LSU vs Texas A&M Prediction, Odds & Best Prop Bets โ€“ NCAAF, Week 9

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Texas A&M quarterback Conner Weigman (15) looks to pass downfield against Auburn during the first quarter of an NCAA college football game Saturday, Sept. 23, 2023, in College Station, Texas. (AP Photo/Sam Craft)
(AP Photo/Sam Craft)
BetMGM Betting @BETMGM Oct 24, 2024, 4:11 PM
  • The Texas A&M is a -2.5 point favorite vs. LSU
  • The LSU vs. Texas A&M Total (Over/Under): 53.5 points
  • TV Channel: ABC

The LSU Tigers (6-1) visit Kyle Field to take on the Texas A&M Aggies (6-1) on Oct. 26 in College Station, TX. Kickoff is scheduled for 7:30pm EDT.

Texas A&M is a betting favorite in Week 9, with the spread sitting at -2.5 (-120).

The LSU vs. Texas A&M Over/Under is 53.5 total points.

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LSU vs. Texas A&M Odds, Spread, Over/Under:

SpreadTotal (O/U)Moneyline
LSU+2.5 +10053.5 -110+120
Texas A&M -2.5 -12053.5 -110-145

LSU vs Texas A&M Prediction:

The winning team model predicts Texas A&M will win this game with 58.5% confidence, based on game simulations, offensive & defensive matchups and recent game results.

This winning team prediction factors in up-to-date player injuries for both LSU and Texas A&M, key player performances this season and recent team trends.

LSU vs Texas A&M Spread Prediction:

Based on recent against-the-spread trends, the model predicts Texas A&M will cover the spread with 59.5% confidence.

This prediction against the spread factors in ATS performances for both teams, opening and current betting lines plus public and sharp money already wagered on this matchup.


Bet now on Texas A&M vs LSU and all games with BetMGM


  • LSU has hit the Moneyline in 9 of their last 11 games (+6.75 Units / 1% ROI)
  • LSU has hit the Game Total Over in 2 of their last 3 away games (+0.90 Units / 27% ROI)
  • LSU have covered the 1H Spread in 2 of their last 3 away games (+0.90 Units / 27% ROI)
  • LSU has hit the 1Q Game Total Under in 2 of their last 3 away games (+0.80 Units / 24% ROI)
  • LSU has hit the 1H Game Total Over in 2 of their last 3 away games (+0.80 Units / 23% ROI)
  • Texas A&M has hit the 1H Moneyline in 7 of their last 11 games (+6.40 Units / 17% ROI)
  • Texas A&M has hit the Moneyline in 5 of their last 6 games at home (+3.50 Units / 10% ROI)
  • Texas A&M has hit the Game Total Under in 5 of their last 8 games at home (+1.70 Units / 19% ROI)
  • Texas A&M has hit the 1H Game Total Over in 7 of their last 12 games (+1.50 Units / 11% ROI)
  • Texas A&M has hit the 1Q Game Total Under in 3 of their last 5 games at home (+0.60 Units / 10% ROI)

We’ve highlighted some favorite college football player prop bets for LSU players, looking at profitable historical betting trends:

Best LSU Player Prop Bets Today

  • Mason Taylor has hit the Receiving Yards Under in his last 2 games (+2.00 Units / 83% ROI)
  • Kyren Lacy has hit the Receiving Yards Under in his last 2 away games (+2.00 Units / 83% ROI)
  • Garrett Nussmeier has hit the TD Passes Under in his last 2 games (+2.00 Units / 56% ROI)
  • Josh Williams has hit the Rushing Yards Under in his last game (+1.00 Units / 61% ROI)
  • Kaleb Jackson has hit the Rushing Yards Under in his last game (+1.00 Units / 83% ROI)

Top NCAAF player prop bets for Texas A&M players, looking at profitable historical betting trends:

Best Texas A&M Player Prop Best Bets Today

  • Conner Weigman has hit the TD Passes Under in his last game (+1.00 Units / 62% ROI)

LSU Against the Spread (ATS) Record

LSU is 3-4 against the spread this college football season (-1.4 Units / -18.18% ROI).

  • LSU is 5-1 when betting on the Moneyline for +3.75 Units / 9.18% ROI
  • LSU is 2-5 when betting the Over for -3.55 Units / -45.81% ROI
  • LSU is 5-2 when betting the Under for +2.8 Units / 36.6% ROI

Texas A&M Against the Spread (ATS) Record

Texas A&M is 2-5 against the spread this college football season (-3.45 Units / -45.7% ROI).

  • Texas A&M is 5-1 when betting on the Moneyline for +3.5 Units / 10.36% ROI
  • Texas A&M is 4-3 when betting the Over for +0.7 Units / 9.09% ROI
  • Texas A&M is 3-4 when betting the Under for -1.4 Units / -18.18% ROI

LSU: Keys to the Game vs. Texas A&M

LSU is undefeated (6-0) when allowing less than 200 passing yards since the 2023 season– T-best among Power Conference Teams; Average: .700

LSU is 9-1 (.900) when intercepting at least 1 pass since the 2023 season– 13th-best among Power Conference Teams; Average: .722

LSU is 15-3 (.833) when rushing at least 4 yards in a play 10 or more times since the 2023 season– T-10th-best among Power Conference Teams; Average: .640

LSU is 16-4 (.800) when converting 55% or more of its red zone chances into touchdowns since the 2023 season– T-23rd-best in FBS; Average: .639

Texas A&M: Keys to the Game vs. LSU

Texas A&M is 11-1 (.917) when making 3 or more explosive runs in a game since the 2023 season– T-4th-best among Power Conference Teams; Average: .682

Texas A&M is 12-4 (.750) when rushing more than 30 times since the 2023 season– T-36th-best in FBS; Average: .624

Texas A&M is 11-1 (.917) when making 3 or more explosive runs in a game since the 2023 season– T-8th-best in FBS; Average: .648

Texas A&M is 12-2 (.857) when rushing for 120 or more yards since the 2023 season– T-26th-best in FBS; Average: .676

Matchup Notes for LSU vs. Texas A&M

Texas A&M’s TEs has gained 179 yards on 12 receptions (14.9 YPR) this season — 5th-best among P5 TEs. LSU’s defense has allowed 12.0 Yards Per Reception this season — T-4th-worst among SEC defenses.

Texas A&M has averaged 12.8 yards after the catch since the 2023 season — T-4th-best among SEC skill players. LSU’s defense has allowed 12.2 RAC since the 2023 season — 2nd-worst among SEC defenses.

Texas A&M’s offense has thrown for 20 or more yards on 12.8% of 593 attempts since the 2023 season — 15th-best among FBS offenses. LSU’s defense allowed 20+ yards on 11.6% of attempts since the 2023 season — T-24th-best among FBS defenses.

LSU’s WRs has 328 receptions in 20 games (16.4 per game) since the 2023 season — T-18th-best among FBS WRs. Texas A&M’s defense has allowed just 17.1 receptions per game since the 2023 season — T-23rd-best among FBS defenses.

LSU has 468 receptions in 20 games (23.4 per game) since the 2023 season — T-17th-best among FBS skill players. Texas A&M’s defense has allowed just 17.1 receptions per game since the 2023 season — T-3rd-best among SEC defenses.

LSU has 468 receptions in 20 games (23.4 per game) since the 2023 season — 2nd-best among SEC skill players. Texas A&M’s defense has allowed just 17.1 receptions per game since the 2023 season — T-3rd-best among SEC defenses.

LSU Offensive Stats & Trends

LSU’s WRs has 328 receptions in 20 games (16.4 per game) since the 2023 season — T-18th-best among FBS WRs. Texas A&M’s defense has allowed just 17.1 receptions per game since the 2023 season — T-23rd-best among FBS defenses.

LSU has 468 receptions in 20 games (23.4 per game) since the 2023 season — T-17th-best among FBS skill players. Texas A&M’s defense has allowed just 17.1 receptions per game since the 2023 season — T-3rd-best among SEC defenses.

LSU has 468 receptions in 20 games (23.4 per game) since the 2023 season — 2nd-best among SEC skill players. Texas A&M’s defense has allowed just 17.1 receptions per game since the 2023 season — T-3rd-best among SEC defenses.

LSU has 468 receptions in 20 games (23.4 per game) since the 2023 season — 2nd-best among SEC skill players. Texas A&M’s defense has allowed just 17.1 receptions per game since the 2023 season — T-23rd-best among FBS defenses.

LSU’s QBs has thrown for 6,651 passing yards in 20 games (332.6 YPG) since the 2023 season — best among FBS teams. Texas A&M’s defense has allowed just 208.0 passing yards per game since the 2023 season — 5th-best among SEC defenses.

Texas A&M Offensive Stats & Trends

Texas A&M’s TEs has gained 179 yards on 12 receptions (14.9 YPR) this season — 5th-best among P5 TEs. LSU’s defense has allowed 12.0 Yards Per Reception this season — T-4th-worst among SEC defenses.

Texas A&M has averaged 12.8 yards after the catch since the 2023 season — T-4th-best among SEC skill players. LSU’s defense has allowed 12.2 RAC since the 2023 season — 2nd-worst among SEC defenses.

Texas A&M’s offense has thrown for 20 or more yards on 12.8% of 593 attempts since the 2023 season — 15th-best among FBS offenses. LSU’s defense allowed 20+ yards on 11.6% of attempts since the 2023 season — T-24th-best among FBS defenses.

Texas A&M has gained 4,737 yards on 368 receptions (12.9 YPR) since the 2023 season — 4th-best among SEC skill players. LSU’s defense has allowed 12.2 Yards Per Reception since the 2023 season — T-3rd-worst among SEC defenses.

Texas A&M’s QBs has thrown for 1,303 passing yards in 7 games (just 186.1 YPG) this season — 28th-worst among FBS teams. LSU’s defense has allowed 243.6 passing yards per game this season — 2nd-worst among SEC defenses.

LSU Tigers Defensive Stats & Trends

LSU has allowed a Completion Pct of 70% (57 completions/81 attempts) on 3rd and long since the 2023 season– 3rd-worst among Power Conference Teams; Average: 53%

LSU has allowed a Completion Pct of just 31% (4 completions/13 attempts) in the Red Zone this season– 3rd-best among Power Conference Teams; Average: 52%

LSU has allowed opponents to catch 57 of 80 passes (71% Reception Pct) on 3rd and long since the 2023 season– worst among Power Conference Teams; Average: 54%

LSU has no interceptions and 18 TD passes allowed in the Red Zone since the 2023 season– T-worst in the SEC; Average: 8.1

LSU has allowed a Completion Pct of 70% (57 completions/81 attempts) on 3rd and long since the 2023 season– 4th-worst in FBS; Average: 54%

Texas A&M Aggies Defensive Stats & Trends

Texas A&M has sacked opposing QBs just once on 50 pass attempts in the Red Zone since the 2023 season– worst in the SEC; Average: 13.9

Texas A&M tackled opponents for a loss on 6 of 19 rushing attempts (32% TFL%) on 3rd and short in the 2023 season– best in the SEC; Average: 10%.

Texas A&M has allowed a Completion Pct of just 40% (2 completions/5 attempts) on 3rd and short this season– best in the SEC; Average: 64%

Texas A&M has tackled opponents for a loss on 7 of 29 rushing attempts (24% TFL%) on 3rd and short since the 2023 season– 3rd-best among Power Conference Teams; Average: 11%.

Texas A&M has allowed opponents to rush for 20+ yards on 10 of their 216 carries (5%) this season– worst in the SEC; Average: 2%


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Our BetMGM betting authors are experts who focus on individual game matchups & player prop bets with an emphasis on betting odds, lines & predictions.

Our BetMGM betting authors are experts who focus on individual game matchups & player prop bets with an emphasis on betting odds, lines & predictions.