- Texas Tech is a -3 point favorite vs. Arizona St
- Arizona State vs. Texas Tech Total(Over/Under): 60.5 points
- TV Channel: FS1
The Arizona State Sun Devils (3-0) visit Jones AT&T Stadium to take on the Texas Tech Red Raiders (2-1) on Sep. 21 in Lubbock, TX. Kickoff is scheduled for 3:30pm EDT.
Texas Tech is a betting favorite in Week 4, with the spread sitting at -3 (-110).
The Arizona State vs. Texas Tech Over/Under is 60.5 total points.
Bet now on Texas Tech vs Arizona St & all NCAAF games with BetMGM
Arizona State vs. Texas Tech Odds, Spread, Over/Under:
| Spread | Total (O/U) | Moneyline | |
| Arizona State | +3 -110 | 60.5 -110 | +130 |
| Texas Tech | -3 -110 | 60.5 -110 | -155 |
Arizona State vs Texas Tech Prediction:
The winning team model predicts Texas Tech will win this game with 59.8% confidence, based on game simulations, offensive & defensive matchups and recent game results.
This winning team prediction factors in up-to-date player injuries for both Arizona St and Texas Tech, key player performances this season and recent team trends.
Arizona State vs Texas Tech Spread Prediction:
Based on recent against-the-spread trends, the model predicts Texas Tech will cover the spread with 53.3% confidence.
This prediction against the spread factors in ATS performances for both teams, opening and current betting lines plus public and sharp money already wagered on this matchup.
Bet now on Texas Tech vs Arizona St and all games with BetMGM
Arizona State Best Bets & Trends for ATS, Moneyline & Totals
- Arizona State has hit the 1H Moneyline in 6 of their last 11 games (+11.80 Units / 91% ROI)
- Arizona State have covered the 1Q Spread in 9 of their last 12 games (+6.80 Units / 48% ROI)
- Arizona State has hit the 1Q Game Total Over in 9 of their last 12 games (+5.85 Units / 44% ROI)
- Arizona State have covered the 1H Spread in 9 of their last 12 games (+5.65 Units / 43% ROI)
- Arizona State have covered the Spread in 8 of their last 12 games (+4.70 Units / 36% ROI)
Texas Tech Best Bets & Trends for ATS, Moneyline & Totals
- Texas Tech has hit the 1Q Game Total Over in 5 of their last 6 games at home (+3.90 Units / 57% ROI)
- Texas Tech has hit the Moneyline in 5 of their last 6 games at home (+3.80 Units / 30% ROI)
- Texas Tech has hit the 1H Moneyline in 4 of their last 6 games at home (+2.85 Units / 26% ROI)
- Texas Tech has hit the Game Total Over in 5 of their last 7 games at home (+2.80 Units / 36% ROI)
- Texas Tech has hit the 1H Game Total Over in 5 of their last 7 games at home (+2.65 Units / 32% ROI)
We’ve highlighted some favorite college football player prop bets for Arizona State players, looking at profitable historical betting trends:
Best Arizona State Player Prop Bets Today
- Trenton Bourguet has hit the TD Passes Under in his last 2 games (+2.15 Units / 96% ROI)
- Xavier Guillory has hit the Receiving Yards Under in his last 2 away games (+2.00 Units / 82% ROI)
- Trenton Bourguet has hit the Passing Yards Under in his last 2 games (+2.00 Units / 78% ROI)
- Sam Leavitt has hit the TD Passes Over in his last game (+1.20 Units / 120% ROI)
- Troy Omeire has hit the Receiving Yards Under in his last game (+1.00 Units / 83% ROI)
Top NCAAF player prop bets for Texas Tech players, looking at profitable historical betting trends:
Best Texas Tech Player Prop Best Bets Today
- Behren Morton has hit the Passing Yards Under in 5 of his last 7 games (+2.60 Units / 30% ROI)
- Tahj Brooks has hit the Rushing Yards Under in his last 2 games (+2.00 Units / 83% ROI)
- Behren Morton has hit the TD Passes Over in his last 2 games at home (+2.00 Units / 74% ROI)
- Coy Eakin has hit the Receiving Yards Over in his last game (+1.00 Units / 95% ROI)
Arizona State Against the Spread (ATS) Record
Arizona St is 3-0 against the spread this college football season (+3 Units / 90.91% ROI).
- Arizona State is 3-0 when betting on the Moneyline for +3.25 Units / 55.56% ROI
- Arizona State is 2-1 when betting the Over for +0.9 Units / 27.27% ROI
- Arizona State is 1-2 when betting the Under for -1.2 Units / -36.36% ROI
Texas Tech Against the Spread (ATS) Record
Texas Tech is 1-2 against the spread this college football season (-1.15 Units / -34.85% ROI).
- Texas Tech is 1-1 when betting on the Moneyline for -0.05 Units / -1.01% ROI
- Texas Tech is 2-1 when betting the Over for +0.9 Units / 27.27% ROI
- Texas Tech is 1-2 when betting the Under for -1.2 Units / -36.36% ROI
Arizona State: Keys to the Game vs. Texas Tech
Arizona State is 1-6 (.091) when averaging less than 5 yards per rush since the 2023 season– T-7th-worst among Power Conference Teams; Average: .365
Arizona State is 1-14 (.053) when converting less than 50% of third down conversion opportunities since the 2022 season– 2nd-worst among Power Conference Teams; Average: .364
Arizona State is 2-10 (.167) when allowing more than 3 explosive runs since the 2022 season– 9th-worst among Power Conference Teams; Average: .390
Arizona State is 1-9 (.091) when making less than 5 explosive passes in a game since the 2022 season– T-8th-worst in FBS; Average: .399
Texas Tech: Keys to the Game vs. Arizona State
Texas Tech is 6-2 (.667) when committing less than 60 yards in penalties since the 2023 season– T-17th-best in FBS; Average: .441
Texas Tech is 4-1 (.800) when having a turnover margin within one of the opposing team since the 2023 season– T-17th-best in FBS; Average: .497
Texas Tech is 10-2 (.833) when intercepting at least 1 pass since the 2022 season– T-14th-best among Power Conference Teams; Average: .639
Texas Tech is 10-6 (.588) when committing less than 60 yards in penalties since the 2022 season– 10th-best among Power Conference Teams; Average: .380
Matchup Notes for Arizona State vs. Texas Tech
Texas Tech’s WRs has gained 3,304 yards on 280 receptions (just 11.8 YPR) since the 2023 season — 2nd-worst among Big 12 WRs. Arizona State’s defense has allowed just 11.5 Yards Per Reception since the 2023 season — 5th-best among Big 12 defenses.
Texas Tech has gained 3,984 yards on 373 receptions (just 10.7 YPR) since the 2023 season — T-14th-worst among FBS skill players. Arizona State’s defense has allowed just 11.5 Yards Per Reception since the 2023 season — 5th-best among Big 12 defenses.
Texas Tech has gained 3,984 yards on 373 receptions (just 10.7 YPR) since the 2023 season — worst among Big 12 skill players. Arizona State’s defense has allowed just 11.5 Yards Per Reception since the 2023 season — 5th-best among Big 12 defenses.
Arizona State’s offense has thrown for 20 or more yards on 13.9% of 72 attempts this season — T-29th-best among FBS offenses. Texas Tech’s defense allowed 20+ yards on 13.0% of attempts this season — 21st-best among FBS defenses.
Arizona State’s TEs has 65 receptions in 15 games (4.3 per game) since the 2023 season — 4th-best among Big 12 TEs. Texas Tech’s defense has allowed 20.5 receptions per game since the 2023 season — T-25th-worst among FBS defenses.
Arizona State’s QBs has thrown for 2,947 passing yards in 15 games (just 196.5 YPG) since the 2023 season — 31st-worst among FBS teams. Texas Tech’s defense has allowed 240.1 passing yards per game since the 2023 season — T-34th-worst among FBS defenses.
Arizona State Offensive Stats & Trends
Arizona State Skill Players have averaged a touchdown every 9.0 receptions (18 Rec/2 TDs) in the Red Zone since the 2023 season– worst Receptions Per TD among Big 12 Teams; Average: 2.0
Arizona State WRs have averaged just 2.8 yards per reception (11 yards/4 catches) in the 4th quarter this season– worst among Big 12 Teams; Average: 11.3
Arizona State’s offense has thrown for 20 or more yards on 13.9% of 72 attempts this season — T-29th-best among FBS offenses. Texas Tech’s defense allowed 20+ yards on 13.0% of attempts this season — 21st-best among FBS defenses.
Arizona State Skill Players have averaged a touchdown every 25.8 receptions (284 Rec/11 TDs) since the 2023 season– worst Receptions Per TD among Big 12 Teams; Average: 11.3
Arizona State WRs have averaged a touchdown every 20.2 receptions (323 Rec/16 TDs) since the 2022 season– worst Receptions Per TD among Power Conference Teams; Average: 10.6
Texas Tech Offensive Stats & Trends
Texas Tech’s WRs has gained 3,304 yards on 280 receptions (just 11.8 YPR) since the 2023 season — 2nd-worst among Big 12 WRs. Arizona State’s defense has allowed just 11.5 Yards Per Reception since the 2023 season — 5th-best among Big 12 defenses.
Texas Tech Skill Players have been targeted 18 times in short yardage situations this season– most among Big 12 Teams
Texas Tech has gained 3,984 yards on 373 receptions (just 10.7 YPR) since the 2023 season — T-14th-worst among FBS skill players. Arizona State’s defense has allowed just 11.5 Yards Per Reception since the 2023 season — 5th-best among Big 12 defenses.
Texas Tech has gained 3,984 yards on 373 receptions (just 10.7 YPR) since the 2023 season — worst among Big 12 skill players. Arizona State’s defense has allowed just 11.5 Yards Per Reception since the 2023 season — 5th-best among Big 12 defenses.
Texas Tech’s RBs has averaged just 3.7 yards after the catch since the 2023 season — worst among FBS RBs. Arizona State’s defense has allowed just 6.6 RAC to RBs since the 2023 season — T-32nd-best among FBS defenses.
Arizona State Sun Devils Defensive Stats & Trends
Arizona State allowed 5.6 touchdowns per interception (28 TDs allowed, and 5 INT) in the 2023 season– 2nd-worst among Power Conference Teams; Average: 1.7
Arizona State has allowed 35 TD passes since the 2023 season– most in the Big 12
Arizona State has allowed 4.4 touchdowns per interception (35 TDs allowed, and 8 INT) since the 2023 season– worst in the Big 12; Average: 1.8
Arizona State has allowed 21 TD passes in the Red Zone since the 2023 season– most in the Big 12
Arizona State has allowed 5 TD passes in the Red Zone this season– T-most among Power Conference Teams
Texas Tech Red Raiders Defensive Stats & Trends
Texas Tech has allowed 8 rushing TDs in the Red Zone this season– most in the Big 12
Texas Tech has allowed 9 rushing TDs this season– most in the Big 12
Texas Tech has allowed 15 TDs this season– most among Power Conference Teams
Texas Tech has averaged a sack every 50.0 pass attempts (100 Pass Attempts/2 Sacks) this season– 2nd-worst in the Big 12; Average: 14.9
Texas Tech has allowed passes of 20+ yards on 4 of 17 attempts (23%) on 3rd and long this season– 3rd-best among Power Conference Teams; Average: 8%
Bet now on Texas Tech vs Arizona St and all games with BetMGM
More College Football Betting at BetMGM
BetMGM is the best online sportsbook for college football betting.
Whether you’re a first-time bettor checking out the best sportsbook promos, a casual fan betting on Georgia national championship odds, Tennessee football’s playoff odds, or Ohio State odds, or a longtime diehard breaking down trends for live sports betting, there are entertainment options for everyone.
Visit the sportsbook today to place a college football bet online!
