- The Kentucky is a -2.5 point favorite vs. Auburn
- The Auburn vs. Kentucky Total (Over/Under): 42.5 points
- TV Channel: SECN
The Auburn Tigers (2-5) visit Kroger Field to take on the Kentucky Wildcats (3-4) on Oct. 26 in Lexington, KY. Kickoff is scheduled for 7:45pm EDT.
Kentucky is a betting favorite in Week 9, with the spread sitting at -2.5 (-110).
The Auburn vs. Kentucky Over/Under is 42.5 total points.
Bet now on Kentucky vs Auburn & all NCAAF games with BetMGM
Auburn vs. Kentucky Odds, Spread, Over/Under:
| Spread | Total (O/U) | Moneyline | |
| Auburn | +2.5 -110 | 42.5 -110 | +115 |
| Kentucky | -2.5 -110 | 42.5 -110 | -140 |
Auburn vs Kentucky Prediction:
The winning team model predicts Kentucky will win this game with 57.1% confidence, based on game simulations, offensive & defensive matchups and recent game results.
This winning team prediction factors in up-to-date player injuries for both Auburn and Kentucky, key player performances this season and recent team trends.
Auburn vs Kentucky Spread Prediction:
Based on recent against-the-spread trends, the model predicts Kentucky will cover the spread with 60.2% confidence.
This prediction against the spread factors in ATS performances for both teams, opening and current betting lines plus public and sharp money already wagered on this matchup.
Bet now on Kentucky vs Auburn and all games with BetMGM
Auburn Best Bets & Trends for ATS, Moneyline & Totals
- Auburn has hit the 1H Game Total Under in 9 of their last 13 games (+4.80 Units / 33% ROI)
- Auburn have covered the 1H Spread in 4 of their last 5 away games (+2.95 Units / 54% ROI)
- Auburn has hit the Game Total Under in 4 of their last 5 away games (+2.90 Units / 53% ROI)
- Auburn has hit the 1Q Game Total Over in 7 of their last 11 games (+2.80 Units / 23% ROI)
- Auburn have covered the Spread in 3 of their last 5 away games (+0.85 Units / 16% ROI)
Kentucky Best Bets & Trends for ATS, Moneyline & Totals
- Kentucky has hit the 1Q Game Total Under in 11 of their last 13 games (+8.50 Units / 52% ROI)
- Kentucky has hit the 1H Game Total Under in 8 of their last 13 games (+2.30 Units / 16% ROI)
- Kentucky has hit the 1H Moneyline in 6 of their last 13 games (+1.95 Units / 5% ROI)
- Kentucky has hit the Game Total Under in 7 of their last 13 games (+0.40 Units / 3% ROI)
- Kentucky have covered the Spread in 7 of their last 13 games (+0.40 Units / 3% ROI)
We’ve highlighted some favorite college football player prop bets for Auburn players, looking at profitable historical betting trends:
Best Auburn Player Prop Bets Today
- Jarquez Hunter has hit the Rushing Yards Under in his last game (+1.00 Units / 83% ROI)
- Cam Coleman has hit the Receiving Yards Over in his last game (+1.00 Units / 83% ROI)
Top NCAAF player prop bets for Kentucky players, looking at profitable historical betting trends:
Best Kentucky Player Prop Best Bets Today
- Barion Brown has hit the Receiving Yards Under in his last 2 games at home (+2.00 Units / 83% ROI)
- Brock Vandagriff has hit the Passing Yards Under in his last 2 games (+2.00 Units / 83% ROI)
- Brock Vandagriff has hit the TD Passes Under in his last 2 games (+2.00 Units / 54% ROI)
- Demie Sumo-Karngbaye has hit the Rushing Yards Under in his last game (+1.00 Units / 80% ROI)
- Dane Key has hit the Receiving Yards Under in his last game (+1.00 Units / 83% ROI)
Auburn Against the Spread (ATS) Record
Auburn is 3-4 against the spread this college football season (-1.4 Units / -18.18% ROI).
- Auburn is 1-5 when betting on the Moneyline for -8.7 Units / -25.07% ROI
- Auburn is 3-4 when betting the Over for -1.4 Units / -18.18% ROI
- Auburn is 4-3 when betting the Under for +0.7 Units / 9.09% ROI
Kentucky Against the Spread (ATS) Record
Kentucky is 4-3 against the spread this college football season (+0.7 Units / 9.09% ROI).
- Kentucky is 3-4 when betting on the Moneyline for -3.6 Units / -5.39% ROI
- Kentucky is 2-5 when betting the Over for -3.5 Units / -45.45% ROI
- Kentucky is 5-2 when betting the Under for +2.8 Units / 36.36% ROI
Auburn: Keys to the Game vs. Kentucky
Auburn is 1-8 (.111) when in a one score game since the 2023 season– T-4th-worst in FBS; Average: .505
Auburn is winless (0-10) when allowing 22 or more points since the 2023 season– T-worst among Power Conference Teams; Average: .304
Auburn is 1-8 (.111) when in a one score game since the 2023 season– 2nd-worst among Power Conference Teams; Average: .532
Auburn is 1-9 (.100) when averaging less than 5 yards per rush since the 2023 season– worst among Power Conference Teams; Average: .497
Kentucky: Keys to the Game vs. Auburn
Kentucky is 2-6 (.250) when allowing 5 or more explosive passes since the 2023 season– T-4th-worst among Power Conference Teams; Average: .487
Kentucky is 1-5 (.167) when allowing 120 or more rushing yards since the 2023 season– T-20th-worst in FBS; Average: .383
Kentucky is 3-6 (.333) when in a one score game since the 2023 season– T-23rd-worst in FBS; Average: .505
Kentucky is 9-3 (.750) when making 7 or more explosive plays since the 2023 season– T-31st-best in FBS; Average: .641
Matchup Notes for Auburn vs. Kentucky
Kentucky has averaged 12.8 yards after the catch since the 2023 season — T-25th-best among FBS skill players. Auburn’s defense has allowed 11.9 RAC since the 2023 season — 5th-worst among SEC defenses.
Kentucky has 306 receptions in 20 games (just 15.3 per game) since the 2023 season — worst among SEC skill players. Auburn’s defense has allowed just 17.0 receptions per game since the 2023 season — 2nd-best among SEC defenses.
Kentucky’s WRs has averaged just 13.2 yards after the catch since the 2023 season — T-2nd-worst among SEC WRs. Auburn’s defense has allowed 11.9 RAC since the 2023 season — 5th-worst among SEC defenses.
Auburn’s WRs has 184 receptions in 20 games (just 9.2 per game) since the 2023 season — 14th-worst among FBS WRs. Kentucky’s defense has allowed just 11.2 receptions per game to WRs since the 2023 season — T-24th-best among FBS defenses.
Auburn’s WRs has 184 receptions in 20 games (just 9.2 per game) since the 2023 season — worst among SEC WRs. Kentucky’s defense has allowed just 11.2 receptions per game to WRs since the 2023 season — T-24th-best among FBS defenses.
Auburn’s WRs has gained 1,499 yards on 86 receptions (17.4 YPR) this season — 2nd-best among SEC WRs. Kentucky’s defense has allowed 14.2 Yards Per Reception this season — 9th-worst among FBS defenses.
Auburn Offensive Stats & Trends
Auburn’s WRs has 184 receptions in 20 games (just 9.2 per game) since the 2023 season — 14th-worst among FBS WRs. Kentucky’s defense has allowed just 11.2 receptions per game to WRs since the 2023 season — T-24th-best among FBS defenses.
Auburn’s WRs has 184 receptions in 20 games (just 9.2 per game) since the 2023 season — worst among SEC WRs. Kentucky’s defense has allowed just 11.2 receptions per game to WRs since the 2023 season — T-24th-best among FBS defenses.
Auburn’s WRs has gained 1,499 yards on 86 receptions (17.4 YPR) this season — 2nd-best among SEC WRs. Kentucky’s defense has allowed 14.2 Yards Per Reception this season — 9th-worst among FBS defenses.
Auburn’s WRs has 184 receptions in 20 games (just 9.2 per game) since the 2023 season — 4th-worst among Power 5 WRs. Kentucky’s defense has allowed just 11.2 receptions per game to WRs since the 2023 season — T-24th-best among FBS defenses.
Auburn’s WRs has gained 1,499 yards on 86 receptions (17.4 YPR) this season — 5th-best among FBS WRs. Kentucky’s defense has allowed 16.2 Yards Per Reception to WRs this season — 5th-worst among FBS defenses.
Kentucky Offensive Stats & Trends
Kentucky QBs have 8 completions for 20 or more yards with over 10 yards to go this season– T-3rd-most among FBS Teams
Kentucky has averaged 12.8 yards after the catch since the 2023 season — T-25th-best among FBS skill players. Auburn’s defense has allowed 11.9 RAC since the 2023 season — 5th-worst among SEC defenses.
Kentucky has 306 receptions in 20 games (just 15.3 per game) since the 2023 season — worst among SEC skill players. Auburn’s defense has allowed just 17.0 receptions per game since the 2023 season — 2nd-best among SEC defenses.
Kentucky’s WRs has averaged just 13.2 yards after the catch since the 2023 season — T-2nd-worst among SEC WRs. Auburn’s defense has allowed 11.9 RAC since the 2023 season — 5th-worst among SEC defenses.
Kentucky’s QBs has thrown for 1,175 passing yards in 7 games (just 167.9 YPG) this season — 14th-worst among FBS teams. Auburn’s defense has allowed 221.7 passing yards per game this season — 4th-worst among SEC defenses.
Auburn Tigers Defensive Stats & Trends
Auburn has no interceptions and 5 TD passes allowed in the Red Zone this season– T-worst in the SEC; Average: 3.4
Auburn has tackled opponents for a loss on 3 of 16 rushing attempts (19% TFL%) on 3rd and short this season– T-18th-best in FBS; Average: 10%.
Auburn has no interceptions (21 pass attempts) in the Red Zone this season– T-worst in the SEC; Average: 17.1
Auburn has allowed 5 first down receptions in the Red Zone this season– most in the SEC
Auburn allowed a Completion Pct of just 29% (2 completions/7 attempts) on 3rd and short in the 2023 season– 2nd-best among Power Conference Teams; Average: 62%
Kentucky Wildcats Defensive Stats & Trends
Kentucky has allowed 14.2 yards per completion (1,252 yards/88 completions) this season– worst in the SEC; Average: 11.3
Kentucky has allowed passes of 40+ yards on 7 of 137 attempts (5%) this season– worst in the SEC; Average: 2%
Kentucky has allowed passes of 20+ yards on 25 of 137 attempts (18%) this season– 2nd-best in FBS; Average: 10%
Kentucky’s opponents has attempted just 19.6 passes per game this season– lowest in the SEC; Average: 29.9
Kentucky has allowed passes of 40+ yards on 7 of 137 attempts (5%) this season– 2nd-worst among Power Conference Teams; Average: 2%
Bet now on Kentucky vs Auburn and all games with BetMGM
More College Football Betting at BetMGM
BetMGM is the best online sportsbook for college football betting.
Whether you’re a first-time bettor checking out the best sportsbook promos, a casual fan betting on Georgia football national championship odds, Michigan football odds, or Ohio State playoff odds, or a longtime diehard breaking down trends for live sports betting, there are entertainment options for everyone.
Visit the sportsbook today to place a college football bet online!
