- North Texas is a -3 point favorite vs. East Carolina
- East Carolina vs. North Texas Total (Over/Under): 73.5 points
- TV Channel: ESPN+
The East Carolina Pirates (6-4) visit DATCU Stadium to take on the North Texas Mean Green (5-5) on Nov. 23 in Denton, TX. Kickoff is scheduled for 3:30pm EST.
North Texas is a betting favorite in Week 13, with the spread sitting at -3 (-105).
The East Carolina vs. North Texas Over/Under is 73.5 total points.
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East Carolina vs. North Texas Odds, Spread, Over/Under:
| Spread | Total (O/U) | Moneyline | |
| East Carolina | +3 -115 | 73.5 -115 | +125 |
| North Texas | -3 -105 | 73.5 -105 | -150 |
East Carolina vs North Texas Prediction:
The winning team model predicts North Texas will win this game with 58.6% confidence, based on game simulations, offensive & defensive matchups and recent game results.
This winning team prediction factors in up-to-date player injuries for both East Carolina and North Texas, key player performances this season and recent team trends.
East Carolina vs North Texas Spread Prediction:
Based on recent against-the-spread trends, the model predicts North Texas will cover the spread with 59.3% confidence.
This prediction against the spread factors in ATS performances for both teams, opening and current betting lines plus public and sharp money already wagered on this matchup.
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East Carolina Best Bets & Trends for ATS, Moneyline & Totals
- East Carolina has hit the Game Total Over in 4 of their last 5 away games (+2.90 Units / 52% ROI)
- East Carolina have covered the 1Q Spread in 6 of their last 9 games (+2.65 Units / 24% ROI)
- East Carolina has hit the 1Q Game Total Over in 6 of their last 9 games (+1.95 Units / 17% ROI)
- East Carolina has hit the 1Q Moneyline in 6 of their last 9 games (+1.70 Units / 12% ROI)
- East Carolina has hit the 1H Game Total Under in 3 of their last 5 away games (+0.85 Units / 16% ROI)
North Texas Best Bets & Trends for ATS, Moneyline & Totals
- North Texas has hit the Game Total Over in 9 of their last 11 games (+6.80 Units / 56% ROI)
- North Texas has hit the 1H Game Total Over in 7 of their last 11 games (+3.60 Units / 29% ROI)
- North Texas has hit the Moneyline in 3 of their last 5 games at home (+1.00 Units / 12% ROI)
- North Texas has hit the 1Q Game Total Under in 3 of their last 5 games at home (+0.60 Units / 10% ROI)
We’ve highlighted some favorite college football player prop bets for East Carolina players, looking at profitable historical betting trends:
Best East Carolina Player Prop Bets Today
- Rahjai Harris has hit the Rushing Yards Over in his last game (+1.00 Units / 83% ROI)
- Chase Sowell has hit the Receiving Yards Over in his last game (+1.00 Units / 83% ROI)
East Carolina Against the Spread (ATS) Record
East Carolina is 6-4 against the spread this college football season (+1.65 Units / 15.07% ROI).
- East Carolina is 5-4 when betting on the Moneyline for -1.45 Units / -6.65% ROI
- East Carolina is 6-4 when betting the Over for +1.6 Units / 14.48% ROI
- East Carolina is 4-6 when betting the Under for -2.55 Units / -23.29% ROI
North Texas Against the Spread (ATS) Record
North Texas is 4-6 against the spread this college football season (-2.6 Units / -23.53% ROI).
- North Texas is 4-5 when betting on the Moneyline for -0.25 Units / -1.88% ROI
- North Texas is 8-2 when betting the Over for +5.8 Units / 52.73% ROI
- North Texas is 2-8 when betting the Under for -6.8 Units / -61.82% ROI
East Carolina: Keys to the Game vs. North Texas
East Carolina is 1-8 (.111) when allowing an average of more than 5 yards on first down plays since the 2023 season– 5th-worst in FBS; Average: .448
East Carolina is 4-12 (.250) when allowing 7 or more explosive plays since the 2023 season– T-28th-worst in FBS; Average: .415
East Carolina is 2-9 (.182) when allowing more than 3 explosive runs since the 2023 season– T-14th-worst in FBS; Average: .413
East Carolina is 4-10 (.286) when allowing 5 or more explosive passes since the 2023 season– T-28th-worst in FBS; Average: .443
North Texas: Keys to the Game vs. East Carolina
North Texas is 7-1 (.875) when allowing less than 5 yards per rush since the 2023 season– T-2nd-best among Non-Power Conference Teams; Average: .592
North Texas is 7-1 (.875) when allowing less than 5 yards per rush since the 2023 season– T-7th-best in FBS; Average: .625
North Texas is 5-1 (.833) when allowing less than 5 yards per rush this season– T-27th-best in FBS; Average: .650
North Texas is 1-7 (.125) when averaging less than 5 yards per rush since the 2023 season– T-7th-worst among Non-Power Conference Teams; Average: .371
Matchup Notes for East Carolina vs. North Texas
North Texas’s WRs have 296.2 receiving yards per game this season — best among FBS WRs. East Carolina’s defense has allowed 187.1 receiving yards per game to WRs this season — 22nd-worst among FBS defenses.
North Texas’s RBs has rushed for 1,293 yards on 215 carries (6.0 YPC) this season — T-15th-best among FBS RBs. East Carolina’s defense have allowed just 3.7 YPC this season — T-34th-best among FBS defenses.
North Texas’s RBs has rushed for 1,293 yards on 215 carries (6.0 YPC) this season — T-15th-best among FBS RBs. East Carolina’s defense have allowed just 4.3 YPC to RBs this season — T-29th-best among FBS defenses.
East Carolina has gained 2,768 yards on 203 receptions (13.6 YPR) this season — T-18th-best among FBS skill players. North Texas’s defense has allowed 13.4 Yards Per Reception this season — T-12th-worst among FBS defenses.
East Carolina’s WRs has gained 2,283 yards on 152 receptions (15.0 YPR) this season — T-20th-best among FBS WRs. North Texas’s defense has allowed 13.4 Yards Per Reception this season — T-12th-worst among FBS defenses.
East Carolina’s QBs has thrown for 2,768 passing yards in 10 games (276.8 YPG) this season — 22nd-best among FBS teams. North Texas’s defense has allowed 256.7 passing yards per game this season — 20th-worst among FBS defenses.
East Carolina Offensive Stats & Trends
East Carolina has gained 2,768 yards on 203 receptions (13.6 YPR) this season — T-18th-best among FBS skill players. North Texas’s defense has allowed 13.4 Yards Per Reception this season — T-12th-worst among FBS defenses.
East Carolina’s WRs has gained 2,283 yards on 152 receptions (15.0 YPR) this season — T-20th-best among FBS WRs. North Texas’s defense has allowed 13.4 Yards Per Reception this season — T-12th-worst among FBS defenses.
East Carolina’s QBs has thrown for 2,768 passing yards in 10 games (276.8 YPG) this season — 22nd-best among FBS teams. North Texas’s defense has allowed 256.7 passing yards per game this season — 20th-worst among FBS defenses.
East Carolina’s WRs has gained 2,283 yards on 152 receptions (15.0 YPR) this season — T-20th-best among FBS WRs. North Texas’s defense has allowed 15.1 Yards Per Reception to WRs this season — T-9th-worst among FBS defenses.
East Carolina’s WRs have 228.3 receiving yards per game this season — 10th-best among FBS WRs. North Texas’s defense has allowed 183.8 receiving yards per game to WRs this season — T-25th-worst among FBS defenses.
North Texas Offensive Stats & Trends
North Texas RBs averaged 10.9 yards from scrimmage per touch (240 yards / 22 touches) last week– best among FBS Teams; Average: 5.3
North Texas RBs averaged 11.6 Yards per Carry (208 yards/18 carries) last week– best among FBS Teams; Average: 5.0
North Texas RBs averaged 17.4 yards from scrimmage per touch (139 yards / 8 touches) on 1st down last week– best among FBS Teams; Average: 5.2
North Texas WRs have caught 17 touchdown passes in the 4th quarter since the 2023 season– most among FBS Teams
North Texas QBs have 30 completions for 20 or more yards on 1st down this season– 2nd-most among FBS Teams
East Carolina Pirates Defensive Stats & Trends
East Carolina has tackled opponents for a loss on 10 of 52 rushing attempts (19% TFL%) in the Red Zone this season– T-32nd-best in FBS; Average: 15%.
East Carolina has tackled opponents for a loss on just 4 of 50 rushing attempts (8% TFL%) on 3rd and short since the 2023 season– 34th-worst in FBS; Average: 11%.
East Carolina has tackled opponents for a loss on 176 of 855 rushing attempts (21% TFL%) since the 2023 season– 4th-best among Non-Power Conference Teams; Average: 15%.
East Carolina has tackled opponents for a loss on 27 of 127 rushing attempts (21% TFL%) in the Red Zone since the 2023 season– T-9th-best in FBS; Average: 15%.
East Carolina has tackled opponents for a loss on 176 of 855 rushing attempts (21% TFL%) since the 2023 season– T-10th-best in FBS; Average: 16%.
North Texas Mean Green Defensive Stats & Trends
North Texas has forced 2 fumbles on 414 carries (207.0 Carries Per Fumble) this season– worst among Non-Power Conference Teams; Average: 44.4
North Texas has forced 8 fumbles on 958 carries (119.8 Carries Per Fumble) since the 2023 season– worst among Non-Power Conference Teams; Average: 42.6
North Texas has allowed 211.0 yards from scrimmage per game to RBs since the 2023 season– worst in FBS; Average: 142.6
North Texas has forced 2 fumbles on 414 carries (207.0 Carries Per Fumble) this season– worst in FBS; Average: 43.3
North Texas has forced 8 fumbles on 958 carries (119.8 Carries Per Fumble) since the 2023 season– worst in FBS; Average: 42.0
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