- The UTSA is a -3 point favorite vs. Florida Atlantic
- The Florida Atlantic vs. UTSA Total (Over/Under): 53.5 points
- TV Channel: ESPN+
The Florida Atlantic Owls (2-4) visit Alamodome to take on the UTSA Roadrunners (2-4) on Oct. 19 in San Antonio, TX. Kickoff is scheduled for 3:30pm EDT.
UTSA is a betting favorite in Week 8, with the spread sitting at -3 (-120).
The Florida Atlantic vs. UTSA Over/Under is 53.5 total points.
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Florida Atlantic vs. UTSA Odds, Spread, Over/Under:
| Spread | Total (O/U) | Moneyline | |
| Florida Atlantic | +3 +100 | 53.5 -110 | +135 |
| UTSA | -3 -120 | 53.5 -110 | -160 |
Florida Atlantic vs UTSA Prediction:
The winning team model predicts UTSA will win this game with 62.6% confidence, based on game simulations, offensive & defensive matchups and recent game results.
This winning team prediction factors in up-to-date player injuries for both Florida Atlantic and UTSA, key player performances this season and recent team trends.
Florida Atlantic vs UTSA Spread Prediction:
Based on recent against-the-spread trends, the model predicts UTSA will cover the spread with 58.0% confidence.
This prediction against the spread factors in ATS performances for both teams, opening and current betting lines plus public and sharp money already wagered on this matchup.
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Florida Atlantic Best Bets & Trends for ATS, Moneyline & Totals
- Florida Atlantic has hit the 1H Game Total Under in 3 of their last 5 away games (+0.95 Units / 18% ROI)
- Florida Atlantic has hit the Game Total Over in 3 of their last 5 away games (+0.80 Units / 15% ROI)
- Florida Atlantic has hit the 1Q Game Total Over in 6 of their last 11 games (+0.55 Units / 4% ROI)
- Florida Atlantic have covered the 1Q Spread in 3 of their last 5 away games (+0.10 Units / 2% ROI)
UTSA Best Bets & Trends for ATS, Moneyline & Totals
- UTSA has hit the 1H Moneyline in 9 of their last 12 games (+6.10 Units / 15% ROI)
- UTSA has hit the 1H Game Total Over in 9 of their last 13 games (+4.65 Units / 33% ROI)
- UTSA has hit the Moneyline in their last 4 games at home (+4.00 Units / 8% ROI)
- UTSA has hit the Game Total Under in 7 of their last 13 games (+1.50 Units / 10% ROI)
- UTSA have covered the 1H Spread in 7 of their last 13 games (+1.45 Units / 10% ROI)
Florida Atlantic Against the Spread (ATS) Record
Florida Atlantic is 3-3 against the spread this college football season (-0.25 Units / -3.82% ROI).
- Florida Atlantic is 1-4 when betting on the Moneyline for -3.1 Units / -53.91% ROI
- Florida Atlantic is 4-2 when betting the Over for +1.8 Units / 27.27% ROI
- Florida Atlantic is 2-4 when betting the Under for -2.4 Units / -36.36% ROI
UTSA Against the Spread (ATS) Record
UTSA is 1-5 against the spread this college football season (-4.5 Units / -68.18% ROI).
- UTSA is 1-4 when betting on the Moneyline for -3.7 Units / -10.66% ROI
- UTSA is 2-3 when betting the Over for -1.3 Units / -19.7% ROI
- UTSA is 3-2 when betting the Under for +0.8 Units / 12.12% ROI
Florida Atlantic: Keys to the Game vs. UTSA
Florida Atlantic is 1-10 (.091) when averaging less than 5 yards per rush since the 2023 season– 6th-worst in FBS; Average: .435
Florida Atlantic is winless (0-10) when allowing 22 or more points since the 2023 season– T-worst in FBS; Average: .285
Florida Atlantic is 5-11 (.312) when allowing 10 or more rushes of four or more yards since the 2023 season– T-27th-worst in FBS; Average: .485
Florida Atlantic is 1-6 (.143) when in a one score game since the 2023 season– 6th-worst among Non-Power Conference Teams; Average: .475
UTSA: Keys to the Game vs. Florida Atlantic
UTSA is 2-5 (.286) when in a one score game since the 2023 season– T-17th-worst in FBS; Average: .506
UTSA was undefeated (6-0) when intercepting at least 1 pass in the 2023 season– T-best among Non-Power Conference Teams; Average: .613
UTSA is 6-2 (.750) when not losing a fumble since the 2023 season– T-9th-best among Non-Power Conference Teams; Average: .519
UTSA is 2-5 (.286) when in a one score game since the 2023 season– T-10th-worst among Non-Power Conference Teams; Average: .475
Matchup Notes for Florida Atlantic vs. UTSA
Florida Atlantic’s offense has thrown for 1,165 passing yards in 6 games (just 194.2 YPG) this season — 35th-worst among FBS offenses. UTSA’s defense has allowed 284.3 passing yards per game this season — 7th-worst among FBS defenses.
Florida Atlantic Offensive Stats & Trends
Florida Atlantic’s offense has thrown for 1,165 passing yards in 6 games (just 194.2 YPG) this season — 35th-worst among FBS offenses. UTSA’s defense has allowed 284.3 passing yards per game this season — 7th-worst among FBS defenses.
Florida Atlantic QBs had 7 completions for 20 or more yards last week– T-4th-most among FBS Teams
Florida Atlantic TEs had 43 receiving yards on 3rd down last week– 2nd-most among FBS Teams
Florida Atlantic RBs have no touchdowns on 69 receptions since the 2023 season– T-worst Receptions Per TD among FBS Teams; Average: 21.2
Florida Atlantic WRs have just one touchdown on 45 receptions in close and late situations since the 2023 season– 10th-worst Receptions Per TD among FBS Teams; Average: 10.6
UTSA Offensive Stats & Trends
UTSA RBs have rushed for 2 TDs on 29 carries (14.5 Carries Per TD) in the Red Zone this season– 7th-worst Carries Per TD among FBS Teams; Average: 4.4
UTSA TEs have been targeted 19 times on 3rd down this season– 5th-most among FBS Teams
UTSA Skill Players have averaged just 7.2 yards per reception (390 yards/54 catches) on 1st down this season– 2nd-worst among FBS Teams; Average: 12.6
UTSA Skill Players have averaged 19.1 yards per reception (439 yards/23 catches) with 4-6 yards to go this season– 3rd-best among FBS Teams; Average: 11.3
UTSA Skill Players had 129 receiving yards in close and late situations last week– 2nd-most among FBS Teams
Florida Atlantic Owls Defensive Stats & Trends
Florida Atlantic has not recorded a sack (23 pass attempts) in the Red Zone this season– T-worst among Non-Power Conference Teams; Average: 13.4
Florida Atlantic has allowed first downs on 12% of pass attempts on 3rd down this season– best in FBS; Average: 35%
Florida Atlantic has not recorded a sack (23 pass attempts) in the Red Zone this season– T-worst in FBS; Average: 14.9
Florida Atlantic has allowed first downs on 12% of pass attempts on 3rd down this season– best among Non-Power Conference Teams; Average: 36%
Florida Atlantic allowed 4 TD passes last week– T-2nd-most among Non-Power Conference Teams
UTSA Roadrunners Defensive Stats & Trends
UTSA has allowed passes of 40+ yards on 11 of 186 attempts (6%) this season– 2nd-worst in FBS; Average: 2%
UTSA has allowed a Completion Pct of just 37% (21 completions/57 attempts) in the Red Zone since the 2023 season– 2nd-best in FBS; Average: 54%
UTSA has allowed a Completion Pct of just 35% (7 completions/20 attempts) on 3rd and short since the 2023 season– 2nd-best in FBS; Average: 62%
UTSA has allowed a Completion Pct of just 35% (7 completions/20 attempts) on 3rd and short since the 2023 season– 2nd-best among Non-Power Conference Teams; Average: 62%
UTSA has allowed 15.2 yards per completion (1,706 yards/112 completions) this season– 2nd-worst in FBS; Average: 11.7
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