Clemson vs SMU Prediction, Odds & Best Prop Bets โ€“ ACC Championship

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SMU quarterback Preston Stone (2) during the first half of an NCAA college football game against SMU, Saturday, Sept. 9, 2023, in Norman, Okla. (AP Photo/Alonzo Adams)
(AP Photo/Alonzo Adams)
BetMGM Betting @BETMGM Dec 03, 2024, 3:47 PM
  • SMU is a -2.5 point favorite vs. Clemson
  • Clemson vs. SMU Total (Over/Under): 56.5 points
  • TV Channel: ABC

The Clemson Tigers (9-3) visit Bank of America Stadium to take on the SMU Mustangs (11-1) on Dec. 7 in Charlotte, NC. Kickoff is scheduled for 8:00pm EST.

SMU is a betting favorite in Week 15, with the spread sitting at -2.5 (-110).

The Clemson vs. SMU Over/Under is 56.5 total points.

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Clemson vs. SMU Odds, Spread, Over/Under:

SpreadTotal (O/U)Moneyline
Clemson+2.5 -11056.5 -105+115
SMU -2.5 -11056.5 -115-135

Clemson vs SMU Prediction:

The winning team model predicts SMU will win this game with 56.8% confidence, based on game simulations, offensive & defensive matchups and recent game results.

This winning team prediction factors in up-to-date player injuries for both Clemson and SMU, key player performances this season and recent team trends.

Clemson vs SMU Spread Prediction:

Based on recent against-the-spread trends, the model predicts SMU will cover the spread with 58.7% confidence.

This prediction against the spread factors in ATS performances for both teams, opening and current betting lines plus public and sharp money already wagered on this matchup.


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  • Clemson has hit the Moneyline in 5 of their last 6 away games (+4.00 Units / 13% ROI)
  • Clemson has hit the Game Total Under in 4 of their last 6 away games (+2.90 Units / 44% ROI)
  • Clemson has hit the 1Q Game Total Under in 7 of their last 11 games (+2.10 Units / 17% ROI)
  • Clemson have covered the 1H Spread in 4 of their last 6 away games (+1.80 Units / 27% ROI)
  • Clemson has hit the 1H Game Total Under in 7 of their last 12 games (+1.55 Units / 12% ROI)
  • SMU has hit the 1H Moneyline in their last 6 games at home (+6.00 Units / 28% ROI)
  • SMU has hit the Moneyline in their last 5 games at home (+5.00 Units / 24% ROI)
  • SMU have covered the 1Q Spread in 4 of their last 5 games at home (+3.15 Units / 57% ROI)
  • SMU has hit the Game Total Over in 4 of their last 5 games at home (+2.90 Units / 53% ROI)
  • SMU have covered the Spread in 4 of their last 5 games at home (+2.90 Units / 53% ROI)

We’ve highlighted some favorite college football player prop bets for Clemson players, looking at profitable historical betting trends:

Best Clemson Player Prop Bets Today

  • Antonio Williams has hit the Receiving Yards Over in his last 2 away games (+2.00 Units / 83% ROI)
  • Phil Mafah has hit the Rushing Yards Over in his last 2 games (+2.00 Units / 83% ROI)
  • Jake Briningstool has hit the Receiving Yards Over in his last 2 away games (+2.00 Units / 83% ROI)
  • Cade Klubnik has hit the Rushing Yards Under in his last game (+1.00 Units / 83% ROI)
  • Tyler Brown has hit the Receiving Yards Under in his last game (+1.00 Units / 80% ROI)

Top NCAAF player prop bets for SMU players, looking at profitable historical betting trends:

Best SMU Player Prop Best Bets Today

  • Preston Stone has hit the TD Passes Under in his last 2 games (+2.25 Units / 71% ROI)
  • Jake Bailey has hit the Receiving Yards Under in his last 2 games (+2.00 Units / 83% ROI)
  • Key’Shawn Smith has hit the Receiving Yards Over in his last game (+1.00 Units / 83% ROI)
  • Kevin Jennings has hit the Rushing Yards Over in his last game (+1.00 Units / 83% ROI)
  • Romello Brinson has hit the Receiving Yards Under in his last game (+1.00 Units / 80% ROI)

Clemson Against the Spread (ATS) Record

Clemson is 5-7 against the spread this college football season (-2.7 Units / -20.53% ROI).

  • Clemson is 8-3 when betting on the Moneyline for +1.7 Units / 1.93% ROI
  • Clemson is 4-7 when betting the Over for -3.7 Units / -28.03% ROI
  • Clemson is 7-4 when betting the Under for +2.6 Units / 19.7% ROI

SMU Against the Spread (ATS) Record

SMU is 8-4 against the spread this college football season (+3.6 Units / 27.38% ROI).

  • SMU is 10-1 when betting on the Moneyline for +6.1 Units / 7.46% ROI
  • SMU is 7-5 when betting the Over for +1.5 Units / 11.36% ROI
  • SMU is 5-7 when betting the Under for -2.7 Units / -20.45% ROI

Clemson: Keys to the Game vs. SMU

Clemson is undefeated (6-0) when allowing less than 5 yards per rush this season– T-best among Power Conference Teams; Average: .654

Clemson is 5-2 (.714) when sacking the QB less than 3 times this season– 14th-best among Power Conference Teams; Average: .478

Clemson is 16-5 (.762) when allowing less than 50% of third down conversion opportunities since the 2023 season– 25th-best in FBS; Average: .605

Clemson is 14-3 (.824) when allowing less than 5 explosive passes since the 2023 season– 18th-best in FBS; Average: .611

SMU: Keys to the Game vs. Clemson

SMU is 8-1 (.889) when in a one score game since the 2023 season– best in FBS; Average: .503

SMU is 8-1 (.889) when in a one score game since the 2023 season– best among Power Conference Teams; Average: .522

SMU is undefeated (11-0) when converting 55% or more of its red zone chances into touchdowns this season– T-best in FBS; Average: .627

SMU is undefeated (11-0) when converting 55% or more of its red zone chances into touchdowns this season– T-best among Power Conference Teams; Average: .667

Matchup Notes for Clemson vs. SMU

SMU’s offense has thrown for 3,167 passing yards in 12 games (263.9 YPG) this season — T-31st-best among FBS offenses. Clemson’s defense has allowed just 206.9 passing yards per game this season — 3rd-best among ACC defenses.

SMU’s QBs has thrown for 3,167 passing yards in 12 games (263.9 YPG) this season — T-30th-best among FBS teams. Clemson’s defense has allowed just 206.9 passing yards per game this season — 3rd-best among ACC defenses.

SMU have 263.9 receiving yards per game this season — T-30th-best among FBS skill players. Clemson’s defense has allowed just 206.9 receiving yards per game this season — 3rd-best among ACC defenses.

Clemson’s TEs has 56 receptions in 12 games (4.7 per game) this season — 4th-best among ACC TEs. SMU’s defense has allowed 3.9 receptions per game to TEs this season — T-22nd-worst among FBS defenses.

Clemson’s TEs has averaged 7.1 targets per game this season — 4th-highest among ACC TEs. SMU’s defense has allowed 3.9 receptions per game to TEs this season — T-22nd-worst among FBS defenses.

Clemson’s TEs has 5 receiving touchdowns in the Red Zone this season — T-3rd-most among ACC TEs. SMU’s defense has allowed 15 receiving touchdowns in the Red Zone this season — 2nd-most among ACC defenses.

Clemson Offensive Stats & Trends

Clemson RBs have averaged 9.3 yards from scrimmage per touch (271 yards / 29 touches) on 3rd and short this season– best among FBS Teams; Average: 4.5

Clemson’s TEs has 56 receptions in 12 games (4.7 per game) this season — 4th-best among ACC TEs. SMU’s defense has allowed 3.9 receptions per game to TEs this season — T-22nd-worst among FBS defenses.

Clemson Skill Players have averaged just 9.3 yards per reception (945 yards/102 catches) in the 4th quarter since the 2023 season– worst among Power Conference Teams; Average: 12.3

Clemson RBs have not rushed for a 0 TD on 41 carries (inf Carries Per TD) in close and late situations this season– T-worst Carries Per TD among FBS Teams; Average: 22.7

Clemson WRs have averaged 16.7 receptions per game (200/12) this season– 14th-best among FBS Teams; Average: 12.3

SMU Offensive Stats & Trends

SMU’s offense has thrown for 3,167 passing yards in 12 games (263.9 YPG) this season — T-31st-best among FBS offenses. Clemson’s defense has allowed just 206.9 passing yards per game this season — 3rd-best among ACC defenses.

SMU WRs have no touchdowns on 26 receptions in close and late situations since the 2023 season– T-worst Receptions Per TD among Power Conference Teams; Average: 11.1

SMU WRs have no touchdowns on 26 receptions in close and late situations since the 2023 season– T-worst Receptions Per TD among FBS Teams; Average: 10.8

SMU’s QBs has thrown for 3,167 passing yards in 12 games (263.9 YPG) this season — T-30th-best among FBS teams. Clemson’s defense has allowed just 206.9 passing yards per game this season — 3rd-best among ACC defenses.

SMU Skill Players have no touchdowns on 15 receptions in close and late situations this season– T-worst Receptions Per TD among Power Conference Teams; Average: 11.4

Clemson Tigers Defensive Stats & Trends

Clemson has allowed a Completion Pct of just 25% (3 completions/12 attempts) on 3rd and short this season– T-2nd-best among Power Conference Teams; Average: 60%

Clemson has allowed 7.8 yards from scrimmage per touch (451 yards / 58 touches) on 3rd and short since the 2023 season– T-2nd-worst in FBS; Average: 5.2

Clemson has allowed a Completion Pct of just 54% (427 completions/792 attempts) since the 2023 season– 2nd-best in FBS; Average: 61%

Clemson has allowed 7.8 yards from scrimmage per touch (451 yards / 58 touches) on 3rd and short since the 2023 season– T-worst among Power Conference Teams; Average: 5.2

Clemson has allowed a Completion Pct of just 54% (427 completions/792 attempts) since the 2023 season– best among Power Conference Teams; Average: 61%

SMU Mustangs Defensive Stats & Trends

SMU has allowed a Completion Pct of 69% (25 completions/36 attempts) in the Red Zone this season– worst among Power Conference Teams; Average: 53%

SMU has averaged 3.2 sacks per game since the 2023 season– T-5th-best in FBS; Average: 2.1

SMU has tackled opponents for a loss on 81 of 411 rushing attempts (20% TFL%) this season– T-21st-best in FBS; Average: 16%.

SMU has tackled opponents for a loss on 11 of 53 rushing attempts (21% TFL%) in the Red Zone this season– T-18th-best in FBS; Average: 15%.

SMU has allowed opponents to catch 25 of 36 passes (69% Reception Pct) in the Red Zone this season– 2nd-worst among Power Conference Teams; Average: 54%


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Our BetMGM betting authors are experts who focus on individual game matchups & player prop bets with an emphasis on betting odds, lines & predictions.

Our BetMGM betting authors are experts who focus on individual game matchups & player prop bets with an emphasis on betting odds, lines & predictions.