E Michigan vs W Michigan Prediction, Odds & Best Prop Bets โ€“ NCAAF, Week 14

Western Michigan's Anthony Sambucci plays during an NCAA football game on Saturday, Sept. 17, 2022, in Kalamazoo, Mich. (AP Photo/Al Goldis)
(AP Photo/Al Goldis)
  • W Michigan is a -7 point favorite vs. E Michigan
  • Eastern Michigan vs. Western Michigan Total (Over/Under): 56.5 points
  • TV Channel: ESPN+

The Eastern Michigan Eagles (5-6) visit Waldo Stadium to take on the Western Michigan Broncos (5-6) on Nov. 30 in Kalamazoo, MI. Kickoff is scheduled for 1:30pm EST.

W Michigan is a betting favorite in Week 14, with the spread sitting at -7 (-110).

The Eastern Michigan vs. Western Michigan Over/Under is 56.5 total points.

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Eastern Michigan vs. Western Michigan Odds, Spread, Over/Under:

SpreadTotal (O/U)Moneyline
Eastern Michigan+7 -11056.5 -110+210
Western Michigan -7 -11056.5 -110-275

Eastern Michigan vs Western Michigan Prediction:

The winning team model predicts Western Michigan will win this game with 69.2% confidence, based on game simulations, offensive & defensive matchups and recent game results.

This winning team prediction factors in up-to-date player injuries for both E Michigan and W Michigan, key player performances this season and recent team trends.

Eastern Michigan vs Western Michigan Spread Prediction:

Based on recent against-the-spread trends, the model predicts Western Michigan will cover the spread with 61.2% confidence.

This prediction against the spread factors in ATS performances for both teams, opening and current betting lines plus public and sharp money already wagered on this matchup.


Bet now on W Michigan vs E Michigan and all games with BetMGM


Eastern Michigan Against the Spread (ATS) Record

E Michigan is 7-4 against the spread this college football season (+2.6 Units / 21.58% ROI).

  • Eastern Michigan is 5-6 when betting on the Moneyline for -1.1 Units / -1.97% ROI
  • Eastern Michigan is 6-5 when betting the Over for +0.5 Units / 4.13% ROI
  • Eastern Michigan is 5-6 when betting the Under for -1.6 Units / -13.22% ROI

Western Michigan Against the Spread (ATS) Record

W Michigan is 4-7 against the spread this college football season (-3.7 Units / -30.71% ROI).

  • Western Michigan is 4-6 when betting on the Moneyline for -3.25 Units / -12.72% ROI
  • Western Michigan is 7-4 when betting the Over for +2.6 Units / 21.49% ROI
  • Western Michigan is 4-7 when betting the Under for -3.7 Units / -30.58% ROI

Eastern Michigan: Keys to the Game vs. Western Michigan

Eastern Michigan is 8-3 (.727) when averaging more than 5 yards on first down plays since the 2023 season– T-31st-best in FBS; Average: .604

Eastern Michigan is 10-11 (.476) when rushing more than 30 times since the 2023 season– T-32nd-worst in FBS; Average: .619

Eastern Michigan is 3-7 (.300) when the opposing team commits less than 60 yards in penalties since the 2023 season– 22nd-worst in FBS; Average: .534

Eastern Michigan is 5-7 (.417) when having a turnover margin within one of the opposing team since the 2023 season– T-37th-worst in FBS; Average: .534

Western Michigan: Keys to the Game vs. Eastern Michigan

Western Michigan is 6-14 (.300) when allowing 10 or more rushes of four or more yards since the 2023 season– T-22nd-worst in FBS; Average: .482

Western Michigan is 3-12 (.200) when making less than 5 explosive passes in a game since the 2023 season– T-12th-worst among Non-Power Conference Teams; Average: .425

Western Michigan is 1-8 (.111) when making less than 3 explosive runs in a game since the 2023 season– T-23rd-worst in FBS; Average: .333

Western Michigan is 2-6 (.250) when converting less than 50% of third down conversion opportunities this season– T-23rd-worst in FBS; Average: .458

Matchup Notes for Eastern Michigan vs. Western Michigan

Western Michigan’s RBs has 43 receptions in 11 games (3.9 per game) this season — T-32nd-best among FBS RBs. Eastern Michigan’s defense has allowed just 16.8 receptions per game this season — T-31st-best among FBS defenses.

Western Michigan’s RBs has just 0.0 receiving touchdowns per game this season — T-worst among FBS RBs. Eastern Michigan’s defense has allowed 1.9 receiving touchdowns per game this season — T-20th-worst among FBS defenses.

Hayden Wolff (WMC) has completed 72.4% of passes (21/29) in the red zone this season — 3rd-best of Qualified Quarterbacks. Eastern Michigan’s defense has allowed a completion rate of 73.9% when defending in the red zone this season — 2nd-worst among FBS defenses.

Eastern Michigan’s RBs has rushed for 1,171 yards on 289 carries (just 4.1 YPC) this season — T-12th-worst among FBS RBs. Western Michigan’s defense have allowed 5.8 YPC to RBs this season — T-14th-worst among FBS defenses.

Eastern Michigan’s RBs has rushed for 1,171 yards on 289 carries (just 4.1 YPC) this season — T-12th-worst among FBS RBs. Western Michigan’s defense have allowed 4.8 YPC this season — T-26th-worst among FBS defenses.

Eastern Michigan Offensive Stats & Trends

Eastern Michigan Skill Players have averaged 19.2 yards per reception (595 yards/31 catches) on 3rd and long this season– 2nd-best among FBS Teams; Average: 12.8

Eastern Michigan WRs have averaged 22.9 yards per reception (526 yards/23 catches) on 3rd and long this season– 3rd-best among FBS Teams; Average: 14.6

Eastern Michigan have completed passes for 20+ yards on just 47 of their 751 total passing attempts (6%) since the 2023 season– 2nd-worst among FBS Offenses; Average: 10%

Eastern Michigan RBs have averaged 22.0 yards per reception (88 yards/4 catches) in close and late situations since the 2023 season– best among FBS Teams; Average: 8.1

Eastern Michigan Kickers averaged 49.8 yards per kickoff (946 yards/19 kickoffs) in the 2023 season– 2nd-worst among FBS Teams; Average: 61.5

Western Michigan Offensive Stats & Trends

Western Michigan TEs have 12 receptions in the Red Zone this season– T-2nd-most among FBS Teams

Western Michigan RBs have no touchdowns on 78 receptions since the 2023 season– T-worst Receptions Per TD among FBS Teams; Average: 21.3

Western Michigan RBs have no touchdowns on 43 receptions this season– T-worst Receptions Per TD among FBS Teams; Average: 20.5

Western Michigan TEs have picked up first downs on 8 receptions in the Red Zone this season– T-most among FBS Teams

Western Michigan RBs have averaged 7.8 yards from scrimmage per touch (1,017 yards / 130 touches) on 2nd down this season– 2nd-best among FBS Teams; Average: 5.5

Eastern Michigan Eagles Defensive Stats & Trends

Eastern Michigan has allowed a Completion Pct of 77% (17 completions/22 attempts) in the Red Zone this season– worst among Non-Power Conference Teams; Average: 54%

Eastern Michigan has allowed 5 TD passes in close and late situations this season– T-most among Non-Power Conference Teams

Eastern Michigan has allowed opponents to catch 17 of 22 passes (77% Reception Pct) in the Red Zone this season– worst in FBS; Average: 55%

Eastern Michigan has allowed passes of 20+ yards on 16 of 107 attempts (15%) on 3rd and long since the 2023 season– T-5th-worst in FBS; Average: 9%

Eastern Michigan has allowed a Completion Pct of 77% (17 completions/22 attempts) in the Red Zone this season– worst in FBS; Average: 54%

Western Michigan Broncos Defensive Stats & Trends

Western Michigan has no interceptions and 21 TD passes allowed in the Red Zone since the 2023 season– T-worst in FBS; Average: 10.0

Western Michigan has allowed opponents to catch 10 of 11 passes (91% Reception Pct) in close and late situations this season– worst among Non-Power Conference Teams; Average: 57%

Western Michigan has no interceptions (86 pass attempts) in the Red Zone since the 2023 season– T-worst in FBS; Average: 38.6

Western Michigan has allowed opponents to catch 10 of 11 passes (91% Reception Pct) in close and late situations this season– worst in FBS; Average: 59%

Western Michigan has allowed 5.1 yards from scrimmage per touch (395 yards / 77 touches) in the Red Zone this season– T-worst among Non-Power Conference Teams; Average: 3.8


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About the Author

Shane Jackson

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Shane Jackson is a Web Content Writer for BetMGM, covering MLB and NBA. After graduating from the University of Kansas, his previous stops include MLB.com, Lawrence Journal-World, Manhattan Mercury, Bet Chicago Sports, WynnBET, and Sportsbook Review.

Shane Jackson is a Web Content Writer for BetMGM, covering MLB and NBA. After graduating from the University of Kansas, his previous stops include MLB.com, Lawrence Journal-World, Manhattan Mercury, Bet Chicago Sports, WynnBET, and Sportsbook Review.