Cincinnati vs Colorado Prediction, Odds & Best Prop Bets โ€“ NCAAF, Week 9

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Colorado cornerback Travis Hunter (12) in the first half of an NCAA college football game Saturday, Sept. 9, 2023, in Boulder, Colo. (AP Photo/David Zalubowski)
(AP Photo/David Zalubowski)
BetMGM Betting @BETMGM Oct 24, 2024, 4:11 PM
  • The Colorado is a -5.5 point favorite vs. Cincinnati
  • The Cincinnati vs. Colorado Total (Over/Under): 57.5 points
  • TV Channel: ESPN

The Cincinnati Bearcats (5-2) visit Folsom Field to take on the Colorado Buffaloes (5-2) on Oct. 26 in Boulder, CO. Kickoff is scheduled for 10:15pm EDT.

Colorado is a betting favorite in Week 9, with the spread sitting at -5.5 (-110).

The Cincinnati vs. Colorado Over/Under is 57.5 total points.

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Cincinnati vs. Colorado Odds, Spread, Over/Under:

SpreadTotal (O/U)Moneyline
Cincinnati+5.5 -11057.5 -110+185
Colorado -5.5 -11057.5 -110-225

Cincinnati vs Colorado Prediction:

The winning team model predicts Colorado will win this game with 62.7% confidence, based on game simulations, offensive & defensive matchups and recent game results.

This winning team prediction factors in up-to-date player injuries for both Cincinnati and Colorado, key player performances this season and recent team trends.

Cincinnati vs Colorado Spread Prediction:

Based on recent against-the-spread trends, the model predicts Colorado will cover the spread with 57.7% confidence.

This prediction against the spread factors in ATS performances for both teams, opening and current betting lines plus public and sharp money already wagered on this matchup.


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  • Cincinnati have covered the 1Q Spread in 9 of their last 11 games (+6.60 Units / 50% ROI)
  • Cincinnati has hit the 1Q Moneyline in 8 of their last 11 games (+6.55 Units / 51% ROI)
  • Cincinnati have covered the 1H Spread in 5 of their last 6 away games (+3.90 Units / 59% ROI)
  • Cincinnati has hit the 1H Moneyline in 6 of their last 11 games (+2.20 Units / 17% ROI)
  • Cincinnati has hit the 1H Game Total Under in 4 of their last 6 away games (+1.75 Units / 26% ROI)
  • Colorado have covered the Spread in 9 of their last 12 games (+5.75 Units / 44% ROI)
  • Colorado has hit the 1Q Moneyline in 5 of their last 10 games (+2.05 Units / 18% ROI)
  • Colorado have covered the 1Q Spread in 3 of their last 4 games at home (+1.95 Units / 41% ROI)
  • Colorado has hit the 1H Game Total Over in 6 of their last 12 games (+1.60 Units / 12% ROI)
  • Colorado has hit the Game Total Under in 7 of their last 12 games (+1.50 Units / 11% ROI)

We’ve highlighted some favorite college football player prop bets for Cincinnati players, looking at profitable historical betting trends:

Best Cincinnati Player Prop Bets Today

  • Xzavier Henderson has hit the Receiving Yards Under in his last 2 games (+2.00 Units / 80% ROI)
  • Corey Kiner has hit the Rushing Yards Over in his last game (+1.00 Units / 83% ROI)

Top NCAAF player prop bets for Colorado players, looking at profitable historical betting trends:

Best Colorado Player Prop Best Bets Today

  • Travis Hunter has hit the Receiving Yards Under in his last 2 games (+2.00 Units / 83% ROI)
  • Jimmy Horn Jr. has hit the Receiving Yards Over in his last game at home (+1.00 Units / 91% ROI)
  • Charlie Offerdahl has hit the Rushing Yards Under in his last game (+1.00 Units / 77% ROI)
  • Shedeur Sanders has hit the TD Passes Over in his last game at home (+1.00 Units / 83% ROI)
  • Shedeur Sanders has hit the Passing Yards Under in his last game (+1.00 Units / 83% ROI)

Cincinnati Against the Spread (ATS) Record

Cincinnati is 4-2 against the spread this college football season (+1.8 Units / 23.53% ROI).

  • Cincinnati is 4-2 when betting on the Moneyline for +1.85 Units / 21.39% ROI
  • Cincinnati is 2-5 when betting the Over for -3.5 Units / -45.45% ROI
  • Cincinnati is 5-2 when betting the Under for +2.8 Units / 36.36% ROI

Colorado Against the Spread (ATS) Record

Colorado is 5-2 against the spread this college football season (+2.85 Units / 37.5% ROI).

  • Colorado is 5-2 when betting on the Moneyline for +5.65 Units / 48.29% ROI
  • Colorado is 3-4 when betting the Over for -1.4 Units / -18.18% ROI
  • Colorado is 4-3 when betting the Under for +0.7 Units / 9.09% ROI

Cincinnati: Keys to the Game vs. Colorado

Cincinnati is 2-6 (.250) when not forcing a fumble since the 2023 season– T-5th-worst among Power Conference Teams; Average: .527

Cincinnati is 1-9 (.100) when allowing 22 or more points since the 2023 season– T-25th-worst in FBS; Average: .284

Cincinnati is 4-9 (.308) when allowing 200 or more passing yards since the 2023 season– T-31st-worst in FBS; Average: .474

Cincinnati is 4-9 (.308) when allowing 200 or more passing yards since the 2023 season– T-9th-worst among Power Conference Teams; Average: .513

Colorado: Keys to the Game vs. Cincinnati

Colorado is 3-7 (.300) when not forcing a fumble since the 2023 season– T-10th-worst among Power Conference Teams; Average: .527

Colorado is 4-1 (.800) when allowing less than 3 sacks since the 2023 season– T-28th-best in FBS; Average: .644

Colorado is 2-5 (.286) when the opposing team commits less than 60 yards in penalties since the 2023 season– T-18th-worst in FBS; Average: .541

Colorado is 2-5 (.286) when the opposing team commits less than 60 yards in penalties since the 2023 season– T-5th-worst among Power Conference Teams; Average: .594

Matchup Notes for Cincinnati vs. Colorado

Colorado’s WRs has averaged just 12.2 yards after the catch since the 2023 season — 34th-worst among FBS WRs. Cincinnati’s defense has allowed 13.9 RAC since the 2023 season — 2nd-worst among P5 defenses.

Colorado’s WRs has averaged just 12.2 yards after the catch since the 2023 season — 34th-worst among FBS WRs. Cincinnati’s defense has allowed 13.9 RAC since the 2023 season — 3rd-worst among FBS defenses.

Colorado’s WRs has 352 receptions in 19 games (18.5 per game) since the 2023 season — 4th-best among Power 5 WRs. Cincinnati’s defense has allowed just 10.7 receptions per game to WRs since the 2023 season — T-16th-best among FBS defenses.

Cincinnati’s TEs has 72 receptions in 19 games (3.8 per game) since the 2023 season — T-4th-best among Big 12 TEs. Colorado’s defense has allowed 20.9 receptions per game since the 2023 season — T-15th-worst among FBS defenses.

Cincinnati’s TEs has 72 receptions in 19 games (3.8 per game) since the 2023 season — T-4th-best among Big 12 TEs. Colorado’s defense has allowed 20.9 receptions per game since the 2023 season — 3rd-worst among Big 12 defenses.

Cincinnati’s RBs has averaged 11.6 yards after the catch this season — 16th-best among FBS RBs. Colorado’s defense has allowed 12.0 RAC to RBs this season — 10th-worst among FBS defenses.

Cincinnati Offensive Stats & Trends

Cincinnati RBs have averaged 9.0 yards from scrimmage per touch (487 yards / 54 touches) in the 4th quarter this season– 3rd-best among FBS Teams; Average: 5.6

Cincinnati RBs have averaged 11.0 yards from scrimmage per touch (143 yards / 13 touches) on 3rd and short this season– T-3rd-best among FBS Teams; Average: 4.5

Cincinnati RBs have averaged 10.2 yards from scrimmage per touch (255 yards / 25 touches) on 3rd down this season– best among FBS Teams; Average: 5.8

Cincinnati’s TEs has 72 receptions in 19 games (3.8 per game) since the 2023 season — T-4th-best among Big 12 TEs. Colorado’s defense has allowed 20.9 receptions per game since the 2023 season — T-15th-worst among FBS defenses.

Cincinnati WRs have averaged just 9.4 yards per reception (187 yards/20 catches) in the 4th quarter this season– 2nd-worst among Big 12 Teams; Average: 13.0

Colorado Offensive Stats & Trends

Colorado’s WRs has averaged just 12.2 yards after the catch since the 2023 season — 34th-worst among FBS WRs. Cincinnati’s defense has allowed 13.9 RAC since the 2023 season — 2nd-worst among P5 defenses.

Colorado’s WRs has averaged just 12.2 yards after the catch since the 2023 season — 34th-worst among FBS WRs. Cincinnati’s defense has allowed 13.9 RAC since the 2023 season — 3rd-worst among FBS defenses.

Colorado’s WRs has 352 receptions in 19 games (18.5 per game) since the 2023 season — 4th-best among Power 5 WRs. Cincinnati’s defense has allowed just 10.7 receptions per game to WRs since the 2023 season — T-16th-best among FBS defenses.

Colorado has 467 receptions in 19 games (24.6 per game) since the 2023 season — 12th-best among FBS skill players. Cincinnati’s defense has allowed just 16.3 receptions per game since the 2023 season — best among Big 12 defenses.

Colorado’s WRs has 352 receptions in 19 games (18.5 per game) since the 2023 season — 9th-best among FBS WRs. Cincinnati’s defense has allowed just 10.7 receptions per game to WRs since the 2023 season — T-16th-best among FBS defenses.

Cincinnati Bearcats Defensive Stats & Trends

Cincinnati has no interceptions (78 pass attempts) in the Red Zone since the 2023 season– T-worst in FBS; Average: 37.7

Cincinnati has no interceptions (78 pass attempts) in the Red Zone since the 2023 season– T-worst in the Big 12; Average: 45.1

Cincinnati has no interceptions and 18 TD passes allowed in the Red Zone since the 2023 season– T-worst in the Big 12; Average: 10.7

Cincinnati has allowed a Completion Pct of just 35% (8 completions/23 attempts) in the Red Zone this season– best in the Big 12; Average: 52%

Cincinnati has no interceptions and 18 TD passes allowed in the Red Zone since the 2023 season– T-worst in FBS; Average: 9.8

Colorado Buffaloes Defensive Stats & Trends

Colorado has sacked opposing QBs on 10% of pass attempts (21/201) this season– best in the Big 12; Average: 6%

Colorado has allowed 51.3 receiving yards per game (359/7) to RBs this season– 2nd-worst in FBS; Average: 25.0

Colorado has allowed first downs on 23% of pass attempts on 3rd down this season– best in the Big 12; Average: 34%

Colorado has tackled opponents for a loss on 49 of 271 rushing attempts (18% TFL%) this season– 3rd-best in the Big 12; Average: 16%.

Colorado has tackled opponents for a loss on just 2 of 55 rushing attempts (4% TFL%) on 3rd and short since the 2023 season– 2nd-worst in the Big 12; Average: 10%.


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Our BetMGM betting authors are experts who focus on individual game matchups & player prop bets with an emphasis on betting odds, lines & predictions.

Our BetMGM betting authors are experts who focus on individual game matchups & player prop bets with an emphasis on betting odds, lines & predictions.