- The Yankees are -130 favorites vs the Brewers
- Yankees vs Brewers Over / Under today: 8.5 Runs
- Yankees / Brewers TV Channel: YES | BSWI | MLBN
The New York Yankees (-125) visit American Family Field to take on the Milwaukee Brewers (+105) on Friday, April 26, 2024. First pitch is scheduled for 8:10pm EDT in Milwaukee, WI.
This season, the Yankees are 17-9 against the spread (ATS), while the Brewers are 12-12 ATS.
Yankees vs Brewers Starting Pitchers Today:
- Yankees starting pitcher: Luis Gil 1-1, 2.75 ERA
- Brewers starting pitcher: Colin Rea 2-0, 2.08 ERA
Yankees vs. Brewers Odds, Run Line, Over/Under & Moneyline
| Spread | Over / Under | Moneyline | |
| Yankees | -1.5 +135 | O 8.5 -115 | -125 |
| Brewers | +1.5 -160 | U 8.5 -105 | +105 |
Yankees vs Brewers Prediction for Today’s Game
Based on recent trends the model predicts the Yankees will win Friday‘s MLB game with 56.0% confidence, factoring in game simulations, recent player performances, starting pitchers and injuries.
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We’ve highlighted some favorite MLB player prop bets for Yankees players for Friday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:
Best Yankees Player Prop Bets Today:
- Oswaldo Cabrera has hit the Home Runs Over in 3 of his last 13 away games (+17.50 Units / 135% ROI)
- Aaron Judge has hit the Runs Under in 19 of his last 25 games (+14.75 Units / 58% ROI)
- Aaron Judge has hit the RBIs Under in 20 of his last 26 games (+11.55 Units / 32% ROI)
- Aaron Judge has hit the Hits Runs and RBIs Under in 18 of his last 25 games (+10.90 Units / 39% ROI)
- Gleyber Torres has hit the Total Bases Under in 19 of his last 25 games (+10.85 Units / 28% ROI)
And here are some favorite MLB player prop bets for Brewers players for Friday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:
Best Brewers Player Prop Best Bets Today:
- William Contreras has hit the RBIs Over in 14 of his last 24 games (+15.25 Units / 64% ROI)
- Jackson Chourio has hit the Home Runs Over in 3 of his last 7 games at home (+13.40 Units / 191% ROI)
- William Contreras has hit the Hits Runs and RBIs Over in 16 of his last 19 games (+12.15 Units / 49% ROI)
- William Contreras has hit the Singles Over in 16 of his last 20 games (+10.65 Units / 42% ROI)
- William Contreras has hit the Hits Over in 15 of his last 20 games (+9.40 Units / 23% ROI)
Yankees Best Bets Today:
- The New York Yankees have hit the Game Total Under in 28 of their last 43 away games (+12.90 Units / 27% ROI)
- The New York Yankees have covered the Run Line in 14 of their last 20 away games (+9.00 Units / 35% ROI)
- The New York Yankees have hit the Moneyline in 14 of their last 20 away games (+8.40 Units / 35% ROI)
- The New York Yankees have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Team Total Under in 5 of their last 7 away games (+2.60 Units / 29% ROI)
Brewers Best Bets Today:
- The Milwaukee Brewers have covered the Run Line in 27 of their last 43 games (+12.00 Units / 21% ROI)
- The Milwaukee Brewers have hit the Moneyline in 58 of their last 96 games (+11.05 Units / 9% ROI)
- The Milwaukee Brewers have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Team Total Over in 27 of their last 42 games (+10.58 Units / 20% ROI)
- The Milwaukee Brewers have covered the 1st Five Innings (F5) Run Line in 29 of their last 46 games (+10.08 Units / 18% ROI)
- The Milwaukee Brewers have hit the Game Total Under in 11 of their last 14 games at home (+7.60 Units / 49% ROI)
Yankees Against the Spread (ATS) Record
Against the spread this season, the Yankees are 12-14 against the Run Line (-1.6 Units / -4.98% ROI).
- 17-9 when betting on the Moneyline for +2.85 Units / 7.38% ROI
- 9-16 when betting on the total runs Over for -8.4 Units / -29.73% ROI
- 16-9 when betting on the total runs Under for +5.95 Units / 20.55% ROI
Brewers Against the Spread (ATS) Record
Against the spread this season, the Brewers are 12-12 against the Run Line (-2.2 Units / -6.46% ROI).
- 16-8 when betting on the Moneyline for +8.8 Units / 32.71% ROI
- 14-10 when betting on the total runs Over for +3.35 Units / 12.88% ROI
- 10-14 when betting on the total runs Under for -5.45 Units / -20.34% ROI
Brewers vs Yankees Home Run Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Aaron Judge (NYY) | 0.5 +225 | 0.5 -275 |
| Giancarlo Stanton (NYY) | 0.5 +310 | 0.5 -400 |
| Juan Soto (NYY) | 0.5 +340 | 0.5 -450 |
| William Contreras (MIL) | 0.5 +375 | 0.5 -550 |
| Rhys Hoskins (MIL) | 0.5 +375 | 0.5 -500 |
Brewers vs Yankees Total Hits Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Juan Soto (NYY) | 0.5 -250 | 0.5 +190 |
| Aaron Judge (NYY) | 0.5 -250 | 0.5 +190 |
| Anthony Rizzo (NYY) | 0.5 -225 | 0.5 +165 |
| Giancarlo Stanton (NYY) | 0.5 -225 | 0.5 +165 |
| Alex Verdugo (NYY) | 0.5 -225 | 0.5 +175 |
Brewers vs Yankees RBI Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Aaron Judge (NYY) | 0.5 +100 | 0.5 -130 |
| Giancarlo Stanton (NYY) | 0.5 +120 | 0.5 -160 |
| Juan Soto (NYY) | 0.5 +145 | 0.5 -190 |
| William Contreras (MIL) | 0.5 +165 | 0.5 -225 |
| Anthony Rizzo (NYY) | 0.5 +165 | 0.5 -225 |
Brewers vs Yankees Strikeout Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
Yankees Starting Pitcher Stats & Trends
Luis Gil has walked 17 of 84 batters (20%) this season — 2nd highest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 9 total IP; League Avg: 8% — first Percentile.
Luis Gil has allowed a slugging percentage of just .023 (1 Total Bases / 44 ABs) with two-strikes this season — best in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 9 total IP; League Avg: .253 — 100th Percentile.
Luis Gil has walked 10 of 53 right-handed batters (19%) this season — 3rd highest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 9 total IP; League Avg: 8% — second Percentile.
Opponents are hitting just .023 (1-for-44) against Luis Gil with two-strikes this season — best in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 9 total IP; League Avg: .166 — 100th Percentile.
Brewers Starting Pitcher Stats & Trends
Colin Rea has not walked any of the 36 batters that he has faced versus the top of the order this season — tied for best in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 9 total IP; League Avg: 9% — 100th Percentile.
Colin Rea has allowed an OPS of just .461 (103 PA’s) when going through the lineup the third time in a game since last season — best in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 74 total IP; League Avg: .769 — 100th Percentile.
Opponents have a Hard-Hit Rate of 52% (93/178) against Colin Rea when going through the lineup the second time in a game since last season — 2nd highest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 74 total IP; League Avg: 40% — first Percentile.
Colin Rea has allowed an OBP of just .243 (103 PA’s) when going through the lineup the third time in a game since last season — 2nd best in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 74 total IP; League Avg: .326 — 99th Percentile.
Yankees Keys to the Game vs. the Brewers
The Yankees are 22-17 (.564) after a win as underdogs since the 2022 season — best in MLB; League Avg: .412.
The Yankees are 113-85 (.571) after a win since the 2022 season — 5th best in MLB; League Avg: .512.
The Yankees are 117-29 (.801) when they’ve hit 2 or more home runs since the 2022 season — 2nd best in MLB; League Avg: .697.
The Yankees are 87-2 (.978) when leading entering the 9th inning since the 2023 season — tied for 4th best in MLB; League Avg: .949.
Brewers Keys to the Game vs. the Yankees
The Brewers are 29-0 (1.000) when they’ve had 5 or more XBH since the 2023 season — best in MLB; League Avg: .793.
The Brewers are 21-11 (.656) vs the top 10 runs allowed teams since the 2023 season — best in MLB; League Avg: .453.
The Brewers are 25-45 (.357) when allowing 5 or more runs since the 2023 season — 2nd best in MLB; League Avg: .213.
The Brewers are 47-37 (.560) vs the top 10 runs allowed teams since the 2022 season — 2nd best in MLB; League Avg: .428.
Yankees Hitting Stats & Trends
The Yankees are batting just .223 against starting pitchers since last season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .252.
Yankees hitters have grounded into 31 double plays in 200 opportunities (15%) this season — 2nd highest in MLB; League Avg: 10%.
The Yankees are batting just .215 with two outs since the 2022 season — 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .236.
Yankees hitters are slugging just .394 when facing the starting pitcher for the 3rd time in a game since last season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .450.
Brewers Hitting Stats & Trends
The Brewers are batting just .234 against LHP since the 2022 season — tied for 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .249.
Brewers hitters have drawn 18 walks in 131 PA’s (14%) against LHP this season — 2nd best in MLB; League Avg: 9%.
Brewers hitters have chased 12% of pitches out of the zone on the first pitch of at-bats since the 2022 season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: 16%.
Brewers hitters are averaging 4.03 pitches per plate appearance since the 2022 season — highest in MLB; League Avg: 3.90.
Yankees Pitching Stats & Trends
Opponents have a groundball batting average of just .214 against Yankees pitchers with runners on base since last season — best in MLB; League Avg: .259.
Yankees pitchers have a strikeout rate of 35% with runners in scoring position over the last 14 days — best in MLB; League Avg: 21%.
Opponents have a groundball batting average of just .217 against Yankees pitchers with runners on base since the 2022 season — best in MLB; League Avg: .254.
Opponents have a groundball batting average of just .199 against Yankees pitchers with the shift since the 2022 season — 2nd best in MLB; League Avg: .231.
Brewers Pitching Stats & Trends
Brewers pitchers have a strikeout rate of 45% with two-strikes since the 2022 season — 5th best in MLB; League Avg: 42%.
Brewers pitchers have an ERA of 3.69 (1656.0 IP) since last season — 2nd best in MLB; League Avg: 4.28.
Opponents have a miss rate of just 24% against Brewers pitchers this season — 5th lowest in MLB; League Avg: 25%.
The Brewers have allowed 3.97 runs per game (739/186) since last season — best in MLB; League Avg: 4.58.
Brewers vs. Yankees Injuries Tonight That May Affect Prop Bets
- J.C. Mejia (Milwaukee Brewers): Suspension, Suspension
- Garrett Mitchell (Milwaukee Brewers): Finger, 10-Day IL
- Christian Arroyo (Milwaukee Brewers): Wrist, 7-Day IL
- Jeferson Quero (Milwaukee Brewers): Shoulder, Day-To-Day
- Easton McGee (Milwaukee Brewers): Elbow, 60-Day IL
- Wade Miley (Milwaukee Brewers): Shoulder, 15-Day IL
- Devin Williams (Milwaukee Brewers): Back, 15-Day IL
- Brandon Woodruff (Milwaukee Brewers): Shoulder, 60-Day IL
- Taylor Clarke (Milwaukee Brewers): Knee, 15-Day IL
- Anthony Volpe (New York Yankees): Illness, Day-To-Day
- Lou Trivino (New York Yankees): Elbow, 60-Day IL
- Scott Effross (New York Yankees): Back, 60-Day IL
- Jasson Dominguez (New York Yankees): Elbow, 60-Day IL
- Gerrit Cole (New York Yankees): Elbow, 60-Day IL
- McKinley Moore (New York Yankees): Knee, 15-Day IL
- Ryan Weber (New York Yankees): Forearm, Out
- DJ LeMahieu (New York Yankees): Foot, 10-Day IL
- Oscar Gonzalez (New York Yankees): Orbital, Out
- Jorbit Vivas (New York Yankees): Orbital, Out
- Tommy Kahnle (New York Yankees): Shoulder, 15-Day IL
- Oswald Peraza (New York Yankees): Shoulder, 10-Day IL
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