursday‘s MLB matchup with 64.2% confidence.
This prediction factors in starting pitchers, recent team and player hitting performances, the last 5 games for both the Blue Jays and Rays and up-to-date player injuries.
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We’ve highlighted some favorite MLB player prop bets for Blue Jays players for Thursday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:
Best Blue Jays Player Prop Bets Today:
- Vladimir Guerrero Jr has hit the Total Bases Over in 16 of his last 21 away games (+12.20 Units / 54% ROI)
- Matt Chapman has hit the Hits Over in 34 of his last 47 games (+11.15 Units / 12% ROI)
- Whit Merrifield has hit the Runs Over in 11 of his last 17 games (+10.20 Units / 60% ROI)
- Matt Chapman has hit the RBIs Under in 14 of his last 16 away games (+9.45 Units / 28% ROI)
- Whit Merrifield has hit the Total Bases Over in 11 of his last 15 away games (+8.85 Units / 44% ROI)
And here are some favorite MLB player prop bets for Rays players for Thursday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:
Best Rays Player Prop Best Bets Today:
- Wander Franco has hit the Hits Under in 9 of his last 11 games (+9.75 Units / 50% ROI)
- Isaac Paredes has hit the RBIs Over in 6 of his last 8 games (+8.60 Units / 108% ROI)
- Brandon Lowe has hit the Total Bases Under in 11 of his last 13 games (+8.35 Units / 40% ROI)
- Taylor Walls has hit the Hits Runs and RBIs Over in 19 of his last 32 games (+7.90 Units / 23% ROI)
- Josh Lowe has hit the Runs Over in 11 of his last 19 games (+7.85 Units / 41% ROI)
Rays vs Blue Jays Home Run Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Francisco Mejia | 0.5 +625 | 0.5 -2000 |
| Kevin Kiermaier | 0.5 +725 | 0.5 -2500 |
| Daulton Varsho | 0.5 +400 | 0.5 -750 |
| Brandon Belt | 0.5 +425 | 0.5 -800 |
| Brandon Lowe | 0.5 +325 | 0.5 -550 |
Rays vs Blue Jays Total Hits Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Francisco Mejia | 0.5 -150 | 0.5 +110 |
| Kevin Kiermaier | 0.5 -185 | 0.5 +135 |
| Daulton Varsho | 0.5 -210 | 0.5 +160 |
| Brandon Belt | 0.5 -145 | 0.5 +110 |
| Brandon Lowe | 0.5 -190 | 0.5 +145 |
Rays vs Blue Jays RBI Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Francisco Mejia | 0.5 +210 | 0.5 -275 |
| Kevin Kiermaier | 0.5 +220 | 0.5 -300 |
| Daulton Varsho | 0.5 +185 | 0.5 -250 |
| Brandon Belt | 0.5 +190 | 0.5 -250 |
| Brandon Lowe | 0.5 +125 | 0.5 -165 |
Rays vs Blue Jays Strikeout Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Alek Manoah | 5.5 +130 | 5.5 -175 |
| Zach Eflin | 4.5 -155 | 4.5 +120 |
Blue Jays Best Bets Today:
- The Toronto Blue Jays have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Team Total Under in 12 of their last 15 games (+8.85 Units / 52% ROI)
- The Toronto Blue Jays have hit the Game Total Over in 16 of their last 23 games (+8.80 Units / 35% ROI)
- The Toronto Blue Jays have hit the Team Total Under in 17 of their last 25 games (+7.85 Units / 26% ROI)
- The Toronto Blue Jays have covered the Run Line in 14 of their last 24 away games (+3.25 Units / 10% ROI)
- The Toronto Blue Jays have covered the 1st Five Innings (F5) Run Line in 9 of their last 15 away games (+2.25 Units / 13% ROI)
Rays Best Bets Today:
- The Tampa Bay Rays have hit the Moneyline in 36 of their last 51 games (+16.65 Units / 20% ROI)
- The Tampa Bay Rays have covered the 1st Five Innings (F5) Run Line in 34 of their last 51 games (+15.25 Units / 24% ROI)
- The Tampa Bay Rays have hit the Team Total Over in 33 of their last 51 games (+13.65 Units / 23% ROI)
- The Tampa Bay Rays have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Team Total Over in 19 of their last 27 games at home (+11.95 Units / 41% ROI)
- The Tampa Bay Rays have hit the Game Total Over in 29 of their last 47 games (+11.00 Units / 21% ROI)
Blue Jays Against the Spread (ATS) Record
Against the spread this MLB season, the Blue Jays have gone 24-26 against the Run Line (-3.75 Units / -6% ROI).
- 26-24 when betting on the Moneyline for -6.9 Units / -9.43% ROI
- 25-23 when betting on the total runs Over for +0.15 Units / 0.28% ROI
- 23-25 when betting on the total runs Under for -4.8 Units / -8.6% ROI
Rays Against the Spread (ATS) Record
Against the spread this MLB season, the Rays have gone 30-21 against the Run Line (+10.3 Units / 17.38% ROI).
- 36-15 when betting on the Moneyline for +16.65 Units / 19.52% ROI
- 30-18 when betting on the total runs Over for +9.8 Units / 17.38% ROI
- 18-30 when betting on the total runs Under for -15.2 Units / -27.24% ROI
Blue Jays Starting Pitcher Stats & Trends
Alek Manoah has walked 33 of 237 batters (14%) this season — 3rd highest among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: 8% — third Percentile.
Alek Manoah has a strike rate of just 56% (302/536) vs left-handed batters this season — 2nd lowest among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: 63% — third Percentile.
Alek Manoah has a strike rate of just 51% (133/260) on sliders this season — lowest among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: 63% — first Percentile.
Alek Manoah has allowed a slugging percentage of .756 (34 Total Bases / 45 ABs) on low non-fastballs this season — highest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 18 total IP; League Avg: .312 — first Percentile.
Rays Starting Pitcher Stats & Trends
Zach Eflin has a strikeout rate of 48% (13 SO in 27 PAs) in PAs ending on elevated fastballs this season — best in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 18 total IP; League Avg: 25% — 100th Percentile.
Zach Eflin has allowed three-ball counts to 10% of batters they faced (18/183 PA’s) this season — 2nd lowest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 18 total IP; League Avg: 20% — 99th Percentile.
Zach Eflin has allowed an average Exit Velocity of just 85.0 MPH against his fastballs since last season (188 balls in play) — best in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 83 total IP; League Avg: 90.5
Zach Eflin has walked 1 of 48 batters (2%) over the last 14 days (2 games) — tied for 2nd best in AL over the last two weeks; League Avg: 7% — 98th Percentile.
Blue Jays Keys to the Game vs. the Rays
The Blue Jays are 3-19 (.136) when trailing entering the 9th inning this season — best in MLB; League Avg: .049.
The Blue Jays are 86-7 (.925) when leading entering the 7th inning since last season — 5th best in MLB; League Avg: .876.
The Blue Jays are 101-24 (.808) when allowing 4 or fewer runs since last season — 3rd best in MLB; League Avg: .711.
The Blue Jays are just 21-2 (.913) when leading entering the 9th inning this season — 4th lowest in MLB; League Avg: .951.
Rays Keys to the Game vs. the Blue Jays
The Rays are 8-6 (.571) when allowing 10 or more hits this season — best in MLB; League Avg: .268.
The Rays are 8-10 (.444) when allowing 5 or more runs this season — best in MLB; League Avg: .206.
The Rays are 23-5 (.821) at home this season — best in MLB; League Avg: .536.
The Rays are 5-1 (.833) after a home loss this season — 2nd best in MLB; League Avg: .523.
Blue Jays Hitting Stats & Trends
The Blue Jays are batting .267 on the road since last season — best in MLB; League Avg: .240.
The Blue Jays are batting .261 with two outs since the 2021 season — best in MLB; League Avg: .234.
Blue Jays hitters have an OBP of .331 (6,471 PA’s) against RHP since last season — 3rd best in MLB; League Avg: .312.
The Blue Jays are batting .264 since last season — best in MLB; League Avg: .244.
Rays Hitting Stats & Trends
Rays hitters are slugging .583 against LHP this season — best in MLB; League Avg: .422.
Rays hitters are slugging .509 on the road this season — best in MLB; League Avg: .399.
Rays hitters are slugging .501 this season — best in MLB; League Avg: .408.
Rays hitters have an OPS of .950 (358 PA’s) against LHP this season — best in MLB; League Avg: .747.
Blue Jays Pitching Stats & Trends
Blue Jays pitchers have a strikeout rate of 27% with runners in scoring position this season — best in MLB; League Avg: 22%.
Blue Jays pitchers have a strikeout rate of 45% with two-strikes this season — 4th best in MLB; League Avg: 43%.
Blue Jays pitchers have won only 10% of games in which they have allowed their opponent to score in three different innings at home this season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: 31%.
Blue Jays pitchers have 94 three-pitch strikeouts this season — most in MLB.
Rays Pitching Stats & Trends
Opponents have a groundball rate of 48% against Rays pitchers this season — 2nd highest in MLB; League Avg: 43%.
Rays pitchers have won 78% of games in which they have allowed their opponent to score in three different innings at home this season — highest in MLB; League Avg: 31%.
The Rays pitchers have allowed their opponents to score first in just 29% of their games this season — 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: 50%.
Opponents have a groundball batting average of just .190 against Rays pitchers with runners on base this season — best in MLB; League Avg: .259.
Rays vs. Blue Jays Injuries Tonight That May Affect Prop Bets
- Jeffrey Springs (Rays): Elbow, D60
- Andrew Kittredge (Rays): Elbow, D60
- Drew Rasmussen (Rays): Flexor Strain, D60
- Zack Littell (Rays): Shoulder, D15
- Shawn Armstrong (Rays): Neck, D60
- Shane Baz (Rays): Elbow, D60
- Tyler Glasnow (Rays): Oblique, D15
- Garrett Cleavinger (Rays): Knee, D60
- Hyun Jin Ryu (Blue Jays): Elbow, D60
- Daniel Jansen (Blue Jays): Groin, Day-to-Day
- Zachery Pop (Blue Jays): Hamstring, D15
- Santiago Espinal (Blue Jays): Hamstring, D10
- Chad Green (Blue Jays): Undisclosed, D60
- Mitchell White (Blue Jays): Elbow, D60
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