Butler vs Villanova Prediction, Odds & Best Bets Today – NCAAB, Feb. 20

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(AP Photo)
BetMGM Betting @BETMGM Feb 20, 2024, 11:13 AM
  • Villanova (14-11) is a -6.5 point favorite vs Butler (12-13)
  • Total (Over/Under): 141.5 points
  • Butler / Villanova TV channel: FS1

The Butler Bulldogs (12-13) visit Finneran Pavilion to take on the Villanova Wildcats (14-11) on Feb. 20. Tip off is scheduled for 6:30pm EST in Villanova, PA.

Villanova is the betting favorite in this game, with the spread sitting at -6.5 (-110).

The Butler vs. Villanova Over/Under is 141.5 total points.

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Butler vs. Villanova Odds, Spread, Over/Under

SpreadTotal (O/U)Moneyline
Butler+6.5 -110O 141.5 -110+230
Villanova -6.5 -110U 141.5 -110-300

Butler vs Villanova Prediction for Today:

The winning team model predicts Villanova will win this college basketball game with 70.9% confidence, based on game simulations, player injuries, key player performances and recent matchups.

Butler vs Villanova Spread Prediction:

Based on recent against-the-spread trends, the spread model predicts Butler will cover the spread with 51.7% confidence for today’s game.


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  • Butler has hit the Moneyline in 15 of their last 28 games (+8.55 Units / 8% ROI)
  • Butler has hit the Team Total Under in 8 of their last 12 away games (+3.40 Units / 24% ROI)
  • Butler have covered the Spread in 7 of their last 12 away games (+1.50 Units / 11% ROI)
  • Butler has hit the 1H Game Total Under in 16 of their last 29 games (+1.50 Units / 5% ROI)
  • Villanova has hit the 1H Game Total Under in 22 of their last 32 games (+10.40 Units / 28% ROI)
  • Villanova have covered the Spread in 11 of their last 18 games at home (+3.25 Units / 16% ROI)
  • Villanova has hit the Game Total Under in 18 of their last 32 games (+2.60 Units / 7% ROI)
  • Villanova has hit the Team Total Under in 10 of their last 18 games at home (+0.90 Units / 4% ROI)

Butler Basketball Against the Spread Record (ATS)

Butler has a 12-13 record against the spread this college basketball season (-2.3 Units / -8.36% ROI).

  • 14-10 when betting on the Moneyline for +10.35 Units / 9.99% ROI
  • 14-11 when betting the Over for +1.8 Units / 6.51% ROI
  • 11-14 when betting the Under for -4.3 Units / -15.69% ROI

Villanova Basketball Against the Spread Record (ATS)

Villanova has a 13-11 record against the spread this college basketball season (+0.85 Units / 3.09% ROI).

  • 13-11 when betting on the Moneyline for -15.65 Units / -10.11% ROI
  • 11-14 when betting the Over for -4.5 Units / -16.3% ROI
  • 14-11 when betting the Under for +1.9 Units / 6.91% ROI

Butler Offensive Stats & Trends:

Butler has a TS% of 50% this season — tied for 45th best among Division 1 Teams; League Avg: 47%

Butler has 15.7 free throw attempts per game since the start of the 2022-23 season — 3rd lowest among Power Conference teams; League Avg: 18.8

Butler is shooting 79% from the free throw line (332/422) this season — tied for 5th best among Power Conference teams; League Avg: 73%

Butler has averaged 10.2 turnovers per game (245 turnovers/24 games) this season — tied for 2nd best among Big East Teams; League Avg: 11.5

Villanova Offensive Stats & Trends:

Villanova is shooting 82% from the free throw line (778/948) since the start of the 2022-23 season — best among Power Conference teams; League Avg: 73%

Villanova is shooting 82% from the free throw line (778/948) since the start of the 2022-23 season — best among Big East Teams; League Avg: 74%

Villanova is shooting 83% from the free throw line (127/153) in the first half this season — best among Big East Teams; League Avg: 74%

Villanova is shooting 82% from the free throw line (778/948) since the start of the 2022-23 season — best among Big East Teams; League Avg: 74%

Butler Defensive Stats & Trends:

Butler has allowed opponents to shoot 31% from three (185/596) in the first half since the start of the 2022-23 season — best among Big East Teams; League Avg: 34%

Butler has allowed opponents to shoot 32% from three (156/494) on the road since the start of the 2022-23 season — best among Big East Teams; League Avg: 35%

Butler has allowed an average of 1.16 points per shot (3,889 points/3,364 shots) since the start of the 2022-23 season — tied for 30th best among Division 1 Teams; League Avg: 1.23

Butler has allowed an average of 1.15 points per shot (1,715 points/1,490 shots) this season — tied for 29th best among Division 1 Teams; League Avg: 1.23

Villanova Defensive Stats & Trends:

Villanova has allowed 63.1 points per game (1,136 points/18 games) this season — tied for 2nd best among Power Conference defenses; League Avg: 76.1

Villanova has allowed 63.8 points per game (1,530 points/24 games) this season — 14th best among Division 1 Teams; League Avg: 71.8

Villanova has allowed 66.1 points per game (3,831 points/58 games) since the start of the 2022-23 season — 35th best among Division 1 Teams; League Avg: 71.1

Villanova has averaged 5.7 steals per game (328 steals/58 games) since the start of the 2022-23 season — 2nd lowest among Big East Teams; League Avg: 6.6


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Our BetMGM betting authors are experts who focus on individual game matchups & player prop bets with an emphasis on betting odds, lines & predictions.

Our BetMGM betting authors are experts who focus on individual game matchups & player prop bets with an emphasis on betting odds, lines & predictions.