- The Fresno St is a -2.5 point favorite vs. Nevada
- The Fresno State vs. Nevada Total (Over/Under): 50.5 points
- TV Channel: CBSSN
The Fresno State Bulldogs (3-3) visit Clarence Mackay Stadium to take on the Nevada Wolf Pack (3-4) on Oct. 18 in Reno, NV. Kickoff is scheduled for 10:30pm EDT.
Fresno St is a betting favorite in Week 8, with the spread sitting at -2.5 (-110).
The Fresno State vs. Nevada Over/Under is 50.5 total points.
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Fresno State vs. Nevada Odds, Spread, Over/Under:
| Spread | Total (O/U) | Moneyline | |
| Fresno State | -2.5 -110 | 50.5 -105 | -135 |
| Nevada | +2.5 -110 | 50.5 -115 | +115 |
Fresno State vs Nevada Prediction:
The winning team model predicts Fresno State will win this game with 58.5% confidence, based on game simulations, offensive & defensive matchups and recent game results.
This winning team prediction factors in up-to-date player injuries for both Fresno St and Nevada, key player performances this season and recent team trends.
Fresno State vs Nevada Spread Prediction:
Based on recent against-the-spread trends, the model predicts Nevada will cover the spread with 69.3% confidence.
This prediction against the spread factors in ATS performances for both teams, opening and current betting lines plus public and sharp money already wagered on this matchup.
Bet now on Nevada vs Fresno St and all games with BetMGM
Fresno State Best Bets & Trends for ATS, Moneyline & Totals
- Fresno State has hit the 1Q Moneyline in 6 of their last 11 games (+2.00 Units / 9% ROI)
- Fresno State has hit the 1H Game Total Under in 7 of their last 12 games (+1.55 Units / 12% ROI)
- Fresno State has hit the 1Q Game Total Over in 6 of their last 11 games (+1.10 Units / 9% ROI)
- Fresno State has hit the Game Total Over in 3 of their last 5 away games (+0.80 Units / 15% ROI)
Nevada Best Bets & Trends for ATS, Moneyline & Totals
- Nevada has hit the 1H Moneyline in 3 of their last 7 games at home (+6.05 Units / 61% ROI)
- Nevada have covered the Spread in 8 of their last 13 games (+2.55 Units / 18% ROI)
- Nevada has hit the Game Total Over in 8 of their last 13 games (+2.50 Units / 17% ROI)
- Nevada have covered the 1Q Spread in 4 of their last 6 games at home (+2.00 Units / 28% ROI)
- Nevada has hit the 1Q Moneyline in 2 of their last 4 games at home (+1.00 Units / 21% ROI)
Top NCAAF player prop bets for Nevada players, looking at profitable historical betting trends:
Best Nevada Player Prop Best Bets Today
- Brendon Lewis has hit the TD Passes Over in his last game (+1.00 Units / 61% ROI)
Fresno State Against the Spread (ATS) Record
Fresno St is 3-3 against the spread this college football season (-0.3 Units / -4.55% ROI).
- Fresno State is 3-3 when betting on the Moneyline for +0 Units / 0% ROI
- Fresno State is 3-3 when betting the Over for -0.3 Units / -4.55% ROI
- Fresno State is 3-3 when betting the Under for -0.3 Units / -4.55% ROI
Nevada Against the Spread (ATS) Record
Nevada is 5-2 against the spread this college football season (+2.8 Units / 36.13% ROI).
- Nevada is 3-4 when betting on the Moneyline for +0.65 Units / 7.03% ROI
- Nevada is 4-3 when betting the Over for +0.7 Units / 9.09% ROI
- Nevada is 3-4 when betting the Under for -1.4 Units / -18.18% ROI
Fresno State: Keys to the Game vs. Nevada
Fresno State is undefeated (12-0) when scoring 22 or more points since the 2023 season– T-best among Non-Power Conference Teams; Average: .714
Fresno State is 9-4 (.692) when committing less than 60 yards in penalties since the 2023 season– T-25th-best in FBS; Average: .534
Fresno State is 8-3 (.727) when rushing at least 4 yards in a play 10 or more times since the 2023 season– 9th-best among Non-Power Conference Teams; Average: .526
Fresno State is 8-2 (.800) when rushing more than 30 times since the 2023 season– 28th-best in FBS; Average: .627
Nevada: Keys to the Game vs. Fresno State
Nevada is 5-12 (.294) when rushing more than 30 times since the 2023 season– 7th-worst in FBS; Average: .627
Nevada was winless (0-5) when their opponent committed less than 60 yards in penalties in the 2023 season– T-worst among Non-Power Conference Teams; Average: .479
Nevada is winless (0-8) when losing at least one fumble since the 2023 season– T-worst among Non-Power Conference Teams; Average: .415
Nevada is 1-10 (.091) when throwing at least 1 interception since the 2023 season– 7th-worst among Non-Power Conference Teams; Average: .330
Matchup Notes for Fresno State vs. Nevada
Fresno State’s offense has thrown for 1,625 passing yards in 6 games (270.8 YPG) this season — 32nd-best among FBS offenses. Nevada’s defense has allowed 256.4 passing yards per game this season — 27th-worst among FBS defenses.
Fresno State Offensive Stats & Trends
Fresno State’s offense has thrown for 1,625 passing yards in 6 games (270.8 YPG) this season — 32nd-best among FBS offenses. Nevada’s defense has allowed 256.4 passing yards per game this season — 27th-worst among FBS defenses.
Fresno State RBs have picked up first downs on 6 receptions in the Red Zone since the 2023 season– most among FBS Teams
Fresno State RBs have picked up first downs on 15 receptions on 3rd down since the 2023 season– 2nd-most among FBS Teams
Fresno State QBs have averaged just -4.0 Yards per Carry (-139 yards/35 carries) in the 1st half since the 2023 season– worst among FBS Teams; Average: 3.1
Fresno State RBs have 15 receptions in the Red Zone since the 2023 season– T-2nd-most among FBS Teams
Nevada Offensive Stats & Trends
Nevada RBs have averaged just 3.2 Yards per Carry (301 yards/94 carries) in the 4th quarter since the 2023 season– 4th-worst among FBS Teams; Average: 5.1
Nevada RBs have fumbled 4 times in the 4th quarter since the 2023 season– T-2nd-most among FBS Teams
Nevada RBs averaged just 2.3 Yards per Carry (120 yards/53 carries) in the 4th quarter in the 2023 season– worst among FBS Teams; Average: 5.0
Nevada RBs averaged 3.1 yards from scrimmage per touch (465 yards / 148 touches) on 1st down in the 2023 season– worst among FBS Teams; Average: 5.3
Nevada RBs have no touchdowns on 55 receptions since the 2023 season– T-worst Receptions Per TD among FBS Teams; Average: 21.2
Fresno State Bulldogs Defensive Stats & Trends
Fresno State has allowed 4 TD passes in close and late situations this season– most among Non-Power Conference Teams
Fresno State has allowed 4 TD passes in close and late situations this season– most in FBS
Fresno State has not tackled opponents for a loss on any of 49 rushing attempts on 3rd and short since the 2023 season– T-worst among Non-Power Conference Teams; Average: 11%.
Fresno State has not tackled opponents for a loss on any of 14 rushing attempts on 3rd and short this season– T-worst in FBS; Average: 11%.
Fresno State has allowed a Completion Pct of just 56% (339 completions/611 attempts) since the 2023 season– best among Non-Power Conference Teams; Average: 61%
Nevada Wolf Pack Defensive Stats & Trends
Nevada had 4 interceptions last week– T-most among Non-Power Conference Teams
Nevada has not forced a fumble (224 carries) this season– T-worst among Non-Power Conference Teams; Average: 42.7
Nevada has not forced a fumble (224 carries) this season– T-worst in FBS; Average: 42.9
Nevada had 4 interceptions last week– T-most in FBS
Nevada’s opponents has attempted two-point conversions on 19% of PATs this season– 4th-highest among Non-Power Conference Teams; Average: 7%
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