- Liberty is a -2.5 point favorite vs. Jacksonville State
- Jacksonville State vs. Liberty Total (Over/Under): 63.5 points
- TV Channel: CBSSN
The Jacksonville State Gamecocks (4-3) visit Williams Stadium to take on the Liberty Flames (5-1) on Oct. 30 in Lynchburg, VA. Kickoff is scheduled for 7:00pm EDT.
Liberty is a betting favorite in Week 10, with the spread sitting at -2.5 (-110).
The Jacksonville State vs. Liberty Over/Under is 63.5 total points.
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Jacksonville State vs. Liberty Odds, Spread, Over/Under:
| Spread | Total (O/U) | Moneyline | |
| Jacksonville State | +2.5 -110 | 63.5 -110 | +110 |
| Liberty | -2.5 -110 | 63.5 -110 | -130 |
Jacksonville State vs Liberty Prediction:
The winning team model predicts Liberty will win this game with 54.2% confidence, based on game simulations, offensive & defensive matchups and recent game results.
This winning team prediction factors in up-to-date player injuries for both Jacksonville State and Liberty, key player performances this season and recent team trends.
Jacksonville State vs Liberty Spread Prediction:
Based on recent against-the-spread trends, the model predicts Liberty will cover the spread with 51.0% confidence.
This prediction against the spread factors in ATS performances for both teams, opening and current betting lines plus public and sharp money already wagered on this matchup.
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Jacksonville State Best Bets & Trends for ATS, Moneyline & Totals
- Jacksonville State has hit the 1Q Game Total Over in 9 of their last 10 games (+7.80 Units / 66% ROI)
- Jacksonville State has hit the Game Total Over in 8 of their last 11 games (+4.70 Units / 39% ROI)
- Jacksonville State has hit the 1H Game Total Over in 7 of their last 11 games (+2.45 Units / 20% ROI)
- Jacksonville State have covered the Spread in 6 of their last 11 games (+0.45 Units / 4% ROI)
Liberty Best Bets & Trends for ATS, Moneyline & Totals
- Liberty has hit the Moneyline in their last 7 games at home (+7.00 Units / 9% ROI)
- Liberty has hit the 1Q Game Total Over in 7 of their last 10 games (+4.75 Units / 41% ROI)
- Liberty has hit the 1H Moneyline in 5 of their last 7 games at home (+2.80 Units / 7% ROI)
- Liberty has hit the Game Total Over in 7 of their last 12 games (+2.60 Units / 20% ROI)
- Liberty has hit the 1Q Moneyline in 4 of their last 6 games at home (+2.15 Units / 10% ROI)
We’ve highlighted some favorite college football player prop bets for Jacksonville State players, looking at profitable historical betting trends:
Best Jacksonville State Player Prop Bets Today
- Tre Stewart has hit the Rushing Yards Over in his last 2 games (+2.00 Units / 83% ROI)
- Michael Pettway has hit the Receiving Yards Under in his last game (+1.00 Units / 83% ROI)
- Cam Vaughn has hit the Receiving Yards Over in his last game (+1.00 Units / 83% ROI)
- Tyler Huff has hit the Passing Yards Under in his last game (+1.00 Units / 83% ROI)
- Tyler Huff has hit the Rushing Yards Over in his last game (+1.00 Units / 83% ROI)
Top NCAAF player prop bets for Liberty players, looking at profitable historical betting trends:
Best Liberty Player Prop Best Bets Today
- Kaidon Salter has hit the TD Passes Over in his last game (+1.05 Units / 105% ROI)
- Kaidon Salter has hit the Passing Yards Over in his last game (+1.00 Units / 83% ROI)
- Quinton Cooley has hit the Rushing Yards Under in his last game (+1.00 Units / 83% ROI)
- Treon Sibley has hit the Receiving Yards Under in his last game (+1.00 Units / 83% ROI)
- Kaidon Salter has hit the Rushing Yards Over in his last game (+1.00 Units / 83% ROI)
Jacksonville State Against the Spread (ATS) Record
Jacksonville State is 4-3 against the spread this college football season (+0.65 Units / 8.39% ROI).
- Jacksonville State is 4-3 when betting on the Moneyline for -0.35 Units / -0.79% ROI
- Jacksonville State is 5-2 when betting the Over for +2.8 Units / 36.13% ROI
- Jacksonville State is 2-5 when betting the Under for -3.45 Units / -45.1% ROI
Liberty Against the Spread (ATS) Record
Liberty is 1-5 against the spread this college football season (-4.5 Units / -68.18% ROI).
- Liberty is 4-1 when betting on the Moneyline for -36 Units / -37.5% ROI
- Liberty is 3-2 when betting the Over for +0.8 Units / 12.12% ROI
- Liberty is 2-3 when betting the Under for -1.3 Units / -19.7% ROI
Jacksonville State: Keys to the Game vs. Liberty
Jacksonville State is 9-4 (.692) when sacking the QB less than 3 times since the 2023 season– 5th-best among Non-Power Conference Teams; Average: .386
Jacksonville State is 12-2 (.857) when allowing less than 50% of third down conversion opportunities since the 2023 season– 4th-best among Non-Power Conference Teams; Average: .551
Jacksonville State is 10-7 (.588) when the opposing team rushes more than 30 times since the 2023 season– T-30th-best in FBS; Average: .447
Jacksonville State is 12-3 (.800) when making 3 or more explosive runs in a game since the 2023 season– T-10th-best among Non-Power Conference Teams; Average: .606
Liberty: Keys to the Game vs. Jacksonville State
Liberty is 13-2 (.867) when sacking the QB less than 3 times since the 2023 season– best among Non-Power Conference Teams; Average: .386
Liberty is 13-2 (.867) when sacking the QB less than 3 times since the 2023 season– 2nd-best in FBS; Average: .436
Liberty is undefeated (6-0) when the opposing team commits 60 yards or more in penalties. since the 2023 season– T-best among Non-Power Conference Teams; Average: .488
Liberty is 17-1 (.895) when converting 55% or more of its red zone chances into touchdowns since the 2023 season– best among Non-Power Conference Teams; Average: .585
Matchup Notes for Jacksonville State vs. Liberty
Liberty’s offense has thrown for 20 or more yards on just 8.0% of 162 attempts this season — 23rd-worst among FBS offenses. Jacksonville State’s defense allowed 20+ yards on 15.9% of attempts this season — 3rd-best among FBS defenses.
Liberty has gained 1,292 yards on 99 receptions (13.1 YPR) this season — T-32nd-best among FBS skill players. Jacksonville State’s defense has allowed 13.3 Yards Per Reception this season — T-17th-worst among FBS defenses.
Liberty has averaged 13.1 yards after the catch this season — 29th-best among FBS skill players. Jacksonville State’s defense has allowed 13.0 RAC this season — T-22nd-worst among FBS defenses.
Jacksonville State’s RBs has 7 receptions in 7 games (just 1.0 per game) this season — 5th-worst among FBS RBs. Liberty’s defense has allowed just 16.8 receptions per game this season — T-28th-best among FBS defenses.
Jacksonville State has 106 receptions in 7 games (just 15.1 per game) this season — T-25th-worst among FBS skill players. Liberty’s defense has allowed just 16.8 receptions per game this season — T-28th-best among FBS defenses.
Jacksonville State’s RBs has rushed for 988 yards on 172 carries (5.7 YPC) this season — T-30th-best among FBS RBs. Liberty’s defense have allowed just 3.2 YPC this season — T-13th-best among FBS defenses.
Jacksonville State Offensive Stats & Trends
Jacksonville State RBs have rushed for 6 TDs in the 1st quarter this season– T-2nd-most among FBS Teams
Jacksonville State RBs averaged 12.8 yards from scrimmage per touch (218 yards / 17 touches) on 1st down last week– best among FBS Teams; Average: 5.6
Jacksonville State Skill Players have averaged 17.6 yards per reception (229 yards/13 catches) in the 4th quarter this season– 7th-best among FBS Teams; Average: 12.0
Jacksonville State QBs have rushed for 1,893 yards since the 2023 season– 2nd-most among FBS Teams
Jacksonville State QBs rushed for 165 yards last week– most among FBS Teams
Liberty Offensive Stats & Trends
Liberty’s offense has thrown for 20 or more yards on just 8.0% of 162 attempts this season — 23rd-worst among FBS offenses. Jacksonville State’s defense allowed 20+ yards on 15.9% of attempts this season — 3rd-best among FBS defenses.
Liberty WRs have averaged 22.2 yards per reception (556 yards/25 catches) with 4-6 yards to go since the 2023 season– best among FBS Teams; Average: 12.5
Liberty has gained 1,292 yards on 99 receptions (13.1 YPR) this season — T-32nd-best among FBS skill players. Jacksonville State’s defense has allowed 13.3 Yards Per Reception this season — T-17th-worst among FBS defenses.
Liberty Skill Players have averaged 18.7 yards per reception (448 yards/24 catches) on 3rd and long since the 2023 season– 2nd-best among FBS Teams; Average: 12.9
Liberty Skill Players have averaged 17.8 yards per reception (713 yards/40 catches) with 4-6 yards to go since the 2023 season– best among FBS Teams; Average: 11.5
Jacksonville State Gamecocks Defensive Stats & Trends
Jacksonville State has allowed passes of 20+ yards on 6 of 24 attempts (25%) on 3rd and long this season– best among Non-Power Conference Teams; Average: 10%
Jacksonville State has allowed passes of 20+ yards on 6 of 24 attempts (25%) on 3rd and long this season– best in FBS; Average: 9%
Jacksonville State has allowed passes of 20+ yards on 31 of 195 attempts (16%) this season– 3rd-best in FBS; Average: 10%
Jacksonville State has allowed passes of 20+ yards on 31 of 195 attempts (16%) this season– 2nd-best among Non-Power Conference Teams; Average: 10%
Jacksonville State has allowed rushes of 10 or more yards on just 69 of 809 carries (9%) since the 2023 season– best among Non-Power Conference Teams; Average: 14%
Liberty Flames Defensive Stats & Trends
Liberty has allowed one passing TD (13 pass attempts) in the Red Zone this season– T-best among Non-Power Conference Teams; Average: 3.8
Liberty has allowed one passing TD (13 pass attempts) in the Red Zone this season– T-best in FBS; Average: 3.9
Liberty did not record a sack (56 pass attempts) in the Red Zone in the 2023 season– T-worst among Non-Power Conference Teams; Average: 16.4
Liberty has not allowed a first down on a pass in the Red Zone this season– best among Non-Power Conference Teams; Average: 24%
Liberty did not record a sack (56 pass attempts) in the Red Zone in the 2023 season– T-worst in FBS; Average: 15.1
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