Milwaukee Bucks vs Detroit Pistons Prediction, Odds, Lines, Team Props – NBA, Jan. 23

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BetMGM Betting @BETMGM Jan 23, 2023, 12:49 PM
  • The Bucks are -11.5 favorites vs. the Pistons
  • Total (Over/Under): 237.5 points
  • Monday, January 23, 2023 at 7:00pm EST
  • Watch the game on BSDET & BSWI

The Milwaukee Bucks visit Little Caesars Arena to take on the Detroit Pistons on Monday. Tipoff is scheduled for 7:00pm EST in Detroit.

The Bucks are betting favorites in this NBA matchup, with the spread sitting at -11.5 (-105).

The Bucks vs Pistons Over/Under is 237.5 total points for the game.

So far this NBA season, the Bucks are 24-20 against the spread, while the Pistons are 20-25 against the spread.


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Bucks vs. Pistons Odds, Over/Under & Moneyline

SpreadOver / UnderMoneyline
Milwaukee Bucks-11.5 -105O 237.5 -110-600
Detroit Pistons +11.5 -115U 237.5 -110+425

Pistons vs Bucks Prediction for Tonight’s Game:

Based on recent trends, the winning team model predicts the Bucks will win Monday‘s game with 72.8% confidence.

Based on recent against-the-spread (ATS) trends, the model predicts the Bucks will cover the spread for Monday‘s game with 51.0% confidence.

These predictions factor in up-to-date player injuries for both the Bucks and Pistons, plus recent team & player performances and defensive & offensive matchups over the last several NBA games.


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  • The Milwaukee Bucks have hit the 1H Game Total Under in 46 of their last 69 games (+20.70 Units / 27% ROI)
  • The Milwaukee Bucks have hit the 2Q Game Total Under in 22 of their last 29 away games (+14.51 Units / 45% ROI)
  • The Milwaukee Bucks have hit the Team Total Under in 21 of their last 27 away games (+14.30 Units / 47% ROI)
  • The Milwaukee Bucks have hit the Game Total Under in 22 of their last 29 away games (+14.30 Units / 45% ROI)
  • The Milwaukee Bucks have covered the 1Q Spread in 54 of their last 91 games (+14.10 Units / 14% ROI)
  • The Detroit Pistons have hit the 3Q Game Total Over in 43 of their last 59 games (+24.69 Units / 36% ROI)
  • The Detroit Pistons have covered the 2Q Spread in 53 of their last 83 games (+19.69 Units / 21% ROI)
  • The Detroit Pistons have hit the 2Q Moneyline in 40 of their last 76 games (+19.64 Units / 25% ROI)
  • The Detroit Pistons have hit the 1H Moneyline in 31 of their last 70 games (+18.10 Units / 25% ROI)
  • The Detroit Pistons have hit the 4Q Game Total Under in 29 of their last 43 games at home (+14.02 Units / 29% ROI)

Against the spread this NBA season, the Bucks have gone 24-20 (+2 Units / 3.95% ROI).

  • 29-17 against the Moneyline (-1.05 Units / -1% ROI)
  • 22-24 against the Over for game total points (-4.4 Units / -8.7% ROI)
  • 24-22 against the Under for game total points (-0.2 Units / -0.4% ROI)

Against the spread this NBA season, the Pistons have gone 20-25 (-7.5 Units / -14.2% ROI).

  • 12-36 against the Moneyline (-7.45 Units / -15.28% ROI)
  • 27-21 against the Over for game total points (+3.9 Units / 7.39% ROI)
  • 21-27 against the Under for game total points (-8.7 Units / -16.48% ROI)
  • The Detroit Pistons have only hit the 3Q Game Total Under in 28 of their last 84 games (-34.85 Units / -37% ROI)
  • The Detroit Pistons have only hit the 4Q Moneyline in 26 of their last 81 games (-25.95 Units / -31% ROI)
  • The Detroit Pistons have only covered the 1Q Spread in 33 of their last 83 games (-22.39 Units / -24% ROI)
  • The Detroit Pistons have only hit the 3Q Moneyline in 14 of their last 51 games (-18.85 Units / -36% ROI)
  • The Detroit Pistons have only hit the 4Q Game Total Over in 14 of their last 43 games at home (-18.23 Units / -37% ROI)
  • The Milwaukee Bucks have only hit the 2Q Moneyline in 36 of their last 91 games (-40.47 Units / -30% ROI)
  • The Milwaukee Bucks have only hit the 1H Game Total Over in 23 of their last 69 games (-27.75 Units / -36% ROI)
  • The Milwaukee Bucks have only covered the 2Q Spread in 32 of their last 84 games (-25.24 Units / -27% ROI)
  • The Milwaukee Bucks have only hit the 2H Moneyline in 34 of their last 74 games (-24.83 Units / -22% ROI)
  • The Milwaukee Bucks have only hit the 2Q Game Total Over in 22 of their last 60 games (-20.99 Units / -31% ROI)

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Milwaukee Bucks: Keys to the Game vs. the Detroit Pistons

The Milwaukee Bucks are 64-15 (.810) when winning the rebounding margin since the start of the 2021-22 season — fifth-best among NBA teams. The Detroit Pistons have averaged 42.8 rebounds per game (5,567 rebounds/130 games) since the start of the 2021-22 season — tied for fifth-lowest among NBA teams.

The Bucks are winless (0-15) when losing the rebounding margin by 10 or more since the start of the 2020-21 season — lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: .181

The Bucks are 41-7 (.854) when scoring 15 or more fastbreak points since the start of the 2021-22 season — best among NBA teams; League Avg: .574

The Bucks are 45-17 (.726) when scoring more second chance points than their opponent since the start of the 2021-22 season — 2nd best among NBA teams; League Avg: .543

Detroit Pistons: Keys to the Game vs. the Milwaukee Bucks

The Detroit Pistons are 11-71 (.134) when losing the rebounding margin since the start of the 2021-22 season — worst among NBA teams. The Milwaukee Bucks have averaged 47.3 rebounds per game (6,049 rebounds/128 games) since the start of the 2021-22 season — second-highest among NBA teams.

The Detroit Pistons are 6-21 (.222) when allowing 15 or more three-pointers since the start of the 2021-22 season — 10th-worst among NBA teams. The Milwaukee Bucks made 14.0 three-pointers per game since the start of the 2021-22 season — fourth-highest among NBA teams.

The Pistons are 23-73 (.240) when scoring fewer second chance points than their opponent since the start of the 2020-21 season — 2nd lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: .457

The Pistons are 24-60 (.286) when allowing 15 or more second chance points since the start of the 2020-21 season — 2nd lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: .457

Injury Report: Pistons vs. BucksMonday‘s Game, Jan. 23

  • Killian Hayes (Pistons): Hayes is questionable for Monday’s (Jan. 23) game against Milwaukee.
  • Marvin Bagley III (Pistons): The Pistons announced that Bagley III underwent surgery and will be re-evaluated in about six weeks.
  • Isaiah Stewart (Pistons): Stewart is out for Monday’s (Jan. 23) game against Milwaukee.
  • Cade Cunningham (Pistons): According the Adrian Wojnarowski of ESPN, Cunningham is expected to have season-ending surgery on his left shin.
  • Khris Middleton (Bucks): Middleton is probable for Monday’s (Jan. 23) game against Detroit.
  • Giannis Antetokounmpo (Bucks): Antetokounmpo is probable for Monday’s (Jan. 23) game against Detroit.
  • Serge Ibaka (Bucks): Ibaka is not expected to rejoin the team when they return to Milwaukee following a four-game road trip, according to Eric Nehm of The Athletic.

Milwaukee Bucks Offensive Stats & Trends

The Bucks have averaged 106.5 points per game (2,449 points/23 games) on the road this season — lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: 112.6

The Bucks are shooting 43% (887/2,053) on the road this season — lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: 47%

The Bucks have averaged 41.0 points in the paint per game (942 points/23 games) on the road this season — 2nd lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: 49.4

The Bucks are shooting 45% (944/2,108) in the first half this season — lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: 48%

Detroit Pistons Offensive Stats & Trends

The Pistons are shooting 44% (5,036/11,478) since the start of the 2021-22 season — lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: 47%

The Pistons are shooting 44% (2,497/5,638) at home since the start of the 2021-22 season — lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: 47%

The Pistons have an eFG% of 51% in the first half since the start of the 2020-21 season — 2nd lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: 54%

The Pistons have a TS% of 48% at home since the start of the 2021-22 season — lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: 51%

Milwaukee Bucks Defensive Stats & Trends

The Bucks have averaged 36.9 defensive rebounds per game (7,389 rebounds/200 games) since the start of the 2020-21 season — best among NBA teams; League Avg: 34.0

The Bucks have averaged 36.4 defensive rebounds per game (4,665 rebounds/128 games) since the start of the 2021-22 season — best among NBA teams; League Avg: 33.7

The Bucks have averaged 36.4 defensive rebounds per game (1,675 rebounds/46 games) this season — best among NBA teams; League Avg: 33.0

The Bucks have averaged 4.5 blocks per game (286 blocks/64 games) at home since the start of the 2021-22 season — tied for 9th lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: 4.8

Detroit Pistons Defensive Stats & Trends

The Pistons have averaged 32.1 defensive rebounds per game (6,493 rebounds/202 games) since the start of the 2020-21 season — 2nd lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: 34.0

The Pistons have averaged 3.6 blocks per game (171 blocks/48 games) this season — 3rd lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: 4.7

The Pistons have averaged 31.8 defensive rebounds per game (4,136 rebounds/130 games) since the start of the 2021-22 season — 2nd lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: 33.7

The Pistons have averaged 4.3 blocks per game (564 blocks/130 games) since the start of the 2021-22 season — tied for 7th lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: 4.7


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