Bowling Green vs Ball State Prediction, Odds & Best Bets Today – NCAAB, Jan. 30

Ball State head coach Michael Lewis gestures in the first half of an NCAA college basketball game against Illinois State in Indianapolis, Saturday, Dec. 17, 2022.
(AP Photo/Michael Conroy)
  • Ball State (12-6) is a -1.5 point favorite vs Bowling Green (8-10)
  • Total (Over/Under): 149.5 points
  • Bowling Green / Ball State TV channel: ESPN+

The Bowling Green Falcons (8-10) visit Worthen Arena to take on the Ball State Cardinals (12-6) on Jan. 30. Tip off is scheduled for 7:00pm EST in Muncie, IN.

Ball State is the betting favorite in this game, with the spread sitting at -1.5 (+100).

The Bowling Green vs. Ball State Over/Under is 149.5 total points.

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Bowling Green vs. Ball State Odds, Spread, Over/Under

SpreadTotal (O/U)Moneyline
Bowling Green+1.5 -120O 149.5 -110-110
Ball State -1.5 +100U 149.5 -110-110

Bowling Green vs Ball State Prediction for Today:

The winning team model predicts Ball State will win this college basketball game with 51.0% confidence, based on game simulations, player injuries, key player performances and recent matchups.

Bowling Green vs Ball State Spread Prediction:

Based on recent against-the-spread trends, the spread model predicts Ball State will cover the spread with 60.1% confidence for today’s game.


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  • Bowling Green has hit the 1H Game Total Under in 16 of their last 28 games (+3.55 Units / 11% ROI)
  • Bowling Green has hit the Game Total Over in 16 of their last 28 games (+2.80 Units / 9% ROI)
  • Bowling Green has hit the Team Total Under in 6 of their last 10 away games (+1.25 Units / 11% ROI)
  • Ball State has hit the Team Total Over in 13 of their last 16 games at home (+9.55 Units / 52% ROI)
  • Ball State has hit the Game Total Over in 12 of their last 16 games at home (+7.60 Units / 43% ROI)
  • Ball State has hit the 1H Game Total Over in 17 of their last 29 games (+4.40 Units / 13% ROI)
  • Ball State have covered the Spread in 17 of their last 29 games (+3.85 Units / 12% ROI)
  • Ball State has hit the Moneyline in 10 of their last 15 games at home (+2.95 Units / 8% ROI)

Bowling Green Basketball Against the Spread Record (ATS)

Bowling Green has a 8-10 record against the spread this college basketball season (-3 Units / -15.11% ROI).

  • 12-6 when betting on the Moneyline for +5.85 Units / 15.75% ROI
  • 11-7 when betting the Over for +3.3 Units / 16.67% ROI
  • 7-11 when betting the Under for -5.1 Units / -25.76% ROI

Ball State Basketball Against the Spread Record (ATS)

Ball State has a 12-6 record against the spread this college basketball season (+5.4 Units / 27.27% ROI).

  • 9-8 when betting on the Moneyline for -1.25 Units / -4.7% ROI
  • 9-8 when betting the Over for +0.1 Units / 0.5% ROI
  • 8-9 when betting the Under for -1.9 Units / -9.64% ROI

Bowling Green Offensive Stats & Trends:

Bowling Green has a 38% free throw rate (454 free throw attempts/1,207 field goal attempts) this season — tied for 29th highest among Division 1 Teams; League Avg: 33%

Bowling Green is shooting 32% from three (145/460) this season — 3rd lowest among Mid-American Teams; League Avg: 34%

Bowling Green has an assist to turnover ratio of 1.0 (234 assists/ 225 TOs) this season — tied for 4th lowest among Mid-American Teams; League Avg: 1.1

Bowling Green is shooting 45% (1,377/3,066) since the start of the 2022-23 season — 5th lowest among Mid-American Teams; League Avg: 45%

Ball State Offensive Stats & Trends:

Ball State has a 41% free throw rate (1,187 free throw attempts/2,891 field goal attempts) since the start of the 2022-23 season — highest among Mid-American Teams; League Avg: 33%

Ball State has 22.8 free throw attempts per game since the start of the 2022-23 season — best among Mid-American Teams; League Avg: 19.4

Ball State has averaged 1.36 points per shot (1,506 points/1,107 shots) this season — best among Mid-American Teams; League Avg: 1.27

Ball State is shooting 77% from the free throw line (329/428) this season — best among Mid-American Teams; League Avg: 71%

Bowling Green Defensive Stats & Trends:

Bowling Green has averaged 26.0 defensive rebounds per game (521 rebounds/20 games) this season — best among Mid-American Teams; League Avg: 23.7

Bowling Green has averaged 24.8 defensive rebounds per game (1,263 rebounds/51 games) since the start of the 2022-23 season — best among Mid-American Teams; League Avg: 23.6

Bowling Green has allowed an average of 1.17 points per shot (1,434 points/1,227 shots) this season — tied for best among Mid-American Teams ; League Avg: 1.24

Bowling Green has allowed opponents to shoot 46% (1,404/3,084) since the start of the 2022-23 season — tied for 33rd highest among Division 1 Teams; League Avg: 44%

Ball State Defensive Stats & Trends:

Ball State has averaged 24.4 defensive rebounds per game (488 rebounds/20 games) this season — tied for 2nd best among Mid-American Teams; League Avg: 23.7

Ball State has averaged 5.7 steals per game (114 steals/20 games) this season — tied for 3rd lowest among Mid-American Teams; League Avg: 6.2

Ball State has averaged 24.3 defensive rebounds per game (1,263 rebounds/52 games) since the start of the 2022-23 season — 4th best among Mid-American Teams; League Avg: 23.6

Ball State has averaged 5.6 steals per game (290 steals/52 games) since the start of the 2022-23 season — 2nd lowest among Mid-American Teams; League Avg: 6.4


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Our BetMGM betting authors are experts who focus on individual game matchups & player prop bets with an emphasis on betting odds, lines & predictions.

Our BetMGM betting authors are experts who focus on individual game matchups & player prop bets with an emphasis on betting odds, lines & predictions.