- Toledo (9-10) is a -6.5 point favorite vs Bowling Green (8-9)
- Total (Over/Under): 157.5 points
- Bowling Green / Toledo TV channel: ESPN+
The Bowling Green Falcons (8-9) visit Savage Arena to take on the Toledo Rockets (9-10) on Jan. 27. Tip off is scheduled for 2:00pm EST in Toledo, OH.
Toledo is the betting favorite in this game, with the spread sitting at -6.5 (-105).
The Bowling Green vs. Toledo Over/Under is 157.5 total points.
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Bowling Green vs. Toledo Odds, Spread, Over/Under
| Spread | Total (O/U) | Moneyline | |
| Bowling Green | +6.5 -115 | O 157.5 -110 | +220 |
| Toledo | -6.5 -105 | U 157.5 -110 | -275 |
Bowling Green vs Toledo Prediction for Today:
The winning team model predicts Toledo will win this college basketball game with 68.5% confidence, based on game simulations, player injuries, key player performances and recent matchups.
Bowling Green vs Toledo Spread Prediction:
Based on recent against-the-spread trends, the spread model predicts Bowling Green will cover the spread with 55.7% confidence for today’s game.
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Bowling Green Basketball Best Bets Today:
- Bowling Green has hit the 1H Game Total Under in 16 of their last 28 games (+3.55 Units / 11% ROI)
- Bowling Green has hit the Game Total Over in 16 of their last 28 games (+2.80 Units / 9% ROI)
Toledo Basketball Best Bets Today:
- Toledo has hit the Moneyline in 25 of their last 34 games (+11.85 Units / 7% ROI)
- Toledo has hit the Team Total Over in 21 of their last 34 games (+6.00 Units / 15% ROI)
- Toledo has hit the Game Total Over in 20 of their last 34 games (+5.70 Units / 15% ROI)
- Toledo have covered the Spread in 19 of their last 34 games (+2.50 Units / 7% ROI)
- Toledo have covered the 1H Spread in 11 of their last 19 games at home (+1.85 Units / 8% ROI)
Bowling Green Basketball Against the Spread Record (ATS)
Bowling Green has a 8-9 record against the spread this college basketball season (-1.9 Units / -10.13% ROI).
- 12-5 when betting on the Moneyline for +6.85 Units / 18.95% ROI
- 10-7 when betting the Over for +2.3 Units / 12.3% ROI
- 7-10 when betting the Under for -4 Units / -21.39% ROI
Toledo Basketball Against the Spread Record (ATS)
Toledo has a 9-10 record against the spread this college basketball season (-2.05 Units / -9.79% ROI).
- 12-7 when betting on the Moneyline for +0.8 Units / 1.21% ROI
- 10-9 when betting the Over for +0.1 Units / 0.48% ROI
- 9-10 when betting the Under for -2 Units / -9.57% ROI
Bowling Green Offensive Stats & Trends:
Bowling Green is shooting 31% from three (137/437) this season — tied for 29th lowest among Division 1 Teams; League Avg: 34%
Bowling Green has a 39% free throw rate (447 free throw attempts/1,146 field goal attempts) this season — tied for 12th highest among Division 1 Teams; League Avg: 33%
Bowling Green has an eFG% of 50% this season — 4th lowest among Mid-American Teams; League Avg: 52%
Bowling Green is shooting 44% (508/1,146) this season — 4th lowest among Mid-American Teams; League Avg: 45%
Toledo Offensive Stats & Trends:
Toledo has an assist to turnover ratio of 1.4 (752 assists/ 528 TOs) since the start of the 2022-23 season — best among Mid-American Teams; League Avg: 1.1
Toledo is shooting 49% (1,590/3,272) since the start of the 2022-23 season — best among Mid-American Teams; League Avg: 45%
Toledo has averaged 83.0 points per game (4,484 points/54 games) since the start of the 2022-23 season — best among Mid-American Teams; League Avg: 74.7
Toledo has averaged 9.8 turnovers per game (528 turnovers/54 games) since the start of the 2022-23 season — tied for 11th best among Division 1 Teams; League Avg: 12.1
Bowling Green Defensive Stats & Trends:
Bowling Green has averaged 26.5 defensive rebounds per game (503 rebounds/19 games) this season — best among Mid-American Teams; League Avg: 23.7
Bowling Green has averaged 24.9 defensive rebounds per game (1,245 rebounds/50 games) since the start of the 2022-23 season — best among Mid-American Teams; League Avg: 23.6
Bowling Green has averaged 6.3 steals per game (120 steals/19 games) this season — 5th best among Mid-American Teams; League Avg: 6.2
Bowling Green has allowed an average of 1.15 points per shot (1,346 points/1,168 shots) this season — tied for best among Mid-American Teams ; League Avg: 1.24
Toledo Defensive Stats & Trends:
Toledo has averaged 22.1 defensive rebounds per game (420 rebounds/19 games) this season — lowest among Mid-American Teams; League Avg: 23.7
Toledo has averaged 22.7 defensive rebounds per game (1,227 rebounds/54 games) since the start of the 2022-23 season — tied for 29th lowest among Division 1 Teams; League Avg: 24.3
Toledo has averaged 7.2 steals per game (137 steals/19 games) this season — 2nd best among Mid-American Teams; League Avg: 6.2
Toledo has allowed opponents to shoot 49% (549/1,129) this season — 5th highest among Division 1 Teams; League Avg: 43%
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