Mississippi vs Wake Forest Prediction, Odds & Best Prop Bets – NCAAF, Week 3

BetMGM Betting Sep 12, 2024, 11:24 AM

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Wake Forest defensive lineman Jasheen Davis (30) plays against Vanderbilt during an NCAA college football game on Saturday, Sept. 10, 2022, in Nashville, TN.

(AP Photo/John Amis)

Mississippi is a -23.5 point favorite vs. Wake Forest
Ole Miss vs. Wake Forest Total(Over/Under): 63.5 points
TV Channel: CW

The Ole Miss Rebels (2-0) visit Allegacy Federal Credit Union Stadium to take on the Wake Forest Demon Deacons (1-1) on Sep. 14 in Winston-Salem, NC. Kickoff is scheduled for 6:30pm EDT.

Mississippi is a betting favorite in Week 3, with the spread sitting at -23.5 (-110).

The Ole Miss vs. Wake Forest Over/Under is 63.5 total points.

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Ole Miss vs. Wake Forest Odds, Spread, Over/Under:

	Spread	Total (O/U)	Moneyline
Ole Miss	-23.5 -110	63.5 -110	-2500
Wake Forest	+23.5 -110	63.5 -110	+1100

Ole Miss vs Wake Forest Prediction:

The winning team model predicts Ole Miss will win this game with 95.0% confidence, based on game simulations, offensive & defensive matchups and recent game results.

This winning team prediction factors in up-to-date player injuries for both Mississippi and Wake Forest, key player performances this season and recent team trends.

Ole Miss vs Wake Forest Spread Prediction:

Based on recent against-the-spread trends, the model predicts Wake Forest will cover the spread with 75.1% confidence.

This prediction against the spread factors in ATS performances for both teams, opening and current betting lines plus public and sharp money already wagered on this matchup.

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Ole Miss Best Bets & Trends for ATS, Moneyline & Totals

Ole Miss has hit the 1H Moneyline in 8 of their last 10 games (+8.45 Units / 28% ROI)

Ole Miss has hit the 1Q Moneyline in 8 of their last 10 games (+7.80 Units / 36% ROI)

Ole Miss has hit the Moneyline in 7 of their last 8 games (+7.00 Units / 17% ROI)

Ole Miss have covered the 1Q Spread in 8 of their last 12 games (+3.25 Units / 23% ROI)

Ole Miss have covered the Spread in 7 of their last 13 games (+2.60 Units / 18% ROI)

Wake Forest Best Bets & Trends for ATS, Moneyline & Totals

Wake Forest has hit the 1Q Game Total Under in 9 of their last 11 games (+6.85 Units / 52% ROI)

Wake Forest has hit the Game Total Under in 3 of their last 5 games at home (+0.80 Units / 15% ROI)

Wake Forest has hit the 1H Game Total Over in 3 of their last 5 games at home (+0.75 Units / 13% ROI)

Wake Forest has hit the 1Q Moneyline in 3 of their last 11 games (+0.30 Units / 2% ROI)

We’ve highlighted some favorite college football player prop bets for Ole Miss players, looking at profitable historical betting trends:

Best Ole Miss Player Prop Bets Today

Jordan Watkins has hit the Receiving Yards Under in his last 4 games (+4.00 Units / 81% ROI)

Caden Prieskorn has hit the Receiving Yards Over in his last 3 games (+3.00 Units / 87% ROI)

Jaxson Dart has hit the TD Passes Under in 6 of his last 9 games (+2.90 Units / 23% ROI)

Jaxson Dart has hit the Passing Yards Under in 3 of his last 4 away games (+1.80 Units / 38% ROI)

Jaxson Dart has hit the Rushing Yards Under in 3 of his last 4 games (+1.70 Units / 34% ROI)

Top NCAAF player prop bets for Wake Forest players, looking at profitable historical betting trends:

Best Wake Forest Player Prop Best Bets Today

Taylor Morin has hit the Receiving Yards Under in his last 2 games at home (+2.00 Units / 83% ROI)

Demond Claiborne has hit the Rushing Yards Under in his last game (+1.00 Units / 74% ROI)

Ole Miss Against the Spread (ATS) Record

Mississippi is 2-0 against the spread this college football season (+2 Units / 88.89% ROI).

Ole Miss is 0-0 when betting on the Moneyline for +0 Units / 0% ROI
Ole Miss is 1-1 when betting the Over for -0.1 Units / -4.44% ROI
Ole Miss is 1-1 when betting the Under for -0.05 Units / -2.33% ROI

Wake Forest Against the Spread (ATS) Record

Wake Forest is 0-0 against the spread this college football season (+0 Units / 0% ROI).

Wake Forest is 0-1 when betting on the Moneyline for -1.05 Units / -100% ROI
Wake Forest is 1-0 when betting the Over for +1 Units / 90.91% ROI
Wake Forest is 0-1 when betting the Under for -1.1 Units / -100% ROI

Ole Miss: Keys to the Game vs. Wake Forest

Ole Miss is 6-1 (.857) when sacking the QB less than 3 times since the 2023 season– 6th-best in FBS; Average: .390

Ole Miss is undefeated (6-0) when committing less than 60 yards in penalties since the 2023 season– T-4th-best in FBS; Average: .438

Ole Miss is undefeated (6-0) when allowing less than 50% of third down conversion opportunities since the 2023 season– T-best among Power Conference Teams; Average: .556

Ole Miss is 8-1 (.571) when rushing more than 30 times since the 2023 season– T-13th-best among Power Conference Teams; Average: .426

Wake Forest: Keys to the Game vs. Ole Miss

Wake Forest is 1-9 (.083) when averaging less than 5 yards per rush since the 2023 season– T-5th-worst among Power Conference Teams; Average: .371

Wake Forest is winless (0-8) when allowing 120 or more rushing yards since the 2023 season– T-worst among Power Conference Teams; Average: .374

Wake Forest is 2-9 (.182) when the opposing team converts 55% or more of its red zone chances into touchdowns since the 2023 season– T-12th-worst among Power Conference Teams; Average: .406

Wake Forest is 3-7 (.250) when rushing more than 30 times since the 2023 season– T-21st-worst in FBS; Average: .517

Matchup Notes for Ole Miss vs. Wake Forest

Wake Forest’s TEs has 5 receptions in 2 games (just 2.5 per game) this season — T-3rd-worst among ACC TEs. Ole Miss’s defense has allowed 23.0 receptions per game this season — T-15th-worst among FBS defenses.

Wake Forest’s WRs has gained 662 yards on 44 receptions (15.0 YPR) this season — 4th-best among ACC WRs. Ole Miss’s defense has allowed just 8.5 Yards Per Reception this season — T-19th-best among FBS defenses.

Wake Forest has gained 727 yards on 50 receptions (14.5 YPR) this season — 29th-best among FBS skill players. Ole Miss’s defense has allowed just 8.5 Yards Per Reception this season — T-19th-best among FBS defenses.

Ole Miss’s QBs has thrown for 926 passing yards in 2 games (463.0 YPG) this season — best among FBS teams. Wake Forest’s defense has allowed 254.5 passing yards per game this season — 4th-worst among ACC defenses.

Ole Miss’s offense has thrown for 926 passing yards in 2 games (463.0 YPG) this season — best among FBS offenses. Wake Forest’s defense has allowed 254.5 passing yards per game this season — 30th-worst among FBS defenses.

Ole Miss Offensive Stats & Trends

Ole Miss have completed passes for 20+ yards on 84 of their 470 total passing attempts (18%) since the 2023 season– best among FBS Offenses; Average: 11%

Ole Miss Skill Players have 15 receptions for 20 or more yards this season– most among FBS Teams

Ole Miss QBs have 13 completions for 20 or more yards on 1st down this season– most among FBS Teams

Ole Miss QBs have 25 completions for 20 or more yards with over 10 yards to go since the 2022 season– 3rd-most among FBS Teams

Ole Miss WRs have 584 receiving yards on 1st down this season– most among Power Conference Teams

Wake Forest Offensive Stats & Trends

Wake Forest WRs have 12 receptions for 20 or more yards this season– 2nd-most among Power Conference Teams

Wake Forest WRs have 12 receptions for 20 or more yards this season– 2nd-most among FBS Teams

Ole Miss Rebels Defensive Stats & Trends

Ole Miss has tackled opponents for a loss on 18 of 55 rushing attempts (33% TFL%) this season– 4th-best among Power Conference Teams; Average: 19%.

Ole Miss has tackled opponents for a loss on 18 of 55 rushing attempts (33% TFL%) this season– 4th-best in FBS; Average: 17%.

Ole Miss has allowed no passing TDs (75 pass attempts) this season– T-best in the SEC; Average: 52.7

Ole Miss has tackled opponents for a loss on 18 of 55 rushing attempts (33% TFL%) this season– best in the SEC; Average: 20%.

Ole Miss has allowed a Completion Pct of 85% (33 completions/39 attempts) on 3rd and short since the 2022 season– worst in the SEC; Average: 64%

Wake Forest Demon Deacons Defensive Stats & Trends

Wake Forest has tackled opponents for a loss on just 9 of 72 rushing attempts (12% TFL%) this season– T-5th-worst among Power Conference Teams; Average: 19%.

Wake Forest has tackled opponents for a loss on just 9 of 72 rushing attempts (12% TFL%) this season– T-31st-worst in FBS; Average: 17%.

Wake Forest has allowed 3.5 touchdowns per interception (53 TDs allowed, and 15 INT) since the 2022 season– T-4th-worst among Power Conference Teams; Average: 1.7

Wake Forest has allowed first downs on 37% of pass attempts in the Red Zone since the 2023 season– 2nd-worst in FBS; Average: 23%

Wake Forest has allowed 2.7 touchdowns per interception (27 TDs allowed, and 10 INT) since the 2023 season– 27th-worst in FBS; Average: 1.8