Bradley vs Missouri State Prediction, Odds & Best Bets Today – NCAAB, Feb. 21

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Missouri State head coach Dana Ford reacts as he watches his team during the first half of an NCAA college basketball game against Loyola Chicago in Chicago, Saturday, Jan. 22, 2022.
(AP Photo/Nam Y. Huh)
BetMGM Betting @BETMGM Feb 21, 2024, 10:22 AM
  • Bradley (13-11) is a -3.5 point favorite vs Missouri State (14-12)
  • Total (Over/Under): 141.5 points
  • Bradley / Missouri State TV channel: ESPN+

The Bradley Braves (13-11) visit Great Southern Bank Arena to take on the Missouri State Bears (14-12) on Feb. 21. Tip off is scheduled for 8:00pm EST in Springfield, MO.

Bradley is the betting favorite in this game, with the spread sitting at -3.5 (-115).

The Bradley vs. Missouri State Over/Under is 141.5 total points.

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Bradley vs. Missouri State Odds, Spread, Over/Under

SpreadTotal (O/U)Moneyline
Bradley-3.5 -115O 141.5 -115-185
Missouri State +3.5 -105U 141.5 -105+150

Bradley vs Missouri State Prediction for Today:

The winning team model predicts Bradley will win this college basketball game with 57.6% confidence, based on game simulations, player injuries, key player performances and recent matchups.

Bradley vs Missouri State Spread Prediction:

Based on recent against-the-spread trends, the spread model predicts Missouri State will cover the spread with 56.5% confidence for today’s game.


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  • Bradley has hit the 1H Game Total Over in 22 of their last 32 games (+10.75 Units / 29% ROI)
  • Bradley has hit the Game Total Over in 20 of their last 32 games (+7.90 Units / 22% ROI)
  • Bradley has hit the Team Total Over in 20 of their last 32 games (+6.15 Units / 17% ROI)
  • Bradley have covered the 1H Spread in 18 of their last 32 games (+4.45 Units / 12% ROI)
  • Bradley has hit the 1H Moneyline in 21 of their last 32 games (+3.35 Units / 5% ROI)
  • Missouri State has hit the Moneyline in 16 of their last 29 games (+9.75 Units / 13% ROI)
  • Missouri State have covered the Spread in 10 of their last 15 games at home (+4.50 Units / 27% ROI)
  • Missouri State has hit the Team Total Over in 18 of their last 30 games (+4.10 Units / 12% ROI)
  • Missouri State has hit the 1H Moneyline in 18 of their last 30 games (+2.40 Units / 4% ROI)
  • Missouri State has hit the 1H Game Total Over in 17 of their last 30 games (+1.90 Units / 5% ROI)

Bradley Basketball Against the Spread Record (ATS)

Bradley has a 13-12 record against the spread this college basketball season (-0.25 Units / -0.87% ROI).

  • 16-10 when betting on the Moneyline for -3.7 Units / -4.4% ROI
  • 16-9 when betting the Over for +6.1 Units / 21.33% ROI
  • 9-16 when betting the Under for -8.6 Units / -30.07% ROI

Missouri State Basketball Against the Spread Record (ATS)

Missouri State has a 13-12 record against the spread this college basketball season (-0.2 Units / -0.7% ROI).

  • 13-12 when betting on the Moneyline for +5.75 Units / 8.94% ROI
  • 13-13 when betting the Over for -1.3 Units / -4.54% ROI
  • 13-13 when betting the Under for -1.25 Units / -4.38% ROI

Bradley Offensive Stats & Trends:

Bradley is shooting 37% from three (208/562) this season — tied for 20th best among Division 1 Teams; League Avg: 34%

Bradley has made 9.0 three-pointers per game this season — tied for 31st best among Division 1 Teams; League Avg: 7.5

Bradley has an eFG% of 54% since the start of the 2022-23 season — tied for 29th best among Division 1 Teams; League Avg: 51%

Bradley has 15.8 free throw attempts per game since the start of the 2022-23 season — tied for 21st lowest among Division 1 Teams; League Avg: 18.6

Missouri State Offensive Stats & Trends:

Missouri State has 602 offensive rebounds since the start of the 2022-23 season — most among Missouri Valley Teams

Missouri State has averaged 68.1 points per game (3,812 points/56 games) since the start of the 2022-23 season — tied for 26th lowest among Division 1 Teams; League Avg: 72.5

Missouri State is shooting 31% from three (174/556) this season — tied for 21st lowest among Division 1 Teams; League Avg: 34%

Missouri State has averaged 11.8 assists per game (658 assists/56 games) since the start of the 2022-23 season — tied for 29th lowest among Division 1 Teams; League Avg: 13.3

Bradley Defensive Stats & Trends:

Bradley has averaged 7.1 steals per game (413 steals/58 games) since the start of the 2022-23 season — 2nd best among Missouri Valley Teams; League Avg: 6.3

Bradley has 413 steals since the start of the 2022-23 season — most among Missouri Valley Teams

Bradley has 176 steals this season — 2nd most among Missouri Valley Teams

Bradley has allowed opponents to shoot 41% (1,289/3,150) since the start of the 2022-23 season — best among Missouri Valley Teams; League Avg: 44%

Missouri State Defensive Stats & Trends:

Missouri State has forced 10.8 turnovers per game (605 turnovers/56 games) since the start of the 2022-23 season — lowest among Missouri Valley Teams; League Avg: 12.1

Missouri State has averaged 29.4 defensive rebounds per game (706 rebounds/24 games) this season — tied for 3rd best among Division 1 Teams; League Avg: 24.7

Missouri State has allowed an average of 1.13 points per shot (1,703 points/1,501 shots) this season — best among Missouri Valley Teams; League Avg: 1.21

Missouri State has averaged 4.5 steals per game (108 steals/24 games) this season — tied for 8th lowest among Division 1 Teams; League Avg: 6.8


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Our BetMGM betting authors are experts who focus on individual game matchups & player prop bets with an emphasis on betting odds, lines & predictions.

Our BetMGM betting authors are experts who focus on individual game matchups & player prop bets with an emphasis on betting odds, lines & predictions.