Florida International vs Liberty Prediction, Odds & Best Prop Bets โ€“ NCAAF, Week 7

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Liberty's Kaidon Salter runs the ball for a touchdown against UMass during the first half of an NCAA college football game, Saturday, Nov. 18, 2023, in Lynchburg, Va. (AP Photo/Robert Simmons)
(AP Photo/Robert Simmons)
BetMGM Betting @BETMGM Oct 08, 2024, 1:36 PM
  • The Liberty is a -16.5 point favorite vs. Florida International
  • The Florida International vs. Liberty Total (Over/Under): 55.5 points
  • TV Channel: CBSSN

The Florida International Panthers (2-3) visit Williams Stadium to take on the Liberty Flames (4-0) on Oct. 8 in Lynchburg, VA. Kickoff is scheduled for 7:00pm EDT.

Liberty is a betting favorite in Week 7, with the spread sitting at -16.5 (-110).

The Florida International vs. Liberty Over/Under is 55.5 total points.

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Florida International vs. Liberty Odds, Spread, Over/Under:

SpreadTotal (O/U)Moneyline
Florida International+16.5 -11055.5 -110+650
Liberty -16.5 -11055.5 -110-1000

Florida International vs Liberty Prediction:

The winning team model predicts Liberty will win this game with 91.3% confidence, based on game simulations, offensive & defensive matchups and recent game results.

This winning team prediction factors in up-to-date player injuries for both Florida International and Liberty, key player performances this season and recent team trends.

Florida International vs Liberty Spread Prediction:

Based on recent against-the-spread trends, the model predicts Liberty will cover the spread with 60.1% confidence.

This prediction against the spread factors in ATS performances for both teams, opening and current betting lines plus public and sharp money already wagered on this matchup.


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  • FIU has hit the 1H Game Total Over in 8 of their last 9 games (+7.10 Units / 73% ROI)
  • FIU has hit the 1Q Game Total Over in 7 of their last 9 games (+4.90 Units / 48% ROI)
  • FIU has hit the 1Q Moneyline in 2 of their last 4 away games (+3.60 Units / 90% ROI)
  • FIU has hit the Game Total Over in 6 of their last 9 games (+2.75 Units / 28% ROI)
  • FIU have covered the Spread in 3 of their last 5 away games (+0.75 Units / 13% ROI)
  • Liberty has hit the Moneyline in 10 of their last 11 games (+9.00 Units / 8% ROI)
  • Liberty has hit the 1Q Moneyline in 4 of their last 6 games at home (+4.00 Units / 18% ROI)
  • Liberty has hit the 1H Moneyline in 4 of their last 6 games at home (+4.00 Units / 9% ROI)
  • Liberty has hit the 1Q Game Total Over in 5 of their last 6 games at home (+3.85 Units / 54% ROI)
  • Liberty has hit the Game Total Over in 5 of their last 7 games at home (+2.80 Units / 36% ROI)

We’ve highlighted some favorite college football player prop bets for Florida International players, looking at profitable historical betting trends:

Best Florida International Player Prop Bets Today

  • Shomari Lawrence has hit the Rushing Yards Over in his last 2 games (+2.00 Units / 87% ROI)
  • Keyone Jenkins has hit the Passing Yards Under in his last 2 games (+2.00 Units / 83% ROI)
  • Dean Patterson has hit the Receiving Yards Under in his last 2 games (+2.00 Units / 78% ROI)
  • Keyone Jenkins has hit the TD Passes Under in his last game (+1.00 Units / 53% ROI)

Top NCAAF player prop bets for Liberty players, looking at profitable historical betting trends:

Best Liberty Player Prop Best Bets Today

  • Kaidon Salter has hit the Rushing Yards Over in his last 2 games at home (+2.00 Units / 83% ROI)
  • Kaidon Salter has hit the TD Passes Over in his last 2 games at home (+2.00 Units / 67% ROI)
  • Billy Lucas has hit the Rushing Yards Under in his last game (+1.00 Units / 83% ROI)
  • Kaidon Salter has hit the Passing Yards Under in his last game (+1.00 Units / 83% ROI)
  • Treon Sibley has hit the Receiving Yards Under in his last game (+1.00 Units / 83% ROI)

Florida International Against the Spread (ATS) Record

Florida International is 2-1 against the spread this college football season (+0.85 Units / 15.18% ROI).

  • Florida International is 1-2 when betting on the Moneyline for -0.5 Units / -12.5% ROI
  • Florida International is 2-1 when betting the Over for +0.95 Units / 17.43% ROI
  • Florida International is 1-2 when betting the Under for -1.2 Units / -21.62% ROI

Liberty Against the Spread (ATS) Record

Liberty is 0-3 against the spread this college football season (-3.3 Units / -75% ROI).

  • Liberty is 2-0 when betting on the Moneyline for +2 Units / 4.88% ROI
  • Liberty is 1-1 when betting the Over for -0.1 Units / -2.27% ROI
  • Liberty is 1-1 when betting the Under for -0.1 Units / -2.27% ROI

Florida International: Keys to the Game vs. Liberty

Florida International is 3-8 (.273) when the opposing team commits less than 60 yards in penalties since the 2023 season– T-15th-worst in FBS; Average: .544

Florida International is 4-11 (.267) when allowing 7 or more explosive plays since the 2023 season– T-35th-worst in FBS; Average: .414

Florida International is 2-11 (.154) when allowing 22 or more points since the 2023 season– T-39th-worst in FBS; Average: .284

Florida International is 5-11 (.312) when allowing 10 or more rushes of four or more yards since the 2023 season– T-26th-worst in FBS; Average: .486

Liberty: Keys to the Game vs. Florida International

Liberty is 12-1 (.923) when sacking the QB less than 3 times since the 2023 season– best among Non-Power Conference Teams; Average: .383

Liberty is 12-1 (.923) when sacking the QB less than 3 times since the 2023 season– best in FBS; Average: .440

Liberty is undefeated (9-0) when the opposing team rushes more than 30 times since the 2023 season– 2nd-best among Non-Power Conference Teams; Average: .397

Liberty is 7-1 (.875) when committing less than 60 yards in penalties since the 2023 season– 2nd-best among Non-Power Conference Teams; Average: .457

Matchup Notes for Florida International vs. Liberty

Liberty’s WRs has gained 852 yards on 57 receptions (14.9 YPR) this season — T-32nd-best among FBS WRs. Florida International’s defense has allowed just 9.8 Yards Per Reception this season — 4th-best among NonP5 defenses.

Liberty has gained 961 yards on 68 receptions (14.1 YPR) this season — T-18th-best among FBS skill players. Florida International’s defense has allowed just 9.8 Yards Per Reception this season — T-13th-best among FBS defenses.

Liberty’s WRs has 188 receptions in 18 games (just 10.4 per game) since the 2023 season — T-29th-worst among FBS WRs. Florida International’s defense has allowed 20.8 receptions per game since the 2023 season — T-16th-worst among FBS defenses.

Florida International’s RBs has 10 receptions in 5 games (just 2.0 per game) this season — T-23rd-worst among FBS RBs. Liberty’s defense has allowed just 16.5 receptions per game this season — T-35th-best among FBS defenses.

Florida International’s RBs have just 8.9 receiving yards per game since the 2023 season — 5th-worst among FBS RBs. Liberty’s defense has allowed 31.9 receiving yards per game to RBs since the 2023 season — T-13th-worst among FBS defenses.

Florida International’s RBs has rushed for 443 yards on 105 carries (just 4.2 YPC) this season — T-24th-worst among FBS RBs. Liberty’s defense have allowed just 3.3 YPC this season — T-28th-best among FBS defenses.

Florida International Offensive Stats & Trends

Florida International QBs fumbled 7 times in the 4th quarter in the 2023 season– 2nd-most among FBS Teams

Florida International RBs have averaged 3.3 yards from scrimmage per touch (193 yards / 58 touches) on 1st down this season– 4th-worst among FBS Teams; Average: 5.4

Florida International’s RBs has 10 receptions in 5 games (just 2.0 per game) this season — T-23rd-worst among FBS RBs. Liberty’s defense has allowed just 16.5 receptions per game this season — T-35th-best among FBS defenses.

Florida International RBs have averaged 88.6 rushing yards per game (443/5) this season– 22nd-worst among FBS Teams; Average: 130.2

Florida International’s RBs have just 8.9 receiving yards per game since the 2023 season — 5th-worst among FBS RBs. Liberty’s defense has allowed 31.9 receiving yards per game to RBs since the 2023 season — T-13th-worst among FBS defenses.

Liberty Offensive Stats & Trends

Liberty Skill Players have averaged 19.0 yards per reception (418 yards/22 catches) on 3rd and long since the 2023 season– 2nd-best among FBS Teams; Average: 12.9

Liberty’s WRs has gained 852 yards on 57 receptions (14.9 YPR) this season — T-32nd-best among FBS WRs. Florida International’s defense has allowed just 9.8 Yards Per Reception this season — 4th-best among NonP5 defenses.

Liberty WRs have averaged 22.5 yards per reception (540 yards/24 catches) with 4-6 yards to go since the 2023 season– best among FBS Teams; Average: 12.5

Liberty has gained 961 yards on 68 receptions (14.1 YPR) this season — T-18th-best among FBS skill players. Florida International’s defense has allowed just 9.8 Yards Per Reception this season — T-13th-best among FBS defenses.

Liberty RBs have rushed for 4 TDs in close and late situations this season– T-2nd-most among FBS Teams

Florida International Panthers Defensive Stats & Trends

Florida International has not recorded a sack (54 pass attempts) in the Red Zone since the 2023 season– T-worst in FBS; Average: 15.2

Florida International has not recorded a sack (54 pass attempts) in the Red Zone since the 2023 season– T-worst among Non-Power Conference Teams; Average: 16.1

Florida International has tackled opponents for a loss on just 12 of 196 rushing attempts (6% TFL%) this season– worst in FBS; Average: 16%.

Florida International did not record a sack (35 pass attempts) in the Red Zone in the 2023 season– T-worst in FBS; Average: 15.1

Florida International has tackled opponents for a loss on just 12 of 196 rushing attempts (6% TFL%) this season– worst among Non-Power Conference Teams; Average: 15%.

Liberty Flames Defensive Stats & Trends

Liberty did not record a sack (56 pass attempts) in the Red Zone in the 2023 season– T-worst in FBS; Average: 15.1

Liberty has sacked opposing QBs just once on 66 pass attempts in the Red Zone since the 2023 season– 7th-worst in FBS; Average: 15.2

Liberty has sacked opposing QBs just once on 66 pass attempts in the Red Zone since the 2023 season– 4th-worst among Non-Power Conference Teams; Average: 16.1

Liberty did not record a sack (56 pass attempts) in the Red Zone in the 2023 season– T-worst among Non-Power Conference Teams; Average: 16.4

Liberty has allowed 2.0 yards from scrimmage per touch (52 yards / 26 touches) in the Red Zone this season– 2nd-best among Non-Power Conference Teams; Average: 3.7


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Our BetMGM betting authors are experts who focus on individual game matchups & player prop bets with an emphasis on betting odds, lines & predictions.

Our BetMGM betting authors are experts who focus on individual game matchups & player prop bets with an emphasis on betting odds, lines & predictions.